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Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Redskins,
10-29-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#269 Dallas
Cowboys
#270 Washington
Redskins

Sunday, October 29, 2017 at 4:25pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Dallas Cowboys (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U) at Washington Redskins (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 4-2 O/U)

When and Where: Sunday, Oct. 29, FedEx Field, Landover, Md., 4:25pmET

Line: Dallas -2.5

Total: 50.5

Dallas and Washington are a disappointing 3-3 on the season. The Skins are coming off a 34-24 road loss to Philadelphia on Monday night. Dallas had lost two straight games at home before beating up on San Francisco, 40-10 on the road this past Sunday. Last season, the Cowboys swept the Redskins and have won four of the last five in this series.

Zeke is back

Ezekiel Elliott still has a potential suspension looming and maybe that has shown in his erratic play. But he rushed for 116 yards against Green Bay in a 35-31 loss in Week 5. After a bye, he looked even stronger against San Francisco, rushing for 147 yards and two touchdowns, while catching one pass for a 72-yard touchdown. The second-year back look dominant along with his teammates in the 30-point road win. The Cowboys rushed for 265 yards and passed for 236 in the victory. Their defense held San Francisco to 290 yards and kept them out of the end zone until Niners quarterback C.J. Beathard scored on a 4-yard run with 6:14 left in the game.

About the only concern that came after the San Francisco game was the loss of kicker Dan Bailey due to a groin injury, which will cost him 2-3 games most likely. With Bailey out, safety Jeff Heath had to handle the kicks and made two of three extra points. Obviously, he won’t kick this week as the Cowboys have worked out several kickers, including veteran Mike Nugent. On the season, Dallas averages 380.3 yards per game (6th) and 147.5 rushing yards (2nd). Defense has been the issue as they are allowing 23.7 points per game (22nd) and 115.5 rushing yards per game (21st).

Wentz outduels Cousins

Kirk Cousins did all he could on Monday night, completing 30 of 40 for 303 yards with three touchdowns and one pick, but that wasn’t enough as the Eagles came out on top, 34-24. Second-year quarterback hurt the Skins with 268 yards passing, four TDs and 63 rushing yards. Washington struggled on the ground, rushing for 75 yard s on 18 attempts with Chris Thompson leading the way with 38 yards.

The Skins led the game early on, going up 10-3 on a 7-yard pass to Thompson with 9:14 left. But that was it for Washington, as the Eagles poured on 21 straight points. The Redskins got within a touchdown on a Cousins pass to TE Jordan Reed with 44 seconds left in the third quarter. But the Eagles came right back with another Wentz touchdown pass early in the fourth quarter to put the game away. The concerns for Washington right now are injuries. Star cornerback Josh Norman (ribs) has missed the last two games and is considered questionable. The Skins are also banged up on the offensive line with OG Brandon Scherff coming off an injured MCL. The Skins also lost right tackle Morgan Moses to injuries to both ankles in the first half.

On the season, Washington ranks 8th in overall offense (369.2ypg) and sixth in passing yards per game (254.3ypg). They rank 19th in passing yards allowed (230.7ypg) and 26th in points allowed (24.5ppg).

NFL Trends:

Dallas is:

  • 1-4 ATS last 5 after an ATS win.
  • 2-6 ATS last 8 after a SU win.

Washington is:

  • 8-3 ATS last 11 after a SU loss.
  • 15-6 ATS last 21 in this series.

The underdog is 29-9 ATS in the last 38 meetings. That’s just one of the many reasons to take Washington. Another is linebacker Sean Lee’s probable absence. The Skins love to go to their tight ends in Jordan Reed and Vernon Davis. Dallas crushed the Niners but they had no passing game. They struggled against quality quarterbacks in losses to Aaron Rodgers and Jared Goff. Cousins is in that category. Take the points at home.

Pick: Washington

Washington and Dallas have defensive issues. Both have pretty good quarterbacks who can exploit shoddy secondary play. Dallas is 4-1 Over the last 5 in this series and 4-0 Over the last 4 in October. Washington is 10-1 Over the last 11 after an ATS loss and 21-6 Over the last 27 overall.

Over

4

Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!

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