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In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds

Giants vs. Jets Prediction

Sunday, November 10, 2019 at 1:00pm EST
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford

This article covers a past game!

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In-depth Coverage

This is an in-depth analysis of this game, covering every possible detail and angle. Use the table of contents to navigate between each section, or just jump on in!

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Table of Contents

Last Updated: Sunday, November 10, 2019 at 3:28am EST

Introduction

National Football League action on Sunday afternoon and the NFC East will grapple with the AFC East as the New York Giants take on the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  These teams last met back in 2015 and the Jets won that game by a score of 23-20 in OT.

New York Giants Review

The Giants have been having a bad year so far and they come in having lost their last five games in a row. That now puts them at 2-7 on the year. Their two wins have come against Tampa Bay and Washington, so there is not a lot to get excited about there. The Giants have losses to New England, Minnesota and Dallas in their last five games. There is no shame in that but they also have losses to Arizona and Detroit over that stretch and those are bad teams. 

They made a change at QB earlier in the year and while Daniel Jones has breathed some life into the offense, it still hasn’t been enough to overcome their horrible defense., which has been among the worst in the league. The Giants took on the Cowboys this past Monday night and after having A 12-3 lead at one point, the Giants fell by a score of 37-18. Can the Giants end their slide in a game against one of the worst teams in the league? We shall see. 

 

New York Jets Review

Can it get any worse for the New York Jets? They come in off a horrible 28-16 loss to the Miami Dolphins on the road. The Dolphins are a very bad team and they were probably headed to an 0-16 record, but that won't happen now, thanks to the Jets. New York has lost its last three games in a row and they have fallen to 1-7 on the year. The offense continues to be a mess as the Jets have averaged just 11.0 ppg over their last three games and they have hung up just 10.3 ppg in their seven losses thus far.  

In the loss to the Dolphins, Sam Darnold had a good game as he threw for 260 yards, but the New York defense could not stop Ryan Fitzpatrick, who threw for 288 yards with three TDs and no INTs. Can New York bounce back against one of the worst teams in the NFC? You'll have to check back to find out.

The Running Game

New York Giants Running Offense
vs. New York Jets Running Defense

New York Giants Running Offense

The Giants have been a middle of the pack running team this year as they come in ranked 17th in the league in rushing. When you think of the Giants these days, you think of Saquon Barkley. He began the season with 227 yards through his first two games but then missed 3.5 games over his next four games. He has not recovered yet, rushing for just 164 over his last three games. He had 1307 yards rushing last year, which was his rookie season, but is on pace for right around 800 yards. 

Barkley may not get going much in this one as the Jets have been rather solid against the run this year. DanielJones is 2nd on the team with 18 yards while 3rd is Wayne Gallman Jr. with 107 yards. All three have two TDs each. New York needs to get its ground game going as it will take the pressure off of their young QB. That would allow him to pick apart a bad Jets’ pass defense.  Barkley is and always will be the key, Could this be the game he gets back on track? We shall see. 

New York Jets Run Defense

The Giants have struggled to run the ball and that could be good news for a Jets’ squad that has allowed 89.2 ypg on the ground so far. The Jets come in at 6th in the league against the run and 1st in yards per attempt allowed at 3.1 ypg. Stopping the run has been the one thing that the Jets have done right so far in the midst of a horrible season. The Jets will need to keep it going in this one or Daniel Jones could pick apart their bad pass defense. 

The Jets have been a bit better against the run as of late as they have allowed just 78.3 ppg over their last three games, but they have allowed 100.3 ypg on the ground here at MetLife Stadium so far. the run defense has to step up for the jets here or it could be a long afternoon for them.    

Stats

Giants’ Rushing Stats

  • 26th in rushing attempts per game (21.9)
  • 17th in rushing yards per game (102.1)
  • 10th in yards per attempt (4.7)
  • 15th in rushing first downs per game (5.7)

Jets’ Run Defense Stats

  • 24th in run plays per game against (28.5)
  • 6th in rushing yards allowed per game (89.2)
  • 1st in opposing yards per attempt (3.1)
  • 9th in rushing first downs per game against (5.0)

Who has the Edge?

The Giants have Saquon Barkley but they have still struggled to run the ball. He has just 174 yards over his last three games and 401 yards total for the year. That does not bode well against the Jets who have one of the best run defenses in the league. The Flyboys are 6th in yards allowed and 1st in yards per attempt. Barkley is an amazing talent but he seems off this year and the offensive line in front of him has not made matters better. I give the Jets the edge in this category.

Advantage: New York Jets

New York Jets Running Offense
vs. New York Giants Running Defense

New York Jets Running Offense

The Jets brought in Le’Veon Bell to give a boost to their ground, but it has been a disaster so far as the Jets are 30th in the league in rushing at 66.2 ypg. They have done a bit better of late, but not much as they have ground out just 70 ypg over their last three games. Bell has had many games over 100 yards in his career but he has yet to crack 70 yards in a game so far. He has rushed for just 415 yards on the season and he is averaging a mere 3.3 yards per rush attempt. 

Those are not the numbers that the Jets were expecting when they signed in the offseason. Last year, Bell sat out, but in his two previous seasons he hung up 1291 and 1248 yards rushing. Be ll is on pace for just 830 yards this year. That is still better than the 685 yards rushing that Isaiah Crowell had a year ago, but not what the Jets were expecting from him this year. Ty Montgomery is 2nd on the team with 40 yards. Yikes.  

New York Giants Run Defense

The Giants have not been good against the run at all and that could mean a big game for Bell, who is looking to break out with his best effort as a Jet. New York is 25th in the league against the run, but they are a respectable 13th in yards per attempt allowed at 4.2 ypg and Bell has averaged just 3,3 yards per attempt so far. The Giants have allowed 129 ypg on the ground over their last three games but the Jets have hung up just 70 ypg on the ground over their last three games. 

The Giants will look to stop that sad jets ground attack as it will help out their secondary which has struggled so far this year. Making matters worse for the Giants is that they have allowed 149 ypg on the ground in this building this year. If the Giants don’t stop the run, then we could see Sam Darnold have a big game in this one. The run defense needs to step up in a big way. 

Stats

Jets’ Rushing Stats

  • 30th in rushing attempts per game (19.9)
  • 30th in rushing yards per game (66.2)
  • 29th in yards per attempt (3.3)
  • 32nd in rushing first downs per game (2.9)

Giants’ Run Defense Stats

  • 28th in run plays per game against (30.4)
  • 25th in rushing yards allowed per game (127.9)
  • 13th in opposing yards per attempt (4.2)
  • 18th in rushing first downs per game against (6.2)

Who has the Edge?

I have to call this a draw. The Jets have been pathetic running the ball so far as they rank 30th in the league in that department, putting up just 66.2. That should offset the fact that the Giants come in ranked 25th in rushing yards allowed. The Le’Veon Bell has not had a good first year for the Jets and behind him is a running back with just 40 yards rushing on the year. No depth on this team at RB either.  Can the Jets get their ground game going? Can the Giants stop them from doing so? Something has to give here.

Advantage: Push

The Passing Game

New York Giants Passing Offense
vs. New York Jets Passing Defense

New York Giants Passing Offense

The New York passing game has not been great this year, but it has not been horrible either. Daniel Jones has taken over as the guy behind center and has thrown for 1676 with 11 TDs through eight games but he has also tossed eight INTs. That is too many mistakes, but it has been expected of a rookie QB. Jones could use more help from his running game as it would take the pressure off but that isn’t likely to happen here against a good Jets run defense. 

Evan Ingram has been a solid receiver with 467 yards and three TDs while Golden Tate is 2nd with 322 and a TD. Sterling Shepard has been dealing with an injury and has played in just four games. He has 267 yards receiving so far. The Giants have some weapons and they could take advantage of a weak Jets’ pass defense in this one.  

New York Jets Passing Defense

The pass defense for the Jets has not been good so far and it could struggle even more if they can’t stop the run. New York is 24th against the pass this year at 263 ypg and 264.3 ypg over their last three starts. Daniel Jones has not been great but he has shown flashes of brilliance and h could have a big day against this defense. 

New York could also use putting more pressure on the QB, they come in tanked 29th in the league in sacks per game at 1.6. That has to change here as Jones is a rookie QB and he has already thrown eight INTs on the young season so far. If they can get some pressure on him, then the secondary would have a much easier time. 

Stats

Giants’ Passing Stats

  • 5th in pass attempts per game (38.4)
  • 18th in passing yards per game (224.7)
  • 23rd in completion percentage (62.72)
  • 29th in yards per pass attempt (5.8)
  • 29th in yards per pass completion (9.3)
  • 27th in passer rating (81.7)

Jets’ Pass Defense Stats

  • 28th in pass attempts against per game (37.6)
  • 24th in passing yards per game allowed (263.0)
  • 18th in completion percentage allowed (64.78)
  • 17th in yards per pass attempt (7.0)
  • 19th in yards per pass completion (10.8)
  • 29th in sacks per game (1.6)
  • 18th in passer rating allowed (92.6)

Who has the Edge?

I give the Giants the edge here. Daniel Jones is no Joe Montana, but he has some talent and he has some solid weapons that should so damage against a weak Jets’ pass defense. The Jets can’t get pressure on the QB and that should allow Jones to have a big game. They also have to worry about him scrambling as he has 188 yards rushing so far.  This part of the game is not a good matchup for the Jets who have allowed 264.3 yards per through the air over their last three weeks. Teams have also completed 67% of their passes against the Jets over the last three weeks. I will look for Jones to have a big game in this one, but will it be enough for the Giants to win the game? Read on.

Advantage: New York Giants

New York Jets Passing Offense
vs. New York Giants Passing Defense

New York Jets Passing Offense

The Jets have struggled to run the ball, but they have struggled even more when they take to the skies. The Jets come in with the worst pass offense in the league at 157.2 ypg and they have the worst passer rating at a pathetic 67.6. Sam Darnold missed some time but still, when he is in there he has struggled. Darnold has completed 63.2% f his passes but for just 1077 yards with six TDs and nine INTs. Those are not good numbers at all and it has led to a passer rating of 70.5 which is dead last in the league. 

Darnold has some decent weapons in Robby Anderson (405 yards) and Jamison Crowder (342) but they haven’t produced to this point. It hasn’t helped the Darnold has missed some time. He is healthy now and will be facing a poor Giants pass defense. Can Darnold have his best game of the year in this one? Keep on reading as you are getting closer to the answer.

New York Giants Passing Defense

The Giants have not been very good against the pass this year. They come in ranked 25th against the pass, allowing 263.4 ypg and that is despite the fact that they are 7th in passing attempts against at just 31.4 per game. They are 30th in yards per pass attempt allowed and 28th in yards per completion allowed, plus 27th in passer rating against. We do note that the Giants have been a bit better of late as they have allowed just 220.,7 ypg through the air over their last three games. 

Could that be enough to keep the worst passing offense in the league under wraps? It could be as they have faced much better passing offenses the last three weeks and they have done well against those teams. The Giants have poor numbers all over the place on defense, but the Jets have poor passing game numbers all over the place. This should be interesting.    

Stats

Jets’ Passing Stats

  • 25th in pass attempts per game (31.6)
  • 32nd in passing yards per game (157.2)
  • 22nd in completion percentage (63.24)
  • 32nd in yards per pass attempt (5.0)
  • 32nd in yards per pass completion (7.9)
  • 32nd in passer rating (67.6)

Giants’ Pass Defense Stats

  • 7th in pass attempts against (31.4)
  • 25th in passing yards per game allowed (263.6)
  • 27th in completion percentage allowed (69.26)
  • 30th in yards per pass attempt (8.4)
  • 28th in yards per pass completion (12.1)
  • 19th in sacks per game (2.4)
  • 27th in passer rating allowed (104.0)

Who has the Edge?

The Giants have been bad against the pass this year, but they have turned it around of late, having allowed just 220.7 ypg over their last three games. The Jets have a pathetic passing game that ranks last in the league and they have absolutely no running game to help them out. I feel that the Giants can keep the Jets’ passing game under wraps here so I will be giving the Giants an edge in this category. 

Advantage: New York Giants

Intangibles

New York Giants

The Giants enter this contest ranked 24th in the league in total offense at 326.8 ypg and 24th in scoring, putting up 19.6 ppg so far. They are also 26th in yards per play at 5.2 and 20th in yards per point at 16.7. On the defensive side of the ball, they check in ranked 27th in total yards allowed at 391.4 ypg and 29th in points allowed at 28.3 ppg. We also note that the Giants are 26th in defensive yards per play at 6.1 and 27th in defensive yards per point at 13.8. 

The Giants enter this game having averaged 301.3 ypg and 21.7 ppg over their last three games overall and they have averaged 17.4 ppg on 300.8 ypg at this venue this year.  New York has been a disciplined team as they are 4th in the league in penalties, committing just 6.1 of them per game. They have struggled in the turnover margin department, ranking 29th at -1.1 per game. 

New York Jets

The Jets enter this contest ranked 32nd in the league in total offense at 223.5 ypg and 31st in scoring, putting up 12.0 ppg so far. They are also 32nd in yards per play at 4.0 and 26th in yards per point at 18.6. On the defensive side of the ball, the Jets check-in ranked 17th in total yards allowed at 352.2 ypg and 25th in points allowed at 26.4 ppg. We also note that the Jets are 9th in defensive yards per play at 5.2 and 29th in defensive yards per point at 13.4. 

The Jets enter this game having averaged 229.3 ypg and 11.0 ppg over their last three games overall and they have averaged 10.8 ppg on 255.3 ypg at this venue this year. New York has not been disciplined this year as they are 31st in the league in penalties, committing 8.8 of them per game. They have struggled in the turnover margin department, ranking 27th at -0.1 per game.  

Who has the Edge?

I will go with the Giants in this category. The Giants have averaged 21.7 ppg in this building so far while the Jets have averaged just 10.8 ppg. There is no home-field advantage as both teams play their home games in this building, so that is a wash. The Giants have played better here than the Jets have and the Giants have the edge in penalties. I also have to give them the edge in coaching as Adam Gase is not a good coach at all. The Jets are off a bad loss to the Dolphins in their last game and that has to weigh on this team a bit which should give the Giants a bit of an edge in this department. I also feel that the giants have the special teams edge as well. This category goes to the Giants.  

Advantage: New York Giants

Final Outlook

The Jets began as the favorite in this game, but the Giants are now the favorite and I will follow the line move here. The Jets are making their case for the worst team in the league. They have no offense at all, Adam Gase is a horrible coach and their defense has struggled as well. The Jets just lost to the Dolphins who may be tanking this season and that has to deflate this team even more than they have been. 

The Jets have averaged just 11.0 ppg over their last three games and just 10.8 ppg here at MetLife Stadium. The Giants have had their struggles on offense as Daniel Jones goes through his growing pains but he has played far better than Sam Darnold this year. The Giants have averaged 21.7 ppg over their last three games and 17.4 ppg here at MetLife Stadium this year. Both defenses have struggled of late, but the Giants have a clear advantage on offense, plus they appear to be playing harder than the Jets at the moment. It all adds up to the Giants winning this one by at least seven points. 

Trends Of Note From Covers.com

  • The Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • The Giants are 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
  • The Giants are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record

  • The Jets are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games on FieldTurf
  • The Jets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • The Jets are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 home games

Latest Updates, Injury Reports, and Line Movements

The Giants are missing Sterling Shepard and Mark Engram in the passing game, but they still have enough weapons to pick apart a bad Jets' pass defense. For that reason, I am still sticking with my Giants pick in this one. They still have Saquon Barkly and he is just waiting to have a huge game. I see it coming in this one. We also note that the Jets have a pathetic offense and while they will get some points in this one, it will not be enough to take down the Giants. The Jets are a complete mess at the moment and they will be that way the rest of the year.

Prediction: NY Giants -2.5

Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com

Additional Insiders' Best Bets

Full-game Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I will be going with the Over in this one. Neither team is an offensive juggernaut, but the defenses are so bad at the moment that I feel this will be a high-scoring game. The Giants enter this game having allowed 31.7 ppg over their last three games and 24.6 ppg here at MetLife. The Jets have allowed 29.3 pg over their last three games and 23.8 ppg here at home. As I stated, both defenses have been struggling. 

The offenses have also been struggling, but this game is for bragging rights in the state and I see trick plays and other surprises that could lead to some easy scores. Both teams are terrible in the turnover department and that is one way to get some easy scores or short fields. Both QBs have struggled so far but we note that the Jets are 24th in passing yards allowed while the Giants are 25th. I see the offenses having a good showing in this game as these teams put on a show in a meaningless game for both.

Trends Of Note From Covers.com      

  • The Over is 10-2 in the Giants’ last 12 games in Week 10.
  • The Over is 8-2 in the Giants last 10 games following a straight-up loss

  • The Over is 7-1 in the Jets’ last 8 vs. a team with a losing record
  • The Over is 5-1 in the Jets’ last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game

Prediction: Over 43.5

Full-game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Jets have a poor pass defense and while the Giants are missing some key weapons in their passing game, Daniel Jones will still have a solid game. The Giants also have Saquon Barkley, who should get back on track in this game. Look for at least 27 points from the Giants.

Prediction: Giants Team Total Over 23.5

Half-time Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I like the Giants to win the game and it will start with a solid first half. The Jets are a slow-starting team and I cannot see them being up for this one early on, especially after that horrible loss to the Dolphins last week.

Prediction: Giants -1 (First Half)

Half-time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Both teams have struggled on offense this year but both teams will be facing very bad pass defenses in this one. These are two young QB that will be going at it in this game and you can bet that both will be looking to air it out plenty. Look for at least 24 points in the first half of this one.

Prediction: Over 21.5
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.