Seattle Seahawks (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U) vs. Los Angeles Rams (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 4-0 O/U)
NFL: Sunday, October 8, 2017 at 4:05 p.m. EST
The Line: Los Angeles Rams -2. Total: 46.
The Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks will be battling for NFC West supremacy when they square off at L.A. Memorial Coliseum on Sunday afternoon. Los Angeles leads the division at 3-1 following an impressive road win over Dallas this past weekend. The Seahawks, not far behind at 2-2, have alternated losses and wins and most recently hammered Indianapolis.
Carson out with injury
Seattle running back Chris Carson was placed on injured reserve on Monday after suffering a broken bone in his left leg in addition to a high ankle sprain during last Sunday’s 46-18 blowout of the Colts. The rookie had emerged as the Seahawks’ starting running back, so they will have to turn back to Eddie Lacy, Thomas Rawls, and C.J. Prosise will Carson is sidelined. Prosise, who sat out the game with an ankle issue, is expected to return this weekend. J.D. McKissic, who saw his first action of the season this past week and scored a 30-yard touchdown, will also be in the mix. Lacy served as Carson’s primary backup and ended with a team-high 52 yards on 11 carries–43 of which came on Seattle’s final possession after Carson exited.
“He looked good,’’ head coach Pete Carroll said of Lacy. “I thought he looked exactly like we hoped. He looked big and strong and tough and very decisive and he just needs to get some more carries to get going.’’
A different 3-1
The Rams were also 3-1 through four games last year, but no one is going to confuse that 3-1 with this one; at least not anyone who was a part of both teams. With offensive guru Sean McVay as its new head coach, Los Angeles has scored 142 points through their four contests, more than every other team and 79 more than they scored in the first quarter of the 2016 schedule. Quarterback Jared Goff (21-of-36 for 255 yards, two touchdowns and zero turnovers in last Sunday’s 35-30 victory over the Cowboys) has a 112.2 quarterback rating, almost double his 63.6 mark as a rookie. Goff has tossed seven touchdown passes compared to only one interception and has been sacked just four times this season. Star running back Todd Gurley (121 rushing yards, 94 receiving yards, and a touchdown against Dallas) has an NFC-leading 596 yards from scrimmage with seven touchdowns–one more than he scored in all 16 games of last season. Gurley was the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2015 after rushing for 1,106 yards before slumping in 2016 to the tune of a 3.2 yards-per-carry average. Now it is safe to say he is back on the rise. The former University of Georgia standout also has 20 receptions for 234 yards and he is just the third running back in league history to accumulate more than 575 yards from scrimmage and score seven touchdowns in the first four games of the year (Jim Brown and Emmitt Smith).
“We’re 3-1, but I remember that feeling when we were 3-1 last year and we won one game of the 12 after that,” cornerback Trumaine Johnson noted. “Be humble.”
The Seattle Seahawks are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last five overall
- 0-6 ATS in their last six road games
- 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the NFC
The Los Angeles Rams are:
- 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Seattle
- 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against Seattle
- 5-0 Over in their last five overall
Surprisingly, the Rams have won at home in this head-to-head series in three straight years. They even swept Seattle in 2015. And all of that took place when the Rams were terrible. Now they are in Los Angeles and appear to be the real deal–at least on the offensive side of the ball. The Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall, 0-6 ATS in their last six on the road, 1-4 ATS in their last five on the road against opponents with winning home records, 1-5 ATS in their last six against the NFC, and 1-5 ATS in their last six on grass. Los Angeles is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings between the two teams and 5-0 ATS in its last five at home against Seattle. Count on those trends continuing.
Pick: Los Angeles Rams -2
Los Angeles is a well-oiled machine right now. Goff is no longer looking like a major bust of a No. 1 pick and Gurley is playing like the best running back in the NFL. Meanwhile, Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson has taken off in the last two games after his offense struggled through the first two. The over is 4-1 in the Seahawks’ last five on the road, 4-0 in their last four on the road against opponents with winning home records, and 12-5 in their last 17 against winning opponents. It is also 5-0 in the Rams’ last five overall, 5-0 in their last five at home, 4-0 in their last four against the NFC, 4-0 in their last four after gaining more than 350 yards in their previous outing, and 4-0 in their last four after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous outing. Look for this one to go over the total.