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Arizona Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Eagles,
10-8-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#463 Arizona
Cardinals
#464 Philadelphia
Eagles

Sunday, October 8, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Arizona Cardinals (2-2 SU, 0-4 ATS, 1-3 O/U) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U)

NFL: Sunday, October 8, 2017, Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 1 pm ET

Spread: Philadelphia -6.5; Over/Under: 45

It’s a Week 5 matchup in the NFL in the City of Brotherly Love between NFC opponents. The Arizona Cardinals are on the road as they face the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday afternoon. Arizona managed to defeat San Francisco 18-15 in overtime at home last Sunday. Philadelphia hung on for a 26-24 road win over the Chargers last Sunday. The Cardinals hold a 57-55-6 advantage in the all-time series and have taken five of the last six meetings. That includes a 40-17 road win in the most recent matchup on December 20, 2015.

Arizona Cardinals Look to Win Second Straight

Arizona had their work cut out for them in a field goal fest with the 49ers in week 4. The Cardinals, staring a loss in the face after San Francisco kicked a field goal on their opening possession of overtime, went 75 yards in seven plays in 1:52 to score the winning touchdown with just 32 seconds to play. Arizona outgained San Francisco 368-305, rolled up 25 first downs to the 49ers’ 20 and had a 36:15 to 33:13 edge in time of possession. Both of Arizona’s wins this season have come in overtime: can they pull out a win in regulation?

The Cardinals are 2nd in the league in passing offense with 292.3 yards per game while they are dead last in rushing offense with 57 yards per contest. Arizona is 22nd in the league in scoring offense with 18.5 points per game and 20th in scoring defense while allowing 20.8 points per contest. Carson Palmer is 108 of 183 passing for 1,282 yards with five touchdowns and five interceptions while getting sacked 17 times. Chris Johnson, who was re-signed after David Johnson was placed on injured reserve with a broken wrist that doomed fantasy seasons across the globe, leads the Cardinals with 36 carries for 93 yards. Larry Fitzgerald leads the team with 26 receptions for 276 yards and two scores. Andre Ellington (19 receptions, 192 yards), Jaron Brown (14 grabs, 205 yards, TD) and J.J. Nelson (13 catches, 197 yards, two TD) are other targets for Palmer. Phil Dawson is five of five on extra points and nine of 12 on field goal attempts with a long of 50 yards.

Philadelphia Eagles Hope to Maintain Momentum

Philadelphia managed to survive against the Chargers as their run game took care of the heavy lifting. The Eagles look to keep rolling as they try to stay atop the NFC East. Philadelphia took a 13-0 lead in the second quarter and managed to hang on despite having their lead trimmed to two on a pair of occasions in the fourth quarter. The Eagles held a 454-400 advantage in total yards, a 26-18 edge in first downs and dominated time of possession by a 39:18 to 20:42 margin in the contest. Philadelphia also forced the game’s only turnover.

The Eagles are 11th in the league with 249.5 yards per contest through the air and tied for 3rd in rushing offense with 143 yards per game. Philadelphia comes in 7th in the NFL in scoring offense with 25.8 points per contest and is tied for 21st in scoring defense as they give up an average of 23 points per game. Carson Wentz is 89 of 147 throwing the ball for 1,058 yards with six touchdowns against two interceptions while rushing for 97 yards. LeGarrette Blount leads the Eagles with 42 carries for 249 yards plus a score while Wendell Smallwood (29 carries, 113 yards, TD) is a solid change of pace back. Zach Ertz leads the team with 26 receptions for 326 yards plus a score. Alshon Jeffery (17 grabs, 234 yards, 2 TD), Torrey Smith (10 receptions, 134 yards) and Nelson Agholor (12 grabs, 173 yards, two TD) are solid outside targets when Wentz decides to stretch the field. Caleb Sturgis was 1 of 2 on extra points and 3 of 3 on field goals with a long of 50 before straining a hip flexor. Jake Elliott is 7 of 7 on extra points and 8 of 10 on field goals with a long of 61.

Trends:

Arizona

  • Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game
  • Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game
  • Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall

Philadelphia

  • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5

The Cardinals have managed to win a pair of games in the extra session but beating the Andrew Luck-less Colts and the 49ers isn’t going to move the needle much. Arizona clearly misses David Johnson and his explosiveness in both the run and passing games. Philadelphia has run the ball extremely well as Smallwood and Corey Clement have stepped in to replace the injured Darren Sproles. The Eagles are at home for just the second time this season: look for them to take advantage of a battered Arizona team with a weak offensive line to improve to 4-1 on the year.

Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -6.5

It’s become painfully obvious that if Arizona is going to have any success this season, at least until David Johnson comes back, it’s going to have to come from the right arm of Palmer. The problem for the Cardinals is, they haven’t been able to keep him upright: he was sacked six times against the 49ers and took several other brutal shots. That’s the difference between the Cardinals and the Eagles right now: Philadelphia can run the ball effectively, and even after losing Sproles, have a talented trio of backs to share the load in Blount, Smallwood and Corey Clement.

The over is 4-0 in Arizona’s last four on the road against teams with a winning home record, 5-0 in their last five against teams with a winning record, 7-2 in their last nine against NFC foes, 16-5 in their last 21 road contests and 8-3 in their last 11 games overall. Philadelphia has seen the over go 4-0 in their last four week 5 contests, 4-1 in their last five after giving up at least 350 yards in their previous game, 4-1 in their last five after allowing less than 90 yards on the ground and 4-1 in their last five in October. Arizona is going to have to throw to stay in the game and Philadelphia is a bit susceptible to the pass, which should push this one over.

Over 45

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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