Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#267 Miami Dolphins 44 vs.
#268 Indianapolis Colts -10.5
Sunday, November 10, 2019 at 4:05pm EST
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
Written by Scott Reichel

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Week ten of NFL football continues as the Miami Dolphins travel to Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, Nov. 10 at 4:05 P.M. These two teams have not met since last season when the Colts narrowly defeated the Dolphins by the score of 27-24. This will be the 75th meeting between these teams.

Dolphins Look For First Road Win

Brian Flores has the Dolphins in terrible form headed into this game. Specifically, the Dolphins are tied for the second-worst record in the entire league as they have lost seven of their first eight games. On the bright side, Miami did manage to win its first game of the season last week at home as they beat the Jets by the score of 26-18. Perhaps that victory can carry some momentum into this game as Miami will look for its second straight win. However, Miami is still winless on the road this season and it will look to change that narrative on Sunday.

Leading the Dolphins offensively is quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick who has been pretty good this season with 1,195 passing yards along with eight passing touchdowns. These numbers are even more impressive when one realizes that he did not start every game up to this point. However, he has also been pretty turnover prone as he has already thrown seven interceptions.

Miami's biggest threat on defense is defensive lineman Taco Charlton who has been solid so far this season, recording a team-high four sacks along with 17 solo tackles. Charlton was not even on the active roster when the season started as he was acquired via waivers in the middle of the season once the Cowboys got rid of him. Since joining the Dolphins, it appears that he might have revived his NFL career.

Colts Look To Get Back On Track

The Indianapolis Colts enter this game with a 5-3 record as it lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers on the road last week. That loss pushed the Colts into second place in the AFC South division as they are now 0.5 games behind the Texans. However, the Colts made enough plays to win last week's game and they will now look to play even better at home against one of the worst teams in the league. Luckily, the game will be at home where they have won three of their first four games so the Colts should be able to get another victory on Sunday. Plus, the Colts need to take advantage of the weaker teams on their schedule if they hope to make the playoffs so this game is extremely important to the organization.

Leading the Colts offensively is quarterback Jacoby Brissettwho has been pretty good this season. Specifically, he has 1,649 passing yards along with 14 passing touchdowns. However, Brissett suffered a knee injury in last week's game against the Steelers which prevented him from playing for the majority of the game. Now, Brissett is listed as questionable for this game. If he is unable to play, backup quarterback Brian Hoyer will get the start.

Indianapolis' biggest threat on defense is linebacker Darius Leonard who has been amazing so far this season whenever he is on the field. Specifically, he has two sacks and one interception. In addition, he also has 47 tackles which is the second-most on the team despite missing three games. Leonard is one of the best linebackers in the league and he will look to be a First-team All-Pro once again this season.

Update: (11/9): Brissett is out for this game. Chad Kelly will move from the practice squad to the 53-man roster according to Adam Schefter of ESPN. Brian Hoyer will start in Brissett's place.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Despite the quarterback health concerns surrounding the Colts, I think that they should still win this game pretty easily. The Dolphins are an awful overall team and one victory against the Jets does not change that. The Colts should be able to impose their will on the Dolphins from start to finish and I expect them to win by at least two touchdowns. Give me the home team as a result.

Prediction: Indianapolis Colts -10

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

Based on the fact that this game will be taking place in a dome, I have to take the over. Miami loves to throw the ball and it has had issues with running back depth so I expect it to throw the ball even more on Sunday. Plus, Miami has been awful when it comes to creating pressure in the backfield which is an issue considering Indianapolis' elite offensive line. This total is too low as a result so I will take the over.

Prediction: Over 44

Half-Time Side Pick

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Even though the Colts lost last week, they have been a great home team this season and I expect them to come out with a solid performance in the first half. Meanwhile, the Dolphins finally got their first win last week and I expect them to come out flat since that was the only news surrounding this team up to this point. Give me the home team as a result.

Prediction: Indianapolis Colts -6
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Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.