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National Football league action on Sunday afternoon and the AFC West will mix it up with the AFC West as the Arizona Cardinals grapple with the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. These teams last met back in 2014 and Arizona won that game at home by a score of 17-14.
The Cardinals enter this game off an 18-15 home win over San Francisco, while the Chiefs are off a 37-21 road win over Cleveland.
Arizona Completes Season Sweep Of The Niners
Wins have been hard to come by for the Arizona Cardinals this year, but they were able to pick up a win over a team that may be having a worse year than them. The Cardinals took down the Niners by a score of 18-15 two weeks ago in their last action and are now sitting at 2-6. Both wins have come against the Niners. Arizona will now be going from playing one of the worst teams in the league to playing one of the best in the league. Good luck there. Arizona trailed the Niners by a score of 15-3 early in the 4th quarter before making a furious comeback. Josh Rosen hit Christian Kirk with a nine-yard TD pass with just 34 seconds left in the game to win it.
— Arizona Cardinals (@AZCardinals) October 31, 2018
Rosen hit 23 of 40 passes for 252 yards with two TDs and an INT in the win. He has now thrown for 1072 yards with five TDs and six INTs in six games this year, and his QBR of 69.9 is 30th in the league. He will need to have his best effort in this his rookie season if the Cardinals hope to upset the high-scoring Chiefs. The Cardinals allowed just 267 yards of total offense against the Niners, but that offense is nothing like the one they will face in this one. The Cardinals are 7th in the league against the pass, and that is key when about to take on the Chiefs. Arizona is 22nd in total yards allowed and 18th in points allowed, giving up 24.9 ppg. On offense, they are 32nds in total yards and 31st in scoring, putting up 13.8 ppg.
Patrick Mahomes’ Unbelievable Season Continues
The Kansas City Chiefs have been having a strong season and a big reason for that has been the play of Patric Mahomes, who is having a remarkable season. The 2nd year quarterback has thrown for 2901 yards with 29 TDs and just seven INTs while posting a QBR of 116.7, which is 2nd in the league behind Drew Brees. The Chiefs are off a 37-21 road win over the Browns, and Mahomes threw for 375 yards and three TDs in the contest. He now has 15 TDs over his last four games. Yikes. Mahomes will be up against the 7th rated pass defense in this one, but that may be a bit misleading as the Cards are 31st against the run. Why would teams throw against them, when they can run all over them. We shall see if that defense can be the one to slow Mahomes down. Kareem Hunt had a big game against the Browns with 141 total yards and three TDs. He has run for 683 yards and will now be facing a weak run defense. He could have a big game.
Kareem Hunt had a monster game with THREE touchdowns and 141 total yards. 🙌🙌 pic.twitter.com/3889iPFlMd
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) November 6, 2018
The Chiefs enter this game ranked 3rd in total offense, 3rd in passing, 13th in rushing and 1st in scoring, putting up 36.3 ppg. Kansas City is 8-1 on the year, and they lead the AFC West by 1.5 games over the Chargers, but if they are to keep rolling, then eventually, they will have to get their defense in order. The Chiefs come in ranked 31st in total yards allowed, 28th against the pass, 25th against the run and 20th in points allowed, giving up 25.1 ppg. The good news for them here is that they are facing one of the worst offenses in the league.
Kansas City is:
- 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game
- 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS win
- 7-16-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win
Updated on Nov 11 at 8:25am EST
Update prepared by our editoral staff
Public Money / Line Movements
The Sharps don’t really like extremely high spreads in the NFA. The Chiefs have gotten 74% of the bets and yet they have gone from -17.5 down to -16.5.
Injury / Weather Report
No Weather Issues Expected
Arizona’s Impact Injury Report:
DT Robert Nkemdiche (23 Tackles, 2 Sacks) & WR Chad Williams (113 Yards) are both out.
DB Budda Baker (72 Tackles, 2 Sacks), DB Tre Boston (40 Tackles, 3 INTs), OL Mike Iupati (7 Starts), DT Corey Peters (20 Tackles, 2 INTs), and OG Justin Pugh (6 Starts) are all questionable.
Kansas City’s Impact Injury Report:
Center Mitch Morse (6 Starts) is out.
OG Cameron Erving (9 Starts), LB Anthony Hitchens (80 Tackles), and WR Sammy Watkins (515 Yards, 3 TDs) are all questionable.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Kansas City Chiefs have the best offense in the league, and the Cardinals have one of the worst. How will the Cardinals be able to score enough points to keep this one close? The answer is, they won’t. The Chiefs just beat the Browns on the road by a score of 37-21, and there is nothing to think that they can’t take this one by at least 17. The KC defense is not that good, but it will look like a championship defense against the Cards in this one, while Hunt will go off on a weak run defense and Mahomes will do the rest. Look for KC to win this one by at least 21 points.
Prediction: Kansas City -16.5
Full-Game Total Pick
The Chiefs will get their points in this one, but can the Cardinals score enough for this one to go Over the total? I think not. The Cards have scored more than 17 points twice this year and both times were against the Niners. Arizona has averaged 10.6 ppg in games against teams not named San Francisco this year. The KC defense has not been good, but it is getting healthier and should have no issues at all in keeping this offense under wraps. The Under is 23-7-1 in Kansas City’s last 31 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and that is the clincher for me.
Prediction: Under 49.5
Full-Game Prop Bet
The Chiefs have a high-powered offense that has averaged 23.8 ppg in the first half and they should score early, especially if they get the ball first. Even if they don’t then the Cards have a chance of scoring at least an FG early on against a bad KC defense.
Prediction: Score In The First 6 Minutes– Yes -130
Half-Time Side Pick
The Chiefs should win this game easily and it will start with a big first half. Thiefs have outscored their opponents 23.8 ppg to 7.8 ppg at home in the first half this year and that is good enough for me.
Prediction: Kansas City -10
Half-Time Total Bet
The Chiefs have been an offensive machine in the first half at home as they have averaged 23.8 ppg over the first 30 minutes of their games at home, while the Cards have put up 8.0 ppg in the first half on the road. 24-7 KC at the break.
Prediction: Over 26
Half-Time Prop Prediction
The Chiefs have averaged 23.8 ppg in the first half this year and nothing I have seen will make me think that they can’t at least hit that number in the first of this one.
Prediction: Kansas City Team Total Over 18.5 First Half