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Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins,
10-8-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#459 Tennessee
Titans
#460 Miami
Dolphins

Sunday, October 8, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Tennessee Titans (2-2 SU, 2-2-0 PS, 3-1-0 O/U) vs Miami Dolphins (1-2 SU, 1-2-0 PS, 0-3-0 O/U)

When: 1:00 PM EDT, Sunday, October 8, 2017

Where: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida

Lines: Tennessee -1

Total: NA

NFL action on Sunday afternoon and the AFC South will square off with the AFC East as the Tennessee Titans duke it out with the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. The Titans will be looking to bounce back from a horrible 57-14 loss to the Texans on the road, while the Dolphins are off a 20-0 loss to the Saints over in London.

Titans Get Crushed In Houston

The Tennessee Titans were picked by many this year to win the AFC South, but those that did may have to rethink their thoughts on that pick after the Titans were routed in Houston by a score of 57-14. The defense really struggled in that game and they were facing a rookie QB to boot. Deshaun Watson had a great game against this defense as he threw for 283 yards and four TDs against this defense that has struggled for the most part this year. Watson showed that he is for real and he could very well lead the Texans to a division title. The Titans allowed 455 yards total in the game, but that was not their only issue as the offense struggled mightily as well. The Titans did lose Marcus Mariota (Listed as day-to-day) during the game, but he wasn’t that effective when he was in there as he hit six of 10 passes for 96 yards and two INTs. Matt Cassel then came in and hit four of 10 for 21 yards and two INTs. If Mariota can’t go in this one, then Cassel will get the start. Overall, the Titans had just 195 yards of total offense and their two TDs in the game were scored by Mariota, who had 34 yards rushing in the game. You can bet this will be an angry bunch of Titans in this game, but can they win it if Mariota doesn’t play? We shall see.        

The Titans have been solid on offense so far this year as they come in ranked 14th in the league in total offense (338.8 ypg), 22nd in passing (200.0 ypg), 6th in rushing (138.8 ypg) and 9th in scoring at 25.0 ppg. On defense, they have been very poor so far as they come in ranked 29th in total yards allowed (386.6 ypg), 28th against the pass (274.2 ypg) and 21st vs the run (112.5 ypg), while allowing 31.5 ppg, which is 30th in the league.

Dolphins Have No Offense In London

A couple of weeks ago the Baltimore Ravens left their defense in the states when they faced the Jaguars and last week it was the Miami Dolphins that left something in the states. Namely, their offense as they fell to the New Orleans Saints by a score of 20-0 in London. Jay Cutler has been lured out of retirement to take over for the injured Ryan Tannehill and while he is making a buttload of money, he may be re-thinking his return. In the loss to the Saints, he hit 20 of 28 passes for 164 yards and an INT. not horrible, but not great numbers and it was on the heels of him hitting just 26 of 44 passes for 220 yards, with a TD and an INT in a 20-6 loss to the Jets the week before. He has not had good success so far, but he could also use some help from a running game that has been among the worst in the league this year. Jay Ajayi had 122 yards in their opener against the Chargers, but the last two weeks he has totaled just 62 yards on the ground. That has to change or this offense will continue to struggle. You know your offense is bad when you get shutout by the Saints. The defense for the Dolphins has given up plenty of yards, but not a whole lot of points. Last week they allowed 347 yards to the Saints, including 261 yards through the air, but just 20 points. They will; look to get back in the win column after a couple of really bad losses the last two weeks.    

Miami enters this contest ranked 32nd in the league in total offense (249.0 ypg), 28th in passing (182.7 ypg), 30th in rushing (60.3 ypg) and 32nd in scoring at 8.3 ppg. On defense, they have been solid so far as they come in ranked 21st in total yards allowed (350.0 ypg), 27th against the pass (272.3 ypg) and 5th vs the run (77.7 ypg), while allowing just 19.0 ppg, which is 9th in the league.

Trends

Tennessee is:

  • 5-1 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game
  • The Road team is 5-1 ATS the last six games in this series

Miami is:

  • 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games
  • 10-21 ATS in their last 31 vs. the AFC

Both of these teams are off of horrible losses, so it will be interesting to see which team has what it takes to bounce back. The Dolphins are healthier, especially at QB, but Cutler has been a bust and the Dolphins have really had a tough stretch to start the year with all the traveling they have done. They now come home off a bad loss in London and will take on a Tennessee team that was blasted in Houston last week by a score of 57-14. I really believe the hype this year about the Titans and feel that they are the better team in this one. They may have Matt Cassel at QB, but I feel he rates the edge over Cutler, plus you have to believe that the Tennessee defense will really come to play against a Miami offense that is a mess. Look for the Titans to bounce back in this one.

Pick: Tennessee -1

The Miami Dolphins have been a horrible offensive team in the early going as it looks as if Jay Cutler has been a bust and certainly not worth the 10 Mill they paid him to come out of retirement. Still, I feel that he may get that offense going some in this one against a Tennessee defense that was just shredded by a rookie QB. The Titan may or may not have Marcus Mariota on the field for this one, but Matt Cassel is a capable backup and with a week of practice will be ready to put some points on the board. I look for the Titans to win the game and also for this one to be a high scoring one between a couple of desperate teams. The Over is 4-1 the last five in this series.

Pick: Over

Confidence: 3

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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