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Oakland Raiders vs. Buffalo Bills,
10-29-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#261 Oakland
Raiders
#262 Buffalo
Bills

Sunday, October 29, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Oakland Raiders (3-4 SU, 3-4-0 PS, 3-4-0 O/U) vs Buffalo Bills (4-2 SU, 4-1-1 PS, 2-4-0 O/U)

When: 1:00 PM EDT, Sunday, October 29, 2017

Where: New Era Field in Orchard Park, New York

Lines: Buffalo -2.5

Total: 45.5

Sunday afternoon NFL action and the AFC West will duke it out with the AFC East as the Oakland Raiders take on the Buffalo Bills at New Era Field in Orchard Park, New York, The Raiders enter this contest off a 31-30 home win over the Chiefs, while the Bills took down Tampa Bay at home by a score of 30-27. These teams met last year in Oakland and the Raiders won that game by a score of 38-24.

Raiders Top Chiefs On Last Second Score

Really can’t call it a last-second score as they were a couple of untimed plays at the end of the game and the Raiders took advantage of their extra plays in a 31-30 win over the Chiefs as Derek Carr hit Michael Crabtree with a two-yard TD pass to win the game. That was an important win for them as they broke a four-game losing streak that they were on. Derek Carr and this offense has not performed to expectations this year so far, but they finally had a great showing in the win over the Chiefs. Carr did miss a couple of games earlier in the year and did not look sharp in his return, but against the Chiefs, he hit 29 of 52 passes for 417 yards with three TDs and no INTs. On the year, he has hit 64.9% of his passes for 1341 yards with 11 TDs and four INTs. The Raiders were also glad that Amari Cooper had his first big game of the year as he caught 11 passes for 210 yards and two TDs. He had totaled just 146 total yards in his first six games of the year. The Carr-to-Cooper connection hopes to keep rolling this week, but it will not be easy as they are facing a tougher defense. The defense for the Raiders struggled against a good Kansas City offense, especially against the pass as they allowed 331 yards passing in the game, but they will be going against a strong ground attack in this one and that could help their defense as they will not be facing a good passing offense in this one. They allowed just 94 yards rushing to the Chiefs.   

The Raiders have been a bit below average on offense so far as they come in ranked 22nd in the league in total offense (310.7 ypg), 18th in passing (217.9 ypg), 24th in rushing (92.9 ypg) and 15th in scoring at 22.1 ppg. On defense, they have not been good at all as they come in ranked 26th in total yards allowed (360.6 ypg), 23rd against the pass (246.7 ypg) and 19th vs the run (113.9 ypg), while allowing 22.3 ppg, which is 18th in the league.

Hauschka Lifts Bills Over Buccaneers

The Buffalo Bills are off to a nice 4-2 start to their year and they come in off a hard-fought 30-27 home win over Tampa Bay. The game went back-and-forth, but in the end, it was the Bills who got the win on a Stephen Hauschka FG with just 14 seconds left in regulation. It was his 3rd FG of the game and earlier in the game he tied an NFL record by making his 12th consecutive field goal of at least 50 yards. The final FG was set up when the Bucs fumbled the ball at their own 33 with under two minutes to go in the game. The Bills Bills had a very good game on the ground as they ran for 173 yards and leading the way was LeSean McCoy, who ran for 91 yards and two TDs in the game. Last year he ran for 1267 yards for the Bills, but he has just 370 yards on the ground this year so far. They need to get him going and that will help Tyrod Taylor get the passing game going. Taylor has hit 62.1% of his passes for 1178 yards with seven TDs and two INTs on the year and his QBR of 91.8 is 12th in the league. The defense has really struggled against the pass this year and they allowed 378 yards passing against the Buccaneers, which may not be good news here as they are facing an Oakland team that finally got their passing game going last week, plus they allowed Carr to throw for 260 yards and two TDs on them last year.   

Buffalo enters this contest ranked 25th in the league in total offense (298.7 ypg), 29th in passing (181.0 ypg), 14th in rushing (117.7 ypg) and 19th in scoring at 19.8 ppg. On defense, they come in ranked 21st in total yards allowed (343.2 ypg), 26th against the pass (2587 ypg) and 7th vs the run (84.5 ypg), while allowing just 16.8 ppg, which is 4th in the league.

Trends

Oakland is:

  • 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in Week eight
  • 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game

Buffalo is:

  • 1-5 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game
  • 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games in October

The Bills and Raiders both come in off of very tough battles and both are looking to build off of those wins. The Raiders have had extra time to prepare for this game and their passing attack looked really good last week against the Chiefs. Now they take on a Buffalo team that just allowed Tampa Bay to throw for 378 yards against them. This not a good matchup for the Buffalo defense. The Bills have a strong run game, but the Raiders have allowed just 105.7 ypg on the ground in their last three games and if the Bills can’t run the ball, then they just won’t be able to keep pace in this one as they don’t have a strong passing game. Look for the Raiders to take this one, especially knowing that they are 5-0 ATS the last five games in this series.

Pick” Oakland +2.5

The Buffalo Bills are not a strong offensive team and they have allowed just 16.8 ppg, while the Raiders are a good offensive team and they have allowed 22.3 ppg. Something has to give here. The Raiders offense finally looked good last week and now they get to face one of the worst pass defenses in the league. The Bills have not been great on offense, but they did score 30 points last week and the Raiders are not a great defensive team. Buffalo will have to score if they hope to win this game as the Raiders will get their points. I look for this one to go Over the total, especially knowing that the Over is 5-0 the last games in this series.  

Pick: Over 45.5

Confidence: 4

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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