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Baltimore Ravens vs. Oakland Raiders,
10-8-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#469 Baltimore
Ravens
#470 Oakland
Raiders

Sunday, October 8, 2017 at 4:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Baltimore Ravens (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U) at Oakland Raiders (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U)

When and Where: Sunday, Oct. 8, Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, Calif., 4:05pmET

Line: Oakland -4

Total: 39

Oakland has lost two straight games but they return home, where they defeated the New York Jets, 45-20 on Sept. 17. Since then, the Raiders fell at Washington, 27-10 on Sunday night. Last week, they lost at Denver, 16-10 despite a strong defensive effort. As for the Ravens, they were crushed again, this time at home by their rivals, Pittsburgh, 26-9. Both teams have issues and would like to halt two-game losing streaks.

Flacco continues his streak

Former Baltimore Colts great quarterback Johnny Unitas once had a 47-game touchdown streak record that lasted 52 years. Joe Flacco has now gone through 10 straight games with at least one interception thrown. On Sunday, the Ravens’ woeful play on offense continued as Flacco threw two more interceptions. He did complete 31 for 49 but for just 235 yards and 4.8 yards per catch. Baltimore was down 19-0 and the angry crowd, already upset about their London performance (44-7 loss) and the kneeling protest before each game, showered the team with boos. The running game has been given a slight boost by Alex Collins, who had nine carries for 82 yards, but put the ball on the ground for the second time in three games. Defensively, they gave up 144 yards on 35 carries from Pittsburgh running back Le’Veon Bell.

Baltimore leads the league with 16 players on the IR, but one player who is not is DT Brandon Williams. With Williams and Brett Urban (foot on the IR) out, the Ravens’ run defense has been ripped apart by Jacksonville and Pittsburgh over the last two weeks. Williams is not likely to play this week so the Ravens will have to rely on younger linemen Willie Henry and Carl Davis.

Manuel fills in for injured Carr

Derek Carr took an awful lot of hits against the Redskins and it eventually caught up with him against Denver. The quarterback was injured in the third quarter with a back injury after he was sacked by Shelby Harris and hit by Adam Gotsis. The injury is believed to be back spasms, which means he could be back this week. With E.J. Manuel in, the Raiders attempted a fake punt on fourth-and-11 from their own 33 and punter Marquette King was stuffed by Jordan Taylor. Then King compounded things by receiving an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty. Yet Oakland bit the bullet as Brandon McManus missed a 29-yard field goal. Manuel completed 11 of 17 for 106 yards with an interception (late in the game) in relief for Carr (143 yards, 1 TD). Once again, Oakland’s running game was non-existent. as Marshawn Lynch was held to 12 yards on nine carries. The Raiders finished with 24 rushing yards and 230 passing yards.

The defense was strong, as Cory James led the team with 10 tackles, including two TFLs. OLB Khalil Mack added seven tackles and two sacks. Mack has four sacks on the season and 23 tackles in four games. Carr is completing 67.9 percent of his passes for 753 yards and seven TDs.

NFL Trends:

Baltimore is:

  • 2-9 ATS last 11 in Week 5.
  • 4-13-2 ATS last 19 after a SU loss.

Oakland is:

  • 9-4 ATS last 13 on grass.
  • 5-1 ATS last 6 home games.

It’s assumed that Carr is going to play or there would be no line. But Manuel showed that there wouldn’t be that much of a drop-off. Flacco will have no time to throw with Mack in his face all day so Baltimore will have to rely on Collins, and he’s not the most stable back. It’s hard to imagine, after traveling from London back home back to the West Coast, that it wouldn’t wear out the Ravens.

Pick: Oakland

Baltimore can’t score points and the Raiders are playing pretty good defense. That as a big issue last year and while they didn’t play well against Washington, there were a lot of strange things that took place in Week 3. The Ravens have a strong defense that kept them in the game in the second half against the Steelers. Baltimore is 7-3 Under last 10 in Week 5. Oakland is 5-2 Under last 7 on grass.

Under

4

Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!

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