Check out our top NFL plays in this week’s “Fab Five.”
The Washington Redskins will head on the road to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in an NFC battle Sunday afternoon from Raymond James Stadium.
The Redskins dropped a 38-14 home decision to the Falcons in their latest action, and the Buccaneers are coming off a 42-28 road loss to the Panthers last week. The Redskins recorded a 31-30 home win over the Buccaneers in the previous meeting back in the 2015 season.
Redskins Winning Streak Snapped in Loss to Falcons
The Washington Redskins had their three game winning streak snapped in a rough 38-14 home loss to the Falcons last week. Alex Smith was productive in the defeat, accumulating just over 300 passing yards with one TD against one INT. The 34-year old QB hasn’t posted big numbers on a team that will run the ball frequently, although he is having a steady season, collecting 1867 passing yards with a 9:3 TD to INT ratio. Redskins’ top runner Adrian Peterson was quiet last week, however he is having a stellar season. The 11-year veteran has rushed for at least 97 yards in three out of his last four games, and he is up to 604 rushing yards this season. Redskins’ leading receiver Jordan Reed added 34 yards to his season total last week, and the 28-year old tight end has 340 receiving yards on the year.
Throwing for 306 yards and a touchdown, QB Alex Smith is this week's @Kia MVP of the Game.
— Washington Redskins (@Redskins) November 5, 2018
The Redskins offense isn’t having a productive season, and they have scored 20 or fewer points in three consecutive games. The Washington defense had a setback against the Falcons last week, however their defensive play is a reason they are in first place in the NFC East. Their rush defense has been outstanding, holding opponents to 89 rushing yards per game. The Redskins are scoring an average of 20 points on the season, ranking them 26th in the NFL. They are holding opponents to 21.5 points, pegging them 10th in the NFL.
Fitzpatrick Tosses 4 TD’s in Loss to Panthers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers find themselves in last place in the tough NFC South. They have dropped two straight games which included a wild 42-28 road loss to a strong Panthers last team last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick got the start in place of Jameis Winston and he posted mixed results. He finished with 240 passing yards with four TD’s against two INT’s. The 35-year old QB is prone to throwing interceptions, but he is productive, and overall he has looked better than Winston. Fitzpatrick has racked up 1793 passing yards with a 17:7 TD to INT ratio in six games. Bucs’ top rusher Peyton Barber only managed 31 rushing yards last week, and he is having a mediocre season, recording a total 376 rushing yards. Bucs’ #1 receiver Mike Evans was kept in check against Carolina with only one catch. The 25-year old star WR has brought in over 100 receiving yards in four games this season, and he has racked up 786 yards.
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) November 6, 2018
The Bucs’ offense continues to excel. They are averaging a sizzling 447 total yards per game. The Tampa Bay defense has been their biggest issue this season. They are especially having trouble defending the pass which included 247 passing yards against Cam Newton last week. Tampa Bay is averaging 28.6 points, good for seventh in the NFL. They are conceding an NFL worst 34.4 points per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are:
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games in November.
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in week 10.
The Washington Redskins are:
- 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the Buccaneers.
- 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in week 10.
- over is 4-1 in their last 5 November games.
Updated on Nov 11 at 12:05am EST
Update prepared by our editoral staff
Public Money / Line Movements
The Sharps must be helping this game along. 54% of the bets are on Tampa Bay by the line has jumped from a Pick to Tampa -3. Washington may be on the verge of regressing and the Sharps see that.
Injury / Weather Report
No Weather Issues Are Expected
Washington’s Impact Injury Report:
RB Chris Thompson (113 Yards) and Trent Williams (7 Starts) are both out.
DB Quinton Dunbar (35 Tackles, 2 INTs), WR Jamison Crowder (134 Yards, 1 TD) and OT Morgan Moses (8 Starts) are all questionable.
Tampa Bay’s Impact Injury Report:
DB M.J. Stewart (29 Tackles) is out.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am taking the Buccaneers in this matchup. Tampa Bay ranks second in the NFL in total yards per game, and their passing offense ranks first with an average of 357 passing yards per game. The Redskins just surrendered 350 passing yards against the Falcons last week, and their pass defense ranks 20th in the NFL, so I expect another big game from Ryan Fitzpatrick.
Furthermore, while the Buccaneers have struggled to defend the pass, the Redskins are only averaging 222 passing yards per game under Alex Smith. Washington will run the ball frequently, and Tampa Bay owns a solid rush defense that is holding opponents to an average of 107 rushing yards per game. Washington has scored 20 or fewer points in three straight games, and the Bucs should do enough to contain their offense and come away with the home win.
Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Full-Game Total Pick
I expect some offense from both teams. The Buccaneers are averaging a sizzling 29.3 points in their last four games, and the Redskins just surrendered 38 points last week, plus the over is 8-1 in the Buccaneers’ last nine games overall.
In addition, the Redskins should be able to have a productive afternoon on offense. Tampa Bay has squandered at least 34 points in four out of their last five games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs’ last five games against a team with a winning record, and this contest should yield an abundance of offense.
Full-Game Prop Bet
The Buccaneers should be able to continue their productive play. Tampa Bay has scored at least 28 points in four consecutive games, and they just scored 28 points on the road against a strong Panthers defense. Ryan Fitzpatrick is averaging a stellar 368 passing yards with 15 TD’s in the four games that he has started this season. I expect yet another big performance from Fitzpatrick against a Redskins pass defense ranks 20th in the NFL.
Prediction: Buccaneers Team Total: Over 27.5
Half-Time Side Pick
The Redskins on the first half line is worth a look. The Redskins are averaging a solid 12.9 points in the first half, and the Bucs’ first half defense has been awful, conceding an NFL worst 23.4 points. Tampa Bay plays much better defense in the second half, and I expect that trend to continue in this one.
Prediction: Washington Redskins +1.5
Half-Time Total Bet
I am opting with the over on the halftime total. The Bucs rank 11th in the NFL with an average of 14.5 points in the first half, and both the Redskins and Bucs are averaging more points in the first half this season. In addition, the Redskins are averaging a solid 13.7 points in the first half on the road this season.
Prediction: Over 25.5
Half-Time Prop Prediction
I am siding with the Redskins on the first quarter three-way money line. Tampa Bay has steadily found themselves down early in games. They stand down at 31st in the NFL with an average of 7.5 points against in the first half this season. In addition, the Redskins are averaging a solid 5.6 points in the first quarter.
Prediction: First Quarter Three-Way Money Line: Redskins