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San Francisco 49ers vs. Philadelphia Eagles,
10-29-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#259 San Francisco
49ers
#260 Philadelphia
Eagles

Sunday, October 29, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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San Francisco 49ers (0-7 SU, 4-3-0 PS, 4-3-0 O/U) vs Philadelphia Eagles (6-1 SU, 5-2-0 PS, 5-2-0 O/U)

When: 1:00 PM EDT, Sunday, October 29, 2017

Where: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA

Lines: Philadelphia -12

Total: 49

NFL football action on Sunday afternoon and the San Francisco 49er will travel across the country to battle the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA. The 49ers come off a very bad 40-10 home loss to the Cowboys, while the Eagles are off a 34-24 home win over the Redskins on Monday night. These teams last met in 2014 (at San Francisco) and the Niners won the game 26-21.

Niners Get Run Over By Cowboys At Home

The San Francisco 49ers had a miserable season last year as they were just 2-14 and it hasn’t been much better this year as they are off to an 0-7 start. They had not been playing all that bad as they had lost five games in a row by three points or less, but then the Cowboys came to town and they were crushed by 30 points in that game as they fell by a score of 40-10. The run defense really struggled in the game as they allowed the Cowboys to pile up 265 yards on the ground in the game. They just had no answer for Ezekiel Elliott, who had 147 yards rushing and two TDs in the game. They also struggled against the pass as they allowed 236 yards passing in the game. This was the worst defensive team in the league last year and it hasn’t improved a whole lot this year so far. The offense has been a bit better this year so far, but they had just 290 yards of total offense against the Cowboys. CJ Beathard has taken over the QB role from Brian Hoyer, who has struggled this year and he hit 22 of 38 passes for 235 yards, but he was also sacked five times for 48 yards. He has a 74.2 QBR in his two games so far, which isn’t much better than the 74.1 QBR that Hoyer has so far, still, the brass at San Francisco feel that Beathard is their guy of the future and so he will be their guy under center the rest of the way.

The 49ers have been a bit below average on offense so far as they come in ranked 20th in the league in total offense (316.9 ypg), 17th in passing (220.9 ypg), 23rd in rushing (96.0 ypg) and 25th in scoring at 17.6 ppg. On defense, they have not been good at all as they come in ranked 28th in total yards allowed (393.1 ypg), 25th against the pass (258.6 ypg) and 29th vs the run (134.6 ypg), while allowing 26.6 ppg, which is 30th in the league.

Wentz Leads Eagles Over The Redskins

The Philadelphia Eagles are one of the biggest surprises of the season so far as they currently own the league’s best record at 6-1. A big reason for that has been the play of Carson Wentz, who has been the perfect fit for this Philadelphia Offense. On Monday night, he hit 17 of 25 passes for 268 yards with four TDs and one INT in the win over the Redskins. On the year, he has hit 61.6% of his passes for 1852 yards with 17 TDs and just four INTs and his QBR of 104.0 is 4th in the league. His 17 TD passes lead the league. Zach Ertz had a strong game as he caught five passes for 89 yards and a TD, while Mack Hollins caught one pass for 64 yards and a TD, which was his 1st career TD catch. The Eagles put up 371 yards on the Skins while allowing 354 yards of offense to them. The run defense was solid, but they did allow 269 yards passing in the game. They did pick off a pass and had four sacks as well. This has been a very solid defense this year so far and it complements the offense nicely. The Eagles have now won their last five games in a row and they already have a 2.5 game lead over both the Cowboys and Redskins. Doug Pederson has done a fine job with this team and now they get a very good chance to keep their win streak going as they have the worst team in the league here at home.   

Philadelphia enters this contest ranked 5th in the league in total offense (381.4 ypg), 9th in passing (249.7 ypg), 4th in rushing (131.7 ypg) and 5th in scoring at 28.4 ppg. On defense, they come in ranked 20th in total yards allowed (339.9 ypg), 29th against the pass (272.9 ypg) and 1st vs the run (67.0 ypg), while allowing just 20.9 ppg, which is 12th in the league.

Trends

San Francisco is:

  • 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Week eight
  • 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up loss

Philadelphia is:

  • 1-6 ATS in their last seven games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game
  • 0-5 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record

The Eagles come in as the hottest team in the league and they just beat the Redskins at home by 10 points, while the Niners are off a 30 point home loss to the Cowboys and they are still looking for their first win of the year. This may be a flat spot for the Eagles as they are off a big divisional home win and playing on a short week with a game against the Broncos on deck. They may not be fully focused on this one and that could allow the Niner to keep it close. San Fran is 0-4 on the road this year, but they have yet to lose any of those games by more than three points. I will look for the Niners to keep this one within seven points.  

Pick: San Francisco +11.5

The Eagles have been a very good offensive team this year, while the Niners have not. Philadelphia may be in a flat spot here, but their offense should keep on producing, especially against a poor defense like that of the Niners. The San Fran offense is not great, but they have a better passing game with Beathard under center and he will be taking on a poor Philadelphia pass defense. The Eagles will get their points in this one, while the Niners will be able to score some as well. The Over is 9-2 in San Fran’s last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, while the Over is 15-7 in Philadelphia’s last 22 vs. the NFC, plus the Over is 7-2 the last nine in the series. Look for a high-scoring game in this one.

Pick: Over 49

Confidence: 3

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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