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The red-hot New Orleans Saints will head on the road to battle the Cincinnati Bengals in an inter-conference matchup Sunday afternoon from Paul Brown Stadium. The Saints came through with a big 45-35 home win over the Rams in their previous action, and the Bengals defeated the Bucs 37-34 before enjoying their bye week. This contest marks the first meeting since the 2014 season in a game the Bengals won 27-10.
Saints Outlast Rams in Seventh Straight Win
The New Orleans Saints are now the hottest team in the NFL. The Saints handed the L.A. Rams their first loss with a thrilling 45-35 home win last week, extending their winning streak to seven games in the process. Drew Brees was spectacular, accumulating 346 passing yards with four TD’s. The 39-year old star quarterback has recorded over 300 passing yards on four occasions this season, and he has racked up 2336 passing yards with a 18:1 TD to INT ratio on the year. Saints’ top rusher Alvin Kamara contributed with 82 rushing yards last week, and the second-year RB has steadily produced, posting 490 rushing yards on the year. Saints’ top receiver Michael Thomas could make a big impact on this game against a struggling pass defense .He accumulated a stunning 211 receiving yards against the Rams, and he is up to 880 receiving yards on the season.
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) November 6, 2018
The Saints’ powerhouse offense had no problem scoring points against a strong Vikings defense in week eight, followed by their big performance against the Rams. The New Orleans defense will give up points. They squandered 483 total yards against a potent Rams offense last week, and they are conceding an average of 388 total yards per game. The Saints own a poor pass defense which is counted by a tremendous rush defense. New Orleans stands at 4-0 on the road this season, and they rank second in the NFL with an average of 34.9 points. They are allowing an average of 27.2 points, pegging them 27th overall.
Bengals Defeat Bucs Before Bye Week
The Cincinnati Bengals head into this one well-rested after enjoying their bye week in week nine. They snapped a two game skid with a 37-34 home win over the Buccaneers in week eight. Andy Dalton was solid in that one, recording 280 passing yards with two TD’s. The 31-year old QB has tossed five TD passes in his last three games, and he has registered 2102 passing yards with a 17:8 TD to INT ratio on the season. Bengals’ leading rusher Joe Mixon will be challenged by a stifling Saints pass defense in this one. The 22-year old RB has rushed for at least 80 yards in four of six games, and he has amassed 509 rushing yards in six games on the season. Bengals’ star receiver A.J. Green is dealing with a toe injury, and he is expected to miss a few games according to ESPN’s Adam Schefter. Tyler Boyd (620 receiving yards) will be relied upon in Green’s absence.
— Cincinnati Bengals (@Bengals) November 4, 2018
The Bengals offense hasn’t particularly excelled in any area this season, although they rank 10th in the NFL with an average of 27.6 points per game. The Cincinnati defense is struggling this season. They have squandered at least 28 points in three straight games, and their pass defense ranks last in the NFL. Vontaze Burfict is questionable for this one with a hip injury. They are allowing an average of 29.6 points, pegging them down at 30th in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in week 10.
The New Orleans Saints are:
- 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games.
- 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record.
Updated on Nov 10 at 10:35pm EST
Update prepared by our editoral staff
Public Money / Line Movements
There may be some sharp mone on the Bengals 70% of the tickets written have come in on the Saints but they have gone from -4.5 to only -5.
Injury / Weather Report
No Weather Issues Expected
New Orlean’s Impact Injury Report:
DE Marcus Davenport (4.0 Sacks) is out as is newly acquired WR Dez Bryant.
Cincinnati’s Impact Injury Report:
OG Alex Redmond (8 Starts) is doubtful.
DB Darqueze Dennard (29 Tackles), WR A.J. Green (687 yards, 6 TDs), LB Nick Vigil (51 Tackles) are all out.
RB Giovani Bernard (155 Yards, 3 TDs) is questionable
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am taking the Saints in this contest. The Saints are the hottest team in the NFL, winning seven consecutive games which included a 45-35 win over the Rams last week. This is an ideal matchup for the Saints. The Bengals pass defense ranks last in the entire NFL, and the Saints feature a potent passing game that is now averaging 290 passing yards per game. I expect a big game from Drew Brees.
Furthermore, the Bengals will be playing without A.J. Green in this one which impacts their offense significantly. The Saints feature the number one rush defense in the NFL, so they should be able to neutralize Joe Mixon and the Bengals running game. The Bengals defense stands near the bottom of the NFL in most defensive categories, and the Saints powerhouse offense should lead them to a convincing victory.
Prediction: New Orleans Saints
Full-Game Total Pick
The over is a solid option in this one. The Bengals defense is struggling in a big way, allowing an average of 35.6 points in their last three games. Also, the Bengals are surrendering an average of 448 total yards per game, and the over is 16-5 in the Saints’ last 21 games after recording more than 350 total yards in their previous game,
Furthermore, the Saints defense is also well below average. Their pass defense ranks down at 31st in the NFL, and they are conceding an average of 388 total yards per game. The over is 5-1 in the Saints’ last six games in week 10, and it should hit again in this contest.
Full-Game Prop Bet
I am taking the over on the Saints team total. The Bengals just allowed 45 points to the Chiefs in week seven, followed by 34 points to the Buccaneers in week eight, and they are up against a powerhouse offense in this one. The Saints accumulated 45 points against a very talented Rams defense last week, and I see no reason why they can’t pile on the points in this one.
Prediction: Saints Team Total: Over 30.5
Half-Time Side Pick
I am staying with the Saints on the halftime line. The Saints rank second in the NFL with an average of 17.5 points in the first half this season. In addition, the Bengals first half defense has been awful, ranking second last in the NFL with an average of 17 points against. This is a small spread and the Saints should easily cover.
Prediction: New Orleans Saints -3.5
Half-Time Total Bet
This one should feature plenty of scoring from start to finish. The Bengals are also productive in the opening half where they are averaging 16 points, good for sixth in the NFL. Also, both teams rank near the bottom of the NFL in first half defense. The Bengals rank second last, and the Saints are conceding an average of 16 points in the first half.
Prediction: Over 27
Half-Time Prop Prediction
I am taking the over on the first quarter total. The Saints are averaging a solid seven points in the opening quarter in their last three games. In addition, the Bengals rank fourth in the NFL with an average of 6.5 points in the first quarter.
Prediction: First Quarter Total: Over