Upcoming Free Picks

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-11-2018

This is a past game! View all upcoming NFL games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#251 Buffalo
Bills 37
#252 New York
Jets -7

Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Betting Trends

All NFL
Teams #251 Buffalo #252 New York
Open +9.5 -9.5
Current +7 -7
Market Avg

Check out our top NFL plays in this week’s “Fab Five.”

Two struggling teams collide when the New York Jets host the Buffalo Bills in AFC action Sunday afternoon from MetLife Stadium. The Bills are coming off a rough 41-9 home loss to the Bears, and the Jets came up short in a 13-6 road loss to the Dolphins in their previous action. The Jets recorded a 34-21 home win over the Bills last season.

Bills Losing Streak Extended to Four Games

The Buffalo Bills have dropped four straight games, and they have been on the wrong end of three straight blowouts. They are struggling to generate any offense. Josh Allen practiced on Wednesday and the rookie QB remains questionable for this one. Backup QB Derek Anderson is also questionable, and if both can’t play, it will be Nathan Peterman taking the snaps in this one. The Bills slide was extended to four games in a 41-9 home loss to the Bears last week. Peterman struggled in that one, throwing three interceptions, and he now owns an abysmal 1:7 TD to INT ratio on the season.

Chris Ivory has overtaken LeSean McCoy for the team lead in rushing with 36 rushing yards last week. The Bills are splitting the duties between McCoy and Ivory, and both have been subpar. Ivory has 280 rushing yards, while McCoy is at 267 rushing yards. Kelvin Benjamin added 40 receiving yards against the Bears last week, and he has leapt past Zay Jones for the team lead with 302 receiving yards on the season. The Bills offense is going to struggle the rest of the way with a subpar rushing offense and minimal production at QB.

The Bills defense has been a bright spot in certain areas. They rank third in the NFL against the pass. They did not play as bad as the 41-9 score may indicate last week, as the Bears scored two defensive TD’s, and Buffalo limited Chicago to only 190 total yards. Buffalo is averaging an NFL low 10.7 points per game. They are allowing an average of 26.8 points, pegging them 26th in the NFL.

Jets Offense Falters in Another Loss, Darnold Out with Injury

The New York Jets are hungry for a win after falling 13-6 in Miami last week to extend their losing streak to three games. Sam Darnold was awful in the defeat, recording 229 passing yards with a career-high four interceptions. The rookie QB owns a poor 11:14 TD to INT ratio on the year. Darnold will not play in this one with a foot sprain. Josh McCown will get the start in place of Darnold. The 39-year old QB posted an 18:9 TD to INT ratio in 13 games last season.

Jets’ leading rusher Isaiah Crowell added 49 rushing yards last week, and he now has 533 yards on the season. Crowell hasn’t been able to generate significant yards in four straight games, however he is still averaging a solid 5 yards per carry. Robby Anderson has also cooled off recently with just over 100 receiving yards in his last three games, and he is up to 346 receiving yards on the year.

The New York offense has struggled in a big way in three straight games, which included only 10 points against the Bears in week eight. The Jets defense is having a decent season. They were sharp last week, limiting Miami to 168 total yards, and overall defense hasn’t been an issue in a majority of their losses. New York is scoring an average of 22 points per game, ranking them 22nd in the NFL. They are allowing an average of 23.7 points, pegging them 16th in the NFL.

Updated on Nov 10 at 6:20pm EST

Update prepared by our editoral staff

Public Money / Line Movements

The Sharps appear to be on the side of the Bills as 61% of the bets have come in on the Jets, yet they have gone from -8.5 down to -7.5.

Injury / Weather Report

No Weather Issues Expected

Buffalo’s Impact Injury Report:

Starting QB Josh Allen and backup QB Derek Anderson are both out. Matt Barkley will get the start for the Bills.

TE Charles Clay (169 Yards) is also out as is DE Trent Murphy (3 Sacks).

WR Andre Holmes (135 Yards), LB Tremaine Edmunds (62 Tackles) and RB Chris Ivory  (280 Yards) are all questionable.

New York’s Impact Injury Report:

Starting QB Sam Darnold is out.

WR Robby Anderson (346 Yards, 3 TDs) and Center Spencer Long (8 Starts) are both doubtful.

NT Steve McLendon (20 Tackles) is questionable

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

I am taking the points with the Bills in this one. While the Bills have been squandering several points recently, their defense has excelled against the pass and run. The Bills are limiting opponents to only 212 passing yards per game, good for third in the NFL, and their rush defense ranks 11th, so they should be able to neutralize Josh McCown and the Jets.

Furthermore, the Jets passing offense is only averaging 200 rushing yards per game, and Josh McCown is playing in his first game of the season. The Jets will have trouble solving the Bills secondary. New York’s offense has been awful, scoring 17 or fewer points in three straight games. In addition, the Jets defense has allowed an average of 27 points in their last four games.

Prediction: Buffalo Bills

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The under is a strong option in this one considering the weak offense on both teams. The Bills have only scored a combined 20 points in their last three games, and the under has hit in six out of their last seven games overall.

Furthermore, the Jets rank 29th in the NFL with an average of only 309.8 total yards per game, and they are up against a Bills defense that is limiting opponents to an average of only 313 total yards per game, good for third in the NFL, so it will be a challenge for the Jets on offense. The under is 6-1 in the Jets’ last seven games against a team with a losing record, and it should convert in this one.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

The under on the Jets team total is worth a look. The Bills defense limited the Bears to only 190 total yards last week, and two weeks ago they held Tom Brady and the Patriots to only one offensive touchdown. Jets QB Josh McCown is playing in his first game of the year, and he is up against a secondary that is holding opponents to only 211 passing yards per game.

Prediction: Jets Team Total: Under 22.5

Half-Time Side Pick
Rating:

I am siding with the Jets on the halftime line. The Bills have generated almost no offense in the first half, averaging only 4.8 points in the first half on the season, ranking them last in the NFL. In addition, the Jets are averaging 12.8 points in the first half on their home field this season.

Prediction: New York Jets -4

Half-Time Total Bet
Rating:

The under on the halftime total is also a strong option. The Jets are holding opponents to only 7.7 points in the first half in their last three games. In addition, both the Jets and Bills are averaging more points in the second half this season. Both teams are struggling to find the end zone, and this contest should see very little offense from start to finish.

Prediction: Under 18.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction
Rating:

The under on the first quarter total is a strong option. The Bills have not scored a single point in the first quarter in their last three games, and they have held their opponents to an average of only one point in the opening quarter in their last three games.

Prediction: First Quarter Total: Under

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Monday, Nov 19
NFL
#473 Kansas City Chiefs 63.5
#474 Los Angeles Rams -2.5
8:15pm
View Pick
NBA
#501 Boston Celtics -3
#502 Charlotte Hornets 216
7:05pm
View Pick
#503 Utah Jazz -3.5
#504 Indiana Pacers 205
7:05pm
View Pick
#505 Phoenix Suns 221
#506 Philadelphia 76ers -11
7:05pm
View Pick
#507 Cleveland Cavaliers 211
#508 Detroit Pistons -10
7:05pm
View Pick
#509 Los Angeles Clippers -7.5
#510 Atlanta Hawks 228
7:35pm
View Pick
#511 Denver Nuggets 227.5
#512 Milwaukee Bucks -6
8:05pm
View Pick
#513 San Antonio Spurs 225
#514 New Orleans Pelicans -7.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#515 Dallas Mavericks 206
#516 Memphis Grizzlies -3
8:05pm
View Pick
#517 Oklahoma City Thunder -2
#518 Sacramento Kings 220.5
10:05pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#557 Duke -13
#558 San Diego State 154.5
5:00pm
View Pick
#563 Hampton 149.5
#564 Bowling Green -4
5:00pm
View Pick
#539 St. Bonaventure 144
#540 Georgia State -4
5:00pm
View Pick
#571 Richmond 139.5
#572 Loyola - Chicago -7
6:30pm
View Pick
#519 Western Michigan
#520 Cincinnati
7:00pm
View Pick
#521 Eastern Michigan 135
#522 Rutgers -6.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#575 California
#576 St. Johns
7:00pm
View Pick
#579 Nebraska
#580 Missouri State
7:00pm
View Pick
#549 Missouri 130
#550 Kansas State -8
7:30pm
View Pick
#541 Boise State 146.5
#542 Creighton -5
7:30pm
View Pick
#523 Arkansas - Little Rock 140.5
#524 Tulsa -12
8:00pm
View Pick
#583 Utah State 142.5
#584 St Marys -4
8:30pm
View Pick
#525 Cal Poly 148.5
#526 Washington State -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#559 Arizona 147
#560 Iowa State -1
9:00pm
View Pick
#573 Wyoming 149.5
#574 Boston College -8
9:00pm
View Pick
#577 VCU 146
#578 Temple -3
9:30pm
View Pick
#581 USC 142.5
#582 Texas Tech -6.5
9:30pm
View Pick
#585 Arizona State 149.5
#586 Mississippi St -4
11:00pm
View Pick
#561 Gonzaga
#562 Illinois
11:30pm
View Pick
NHL
#1 Dallas -115
#2 N.Y. Rangers -105
7:05pm
View Pick
#3 Buffalo 5.5
#4 Pittsburgh -170
7:05pm
View Pick
#5 Columbus 6
#6 Toronto -135
7:05pm
View Pick
#7 Florida -140
#8 Ottawa 6
7:35pm
View Pick
#9 Washington 5.5
#10 Montreal -120
7:35pm
View Pick
#11 Tampa Bay 6
#12 Nashville -145
8:05pm
View Pick
#13 Los Angeles 5.5
#14 St. Louis -150
8:05pm
View Pick
#15 Vegas 5.5
#16 Calgary -145
9:05pm
View Pick
#17 Winnipeg -190
#18 Vancouver 6
10:05pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Nov 20
NCAAF
#101 Northern Illinois
#102 Western Michigan
7:00pm
View Pick
#103 Ball State
#104 Miami - OH
7:00pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#719 Pacific
#720 UNLV
10:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Nov 22
NFL
#105 Chicago Bears -4.5
#106 Detroit Lions 45
12:30pm
View Pick
#107 Washington Redskins 41
#108 Dallas Cowboys -7
4:30pm
View Pick
#109 Atlanta Falcons 59
#110 New Orleans Saints -13
8:20pm
View Pick
NCAAF
#113 Mississippi St
#114 Ole Miss
7:30pm
View Pick
Sunday, Nov 25
NFL
#269 Pittsburgh Steelers -3
#270 Denver Broncos 47.5
4:25pm
View Pick
Friday, Nov 23
NCAAF
#119 Eastern Michigan
#120 Kent State
12:00pm
View Pick
#121 Buffalo
#122 Bowling Green
12:00pm
View Pick
#123 Nebraska
#124 Iowa
12:00pm
View Pick
#141 Oklahoma
#142 West Virginia
8:00pm
View Pick
#143 Washington
#144 Washington State
8:30pm
View Pick