In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds
Raiders vs. Texans Prediction
NRG Stadium, Houston
Table of Contents
- Introduction & Team Review
- The Running Game
- The Passing Game
- Final Outlook & Prediction
- Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com
- Latest Updates, Injury Reports, & Line Movements
- Insiders' Best Bets
Last Updated: Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 9:12pm EDT
A pair of AFC teams that are in second place in their respective divisions take the field in the Lone Star State. The Oakland Raiders are on the road as they make the trip to face the Houston Texans Sunday afternoon. Oakland was dropped 42-24 on the road by Green Bay in an interconference matchup last Sunday in their previous contest. Houston was knocked off 30-23 on the road by Indianapolis in their previous contest last Sunday. The Texans lead the all-time regular season series 6-4 though the Raiders claimed a 27-20 win in the most recent matchup in the regular season on November 21, 2016 at home.
Oakland Raiders Review
Oakland seemed to have turn a corner in their last couple of games before heading into their bye week. While the offense did their job for the most part, the defense was soft and let Aaron Rodgers carve them up last week. The Raiders now look to regroup in this contest after that beating. Oakland opened their season with a divisional road win on Monday Night Football (24-16) over Denver, two days after cutting Antonio Brown. The Raiders followed that up with back to back losses as they fell 28-10 at home to Kansas City and 34-14 against the Vikings on the road. Oakland regrouped by surprising the Colts 31-24 on the road in week four and then took down Chicago in London. Things didn’t go their way on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field.
Against the Packers, the Raiders did themselves in with a couple of big miscues that proved costly in the game. Oakland was up 10-7 with under four minutes to play in the half: after falling behind 14-10, they moved 74 yards in five plays before David Carr fumbled the ball through the end zone to give the ball back to Green Bay. The Raiders gave up a touchdown drive right before the half and another on the opening drive of the second half to trail 28-10: they didn’t get closer than 11 the rest of the way. Oakland outgained Green Bay 484-481 in the game despite losing the first down battle 22-21 and the time of possession by a 30:24 to 29:36 margin. The Raiders turned the ball over twice, leading to 14 Green Bay points, and were stopped on downs on fourth and goal from the one-yard line.
Houston Texans Review
Houston has been involved in a lot of tight games this season with six of their seven contests decided by seven points or less at this point of the season. The Texans are 3-3 in those games, which is a major reason why the team is sitting second in the AFC South. Houston dropped their opener on Monday Night Football, losing 30-28 to the Saints on a 58-yard field goal as time expired. The Texans bounced back with wins over Jacksonville (13-12) at home and the Chargers (27-20) on the road. Houston was defeated 16-10 at home by Carolina before rebounding with a home win over Atlanta (53-32) and a road triumph over Kansas City (31-24) before battling the Colts with first place in the AFC South at stake.
The Texans failed to finish off drives in the red zone into touchdowns in the first half and it ended up costing them the game. Houston had two first-half drives that ended in field goals and trailed 14-9 at the half. The Texans failed to get any closer than that in the second half as they were unable to come up with key stops. Houston also gave up a safety on special teams. The Texans had the ball with a chance to tie the game in the final minute only to have Deshaun Watson throw an interception to seal their fate. Houston held a narrow 391-383 edge in total offense while losing the first down battle 23-21 and the time of possession by a 32:52 to 27:08 margin in the contest. The Texans also turned the ball over twice while forcing one takeaway.
The Running Game
Oakland Raiders Running Offense
Houston Texans Running Defense
Oakland Raiders Running Offense
Oakland has been fairly effective on the ground this season as turning things over to a rookie has paid dividends. The Raiders have rushed for at least 88 yards in each of their five games this season and they’ve cracked the century mark in three of those contests. Oakland has racked up more than 150 yards in each of their last two games as they ran for a season-best 188 yards against the Colts in week four before gashing the vaunted Bears’ defense for 169 yards in week five. Coming off a bye week, the Raiders were effective in the ground game, hammering the Packers to the tune of 31 carries for 155 yards.
Josh Jacobs leads the team with 109 carries for 554 yards and four scores on the season as the first-round pick has stepped right into the #1 RB role. Trevor Davis (two attempts, 74 yards, TD), along with DeAndre Washington (29 carries, 103 yards, TD) and Jalen Richard (13 carries, 54 yards) are solid secondary backs if Jacobs needs a breather. As a team, the Raiders have five run plays that have covered at least 20 yards: Jacobs has four and Davis has the other. Oakland has moved the chains 44 times via the ground this season.
Houston Texans Run Defense
Houston struggled in stopping the run game for the opposition to start the season. Things have gotten better for the Texans on that front as the team has improved in both the rushing yards allowed and the yard per carry average they've given up each week. Against the Saints, Houston allowed 148 yards and a seven-yard per carry mark to open the season. The Texans gave up 103 yards and a 4.9 yard per carry average against the Jaguars in week two but hasn’t given up more than 95 yards in any of their last five games. In the last three weeks, Houston has allowed 57, 53 and 62 yards on the ground as they’ve made life difficult for opposing run games.
Linebackers Bernardrick McKinney (30 solo tackles, forced fumble, two fumble recoveries) and Zach Cunningham (36 solo tackles, fumble recovery) are tied for the team lead with 53 tackles this season. Justin Reid (44 tackles), Johnathan Joseph (32 tackles) and Tashaun Gipson Sr. (25 tackles) are next in line for ruining opposing offensive plays. Whitney Mercilus (23 tackles, four forced fumbles, fumble recovery) leads the team with 10 tackles for loss while Cunningham and J.J. Watt (21 tackles, forced fumble, two fumble recoveries) each add 5.5 tackles for loss. As a team, the Texans have recorded 37 tackles for loss, forced 10 fumbles and recovered seven this season.
- 6th in run play percentage (45.8 percent)
- 8th in rushing attempts per game (28.2)
- 6th in rushing yards per game (137.8)
- 7th in yards per carry (4.9)
- Tied for 13th in rushing TD (six)
- Tied for 8th in longest rush (60 yards)
- 2nd in percentage of run plays against (33.03 percent)
- 3rd in run plays per game against (20.7)
- 3rd in rushing yards allowed per game (84.3)
- 13th in opposing yards per carry (4.1)
- Tied for 4th in rushing TD allowed (three)
- Tied for 8th in longest rush allowed (30 yards)
Who has the Edge?
This one bears monitoring as the early reports say that Jacobs is questionable for this one after taking a painkilling shot last week against the Packers for a shoulder injury. If he can't go, the Raiders will have to turn to Washington and Richard to move the chains: while they both bring something to the table, they aren't as dynamic as the rookie first-round pick. Even if Jacobs plays, it could be tough sledding against an aggressive Texans front seven that just shut down the Colts' run game.
Advantage: Houston Texans
Houston Texans Running Offense
Oakland Raiders Running Defense
Houston Texans Running Offense
Houston, despite losing Lamar Miller in the preseason to a torn ACL, has been able to move the ball on the ground fairly well this season. The Texans made a couple of trades to add Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson Jr. to the mix and that has helped them get by so far. Houston ran 23 times for 180 yards and a score against the Saints in the opener. The Texans ran 30 times for 126 yards plus a score in week 2 against Jacksonville before cratering to 19 carries for 39 yards and a score against the Chargers in week three. Since then, the ground game has been terrific, picking up at least 100 yards in each of their last four games. That includes games against the Panthers (22 carries, 136 yards), the Falcons (34 carries, 166 yards), the Chiefs (41 carries, 192 yards) and last week against the Colts (24 carries, 100 yards), giving the run game plenty of momentum.
Carlos Hyde leads the team with 111 carries for 461 yards plus three scores this season. Duke Johnson Jr. has run the ball 44 times for 273 yards while Deshaun Watson has 35 carries for 196 yards and a team-leading five scores on the ground. As a team, the Texans have eight rushing plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season: Hyde and Johnson Jr. each have three such plays while Watson has two. Houston has moved the sticks 55 times via the ground game this season.
Oakland Raiders Run Defense
Oakland has been pretty solid against the run so far this season. The Raiders has kept four of their five opponents under 100 yards on the ground and two of those were limited to under 50 yards. Oakland has given up 3.5 yards per carry or less in three of their five games. The only team to do serious damage on the ground against the Raiders was the Vikings in week 3: Minnesota ran for 211 yards and three scores. Oakland’s four other opponents have combined for 249 yards and one score on 85 attempts. That trend continued last week as the Packers ran the ball only 23 times for 60 yards.
Tahir Whitehead leads the team with 39 tackles (30 solo) this season. Safeties Karl Joseph (30 tackles, fumble recovery), Lamarcus Joyner (25 tackles) and Erik Harris (25 tackles) along wth linebacker Nicholas Morrow (27 tackles) round out the top five tacklers for the Raiders’ defense this season. Benson Mayowa (eight tackles, two forced fumbles) leads the team with four tackles for loss while Whitehead has 3.5 on the season. Joyner, Clelin Ferrell (10 tackles) and Joseph each have three. As a team, Oakland has recorded 32 tackles for loss, forced three fumbles and recovered two this season.
- 11th in run play percentage (42.89 percent)
- 12th in rushing attempts per game (27.6)
- 8th in rushing yards per game (134.1)
- 10th in yards per carry (4.9)
- Tied for 7th in rushing TD (nine)
- Tied for 17th in longest rush (40 yards)
- 17th in percentage of run plays against (40.67 percent)
- 14th in run plays per game against (24.3)
- 5th in rushing yards allowed per game (86.7)
- 4th in opposing yards per carry (3.6)
- Tied for 9th in rushing TD allowed (five)
- 6th in longest rush allowed (26 yards)
Who has the Edge?
Houston's run game has been extremely effective this season with the Hyde/Johnson Jr. combination, which is something no one would have thought at the beginning of the season. The Raiders have been pretty stingy against the run game this season and that's something to watch for: if Oakland can hang tough against the run, it's going to make things that much more difficult. The Texans will try to do damage on the ground but as it stands, this one is a wash.
The Passing Game
Oakland Raiders Passing Offense
vs. Houston Texans Passing Defense
Oakland Raiders Passing Offense
Oakland hasn’t had to go to the air as much as they did last season as the run game has been effective. That has helped the Raiders’ defense as they aren’t getting burned out from being on the field and it has really turned things around for the team. Oakland isn’t having to throw 35 or more times a game each and every week in order to try and climb back into contests. The Raiders were in a shootout with the Packers last week and it led to their first 300-yard game of the season: they went for 329 yards in the loss. That far exceeded their first five games, where their high total was 259 yards: they had been held under 200 yards twice in that span.
Derek Carr is 140 of 189 passing for 1,410 yards with eight touchdowns and four interceptions. He has been sacked eight times for a loss of 48 yards this season. Mike Glennon is two of three for 36 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Darren Waller leads the team with 44 receptions for 485 yards and two touchdowns this season. Tyrell Williams (17 grabs, 216 yards, four TD), Hunter Renfrow (14 catches, 115 yards) and tight end Foster Moreau (12 receptions, 121 yards, two TD) are the only players so far this season with double-digit receptions. The Raiders have 15 pass plays that have covered at least 20 yards on the year: Waller has three while Williams, Jacobs (nine grabs, 87 yards) and Derek Carrier (seven receptions, 77 yards) each have two on the year.
Houston Texans Passing Defense
Houston has been hammered by the passing game in their first seven games of the year, giving up more than 300 yards four times in that span. The Texans have been a Jekyll and Hyde team from week to week: they have been torched in the odd weeks but have been decent in the even weeks. Houston allowed 370 yards to the Saints in week 1, 318 to the Chargers in week 3, 330 to Atlanta in week five and 326 to the Colts last week. By comparison, they held Jacksonville to 213 yards in week 2, Carolina to 232 yards in week four and Kansas City to 273 in week six. Will the pattern hold here in week eight?
Mercilus has stepped right in for the departed Jadeveon Clowney as he leads the team with 5.5 sacks on the year. Watt has four sacks while nose tackle D.J. Reader (24 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss) has 2.5 on the year. Joseph has seven pass defenses to lead the team while Gipson Sr., Bradley Roby (24 tackles, forced fumble) and Lonnie Johnson Jr. (25 tackles) each have four. Gipson Sr. (TD) leads the team with two interceptions while Mercilus has the other pick for the Texans’ defense. Houston has recorded 17 sacks, 27 pass defenses and three interceptions (one pick-six) as a team this season.
- 27th in pass play percentage (54.2 percent)
- 1st in completion percentage (74)
- 15th in passing yards per game (233)
- Tied for 17th in TD passes (nine)
- Tied for 9th in INT thrown (four)
- 12th in net yards per pass attempt (7.3)
- Tied for 28th in longest pass play (48 yards)
- 6th in passer rating (102)
- 31st in pass play percentage against (66.97 percent)
- 29th in passing yards per game allowed (275.6)
- 22nd in completion percentage allowed (67.5)
- Tied for 28th in TD passes allowed (15)
- Tied for 24th in INT (three)
- Tied for 16th in sacks (17)
- 26th in passer rating allowed (102.9)
- 18th in net yards per pass attempt (seven)
Who has the Edge?
Houston has been singed by the pass this season and while they've been better in the even weeks this season, it's hard to have a ton of faith in them here. Oakland may get a boost with the possible return of Tyrell Williams to the field for the first time in nearly a month. The Raiders do have the dynamic Waller at the tight end position to make plays and extend the field. Houston's best way to disrupt the passing game is to get pressure on Carr: with the Raiders' offensive line getting healthier, you have to think that they can get things going through the air.
Advantage: Oakland Raiders
Houston Texans Passing Offense
Oakland Raiders Passing Defense
Houston Texans Passing Offense
Houston has had to go to the air early and often this season as they were in a wild shootout with the Saints in the opener. That was followed by a defensive slugfest with the Jaguars in week 2 and then another entertaining clash with the Chargers last week. The Texans threw for 268 yards with three scores against one pick against New Orleans to start the season. Houston finished with only 159 yards against Jacksonville in week 2 and rang up 351 yards against the Chargers in week 3. The Texans struggled against the Panthers in week four, picking up just 160 yards but the passing game has rebounded since that point. Houston threw for a season-high 426 yards in week five against Atlanta followed by 280 yards against the Chiefs in week six and 308 yards against the Colts in week seven.
Deshaun Watson has completed 163 of 265 passes for 1,952 yards with 13 touchdowns and five interceptions this season. He's been sacked 21 times for 119 yards in losses on the year as the offensive line has been inconsistent. DeAndre Hopkins leads the team with 49 receptions for 508 yards plus three scores on the year: his lone pass attempt on a trick play was intercepted. Will Fuller V (34 catches, 450 yards, three TD), Kenny Stills (15 grabs, 293 yards, TD) and the emerging Jordan Akins (15 catches, 213 yards, two TD) are valuable options as well. The Texans have 24 pass plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season: Fuller V leads the team with seven such plays while Hopkins and Stills each have six such plays.
Oakland Raiders Passing Defense
Oakland hasn’t been torched through the air as much as they were in recent seasons as they’ve been able to make some plays on that side of the ball. The Raiders can look at the moves they made in the offseason and the fact that their offense has stepped up to help account for staying fresher in games. Oakland has given up more than 300 yards through the air only twice in the first six games: the first time came in week two against the Chiefs when Patrick Mahomes went for 443 yards. The Raiders haven’t allowed more than 268 yards in their other four games: they allowed 231 yards to the Bears in their week five game but recorded a season-high four sacks. Last week against the Packers, Oakland was exposed, giving up a season-worst 429 yards through the air.
Mayowa leads Oakland with 4.5 sacks on the season. Maurice Hurst (10 tackles, two tackles for loss, pass defense) and Maxx Crosby (12 tackles, 2.5 tackles for loss, two pass defenses, forced fumble) each have two sacks while Ferrell has one. P.J. Hall (11 tackles, two tackles for loss) has the other half a sack this season. Daryl Worley (25 tackles, fumble recovery) leads the team with three pass defenses. Harris (TD), Morrow and Gareon Conley (23 tackles, two pass defenses) each have one interception to share the team lead. After playing for Oakland last week, he’ll be on the other side this week as he was traded to the Texans earlier this week after struggling against the Packers. As a team, the Raiders have 10 sacks, 20 pass defenses and three interceptions, including one pick-six, this season.
- 22nd in pass play percentage (57.11 percent)
- 5th in completion percentage (69.1)
- 11th in passing yards per game (261.9)
- Tied for 5th in TD passes (13)
- Tied for 19th in INT thrown (six)
- 5th in net yards per pass attempt (7.8)
- Tied for 21st in longest pass play (54 yards)
- 7th in passer rating (101.9)
- 16th in pass play percentage against (59.33 percent)
- 31st in passing yards per game allowed (289.8)
- 21st in completion percentage allowed (67.5)
- Tied for 29th in TD passes allowed (16)
- Tied for 24th in INT (three)
- Tied for 27th in sacks (10)
- 29th in passer rating allowed (115.6)
- 31st in net yards per pass attempt (8.6)
Who has the Edge?
Fuller V likely won't take the field with a hamstring issue that cost him last week's game. That pushes Keke Coutee and Stills more into the forefront alongside Hopkins in the passing game. Facing an Oakland team that was absolutely slaughtered last week by Green Bay is manna from heaven for Watson and company. The offensive line should get a break as well as Oakland doesn't have much of a pass rush. The Raiders dealt Conley to Houston last week after he was torched on one of the easiest 74-yard TD passes you'll ever see. That leaves the Raiders with another soft spot in their secondary: Houston should have a massive advantage in this situation.
Advantage: Houston Texans
Oakland has been close to league average offensively as they are 18th in the league in scoring with 21.2 points per contest. The Raiders are 13th in total offense with 348.2 yards per contest and stand 6th in yards per play with an average of six yards a snap. Oakland is 29th in the league in scoring defense as they give up 27.5 points per game. The Raiders are 24th in total defense by allowing 376.5 yards per game and 30th in yards per play allowed as they give up 6.3 yards per play on average. Oakland is tied for 24th in the league in giveaway/takeaway with a -3 margin this season.
The Raiders enter this one 16th in the league in scoring touchdowns in the red zone as they cash in 56.52 percent of their chances. Defensively, Oakland has had their struggles as they are 31st in red zone defense by allowing 62.5 percent of drives to reach the red zone to end in touchdowns. The Raiders are very good in third down conversions, ranking 2nd by converting an even 50 percent of their third down situations in addition to five of six fourth downs. Oakland’s defense has struggled getting off the field as they are 29th in those situations as opposing teams convert 47.95 percent of their third downs. The Raiders are 10th in the league in time of possession by holding the ball 51.84 percent of the time this season.
Daniel Carlson has hit all 16 extra points and five of six field goal attempts with a long of 45 this season. A.J. Cole averages 47.7 yards per boot on 22 punts, though his net average is just 38.7 yards per kick. He’s dropped nine punts inside the opponent’s 20-yard line with two touchbacks but the Raiders have allowed 12.6 yards on 14 punt returns. Dwayne Harris averages 43.7 yards on three kick returns with a long of 72 while Davis has averaged 26.8 yards on five runbacks with a long of 52. Harris has averaged 10 yards on two punt returns with a long of 11 while Davis has averaged 12.8 yards on five punt returns with a long of 32 this season.
Houston is 9th in the league in scoring offense with 26.4 points per game on the year. The Texans are 4th in the league in total offense with 396 yards per game and 4th by averaging 6.2 yards per play. Houston is 18th in the league in scoring defense by giving up 23.4 points per contest. The Texans are 17th by allowing 359.9 yards per game and stand 19th in yards per play as they give up 5.7 yards per play. Houston is on the plus side in the takeaway/giveaway department as they rank tied for 16th with an even margin in that category.
The Texans are excellent in the red zone as they are 4th in the league by converting a terrific 65.38 percent of their chances on the year. Houston is 30th in the league as they have allowed 68.18 percent of their opponents' trips into the red zone to end in touchdowns. The Texans are a solid 4th in third-down conversions by converting 48.84 percent of their opportunities this season. Houston is a dismal 27th in third-down defense as opponents convert at a 46.24 percent rate on those plays. The Texans are 12th in the league in time of possession by holding the ball for 51.25 percent of the time this season.
Ka'imi Fairbairn is 18 of 22 on extra point tries this season and nine of 12 on field goals with a long of 50. Trevor Daniel punted 11 times for a 43.5-yard average (40.9-yard net) with two punts inside the opponent's 20-yard line but was cut on September 17. Bryan Anger has punted 12 times for a 46.8-yard average (45.2-yard net) with seven of his kicks inside the opponent's 20-yard line and one touchback. DeAndre Carter has averaged 19.5 yards on six kick returns with a long of 28 along with 10 punt returns for a 9.2-yard average with a long of 23.
Who has the Edge?
Oakland's inability to make plays to get off the field defensively is a major issue for the team this season. The Raiders have to be better in that department in order to try and maintain their recent momentum, which was ground to a halt last week by the Packers. Houston has some dynamic playmakers on both sides of the ball and they have the ability to do damage in a variety of ways. The kicking game favors the Texans but the return game is probably a little better for Oakland. Gruden has a Super Bowl ring from his time in Tampa Bay but that was more than 15 years ago. O'Brien is trying to push the buttons to get his team going in the right direction: this one is pretty balanced.
Oakland is pretty efficient on the offensive side of the ball but their defense has let them down time and time again this season. The Raiders have to be more aggressive defensively and generate a pass rush to make life tough for opposing quarterbacks. Too often, Oakland gives opposing QBs too much time to throw and their secondary falls apart. Houston needs to bounce back after last week's defeat as they missed a chance to take control of the AFC South. Facing an Oakland team that gave up 42 points last week to Green Bay is a nice boost for the Texans. After all, we saw Houston put up 53 on the Falcons at home a few weeks ago.
The Texans are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 8, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss and 4-1 in their last five in October. Oakland has gone 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October. Houston's offense is too much for the Raiders to handle in this contest.
Latest Updates, Injury Reports, and Line Movements
Oakland has a few injuries to keep an eye on for this contest. Jacobs is questionable with that shoulder injury he sustained against Green Bay last week. He did return to practice in a limited fashion on Friday. If he can't go or is limited, Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington would be next up. Tyrell Williams is questionable as he practiced in a limited fashion all week: if he returns, it would be a boost for the Raiders' receiving corps. Right tackle Trent Brown is questionable with a calf injury: if he can't go, David Sharpe would get the call again.
Houston has some injury issues to deal with as well. Starting right tackle Tytus Howard is out too with a knee injury, which would put Roderick Johnson in the mix. The problem is, Johnson is questionable with a neck injury, which means Dan Skipper may end up starting. Will Fuller V is out with a hamstring injury, which means that Kenny Stills and Keke Coutee will see more work in the passing game. Backup center Greg Mancz is out with a concussion, which thins the depth of the offensive line as well. The secondary is dealing with problems as well: corner Bradley Roby (hamstring) and safety Tashaun Gipson Sr. (back) are both questionable as well.
The weather will be a non-factor in this one since NRG Stadium is an enclosed venue. The game-time temperature is expected to be in the high-70s for this contest with clear skies: the heat index is expected to be in the mid-80s. Winds are expected to come from the south-southeast at less than five miles per hour. There is no precipitation in the forecast for the tailgaters. Inside, the temperature will be in the high-60s with no weather to speak of: once you get inside, everything will be good to go, at least for a few hours.
When the initial lines opened for this contest, Houston was installed as a 6.5-point favorite with the over/under set at 48 points. As of Saturday afternoon, the line has stayed flat with the Texans remaining a 6.5-point favorite in the contest. The over/under ticked upward slightly to 51.5 points in this contest. Currently, the moneyline shows Houston as a solid -275 to -300 favorite while the Raiders can be found as a +225 to +250 underdog depending on the sportsbook. As of this writing, 69 percent of the bets are backing the Texans -16.5 points. When it comes to the moneyline, a solid majority, 63 percent of the wagers, are backing the Raiders as the visiting team. Meanwhile, 68 percent of bets are projecting this one to go over the total.
This one has the potential to put up a lot of points on the board on both sides in this contest. We saw the Raiders give up 42 points last week in a high-scoring loss to Green Bay. Houston allowed 30 points last week in their defeat to Indianapolis in their last game and there is firepower on both sides here. The Raiders have been weak in pass coverage and that's going to be something Houston exposes here. This one goes to the hosts as they prevail in a potential shootout.
Prediction: Houston Texans -6.5Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com
Additional Insiders' Best Bets
Full-game Total Bet
Houston has been extremely effective on the offensive side of things this season as they are capable of putting some big point totals on the board. The Texans have put up at least 23 points in five of their seven games this season and hit the 27 point mark in four of their contests. Oakland has at least 24 points in four of their six games on the year but their defense has been a letdown this season. The Raiders have allowed at least 21 points in five of their games this season. Will Oakland find a way to make some stops on the defensive side of the ball?
The over is 4-0 in the Raiders' last 4 games overall, 3-0-1 in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and 6-0-1 in their last 7 games on fieldturf. Houston has seen the over go 7-2 in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 6-2 in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 19-7 in their last 26 in October. The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings: look for this one to end up over the number given Houston's solid offense and the Raiders' leaky defense.
Half-time Side Bet
Oakland has held the lead at the half in three of their six games this season. The Raiders struggled last week against Green Bay with the final four minutes of the opening half and the first drive of the second half telling the tale of that contest. Twenty-one unanswered points turned a three-point lead into an 18-point deficit that was too much for Oakland to overcome. Houston has held the halftime lead in just three of their seven games as they've done far more damage in the second half of games. Still, the Texans are facing a soft Raiders defense and that gives them the edge at the half.
Half-time Total Bet
We've seen both teams put up some decent point totals this season. Oakland has been outscored by a single point, 80-79, in the first half of games this year. Houston has been outscored 84-78 in the first half of their games this year. Both teams have been capable of putting up some solid point totals in the first half of their games this season. Seeing how things have gone for both teams this season, it would be no surprise to see this game be 17-10 or 17-14 at the half, pushing this one over the number.