#273 Seattle
#274 San Francisco


In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds

Seahawks vs. 49ers Prediction

Monday, November 11, 2019 at 8:15pm EST
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara

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Table of Contents

Last Updated: Monday, November 11, 2019 at 5:41pm EST


Week 10 of the NFL season concludes with a pivotal divisional showdown in the NFC West. The San Francisco 49ers -- now the NFL's lone unbeaten team following the New England Patriots' loss to the Baltimore Ravens -- have the chance to open a 2 1/2-game lead on the second-place Seattle Seahawks with a victory at home Monday night.

The 49ers have opened as six-point favorites, which has the feel of more respect to Seattle as it rolls to what looks to be its eighth consecutive winning season. In contrast, one has to wind back to 1996 to accumulate San Francisco's last eight seasons above .500.

The over/under is 46.5 points, which acknowledges both teams' offensive proficiency in different methods. San Francisco is a team that relies on a bruising running game along with a ball-hawking defense to set up short fields, while Russell Wilson continues to put together an MVP-caliber season.

Seattle Seahawks Review

Wilson further burnished his MVP credentials in Week 9 as he kept the Seahawks (7-2) in the first wild-card spot by leading them to a 40-34 overtime victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Wilson matched a career high with five touchdowns and threw for 378 yards -- his third-highest total -- and won the game with a 10-yard scoring toss to Jacob Hollister to cap the first possession of the extra period.

Wilson leads the NFL with 22 touchdown passes against only one interception and is third in the league with 2,505 yards. He also leads the league with a 118.2 passer rating, which is tracking to be a career best.

Wilson has benefited from a breakout season from Tyler Lockett, who has seamlessly stepped into the No. 1 receiver role vacated by Doug Baldwin. Lockett has team highs across the board with 59 catches, 767 yards, and six touchdowns and already has set a career best in receptions.

The offense has needed to be that good since the defense is still trying to find itself. The Seahawks are 22nd in the league in scoring defense, yielding 25.6 points per game, and 25th in total defense at 380.8 yards per game.

San Francisco 49ers Review

Some of the contrast in the quality of defenses between the teams is a source well known to the Seahawks -- veteran cornerback Richard Sherman. The former cornerstone of Seattle's Super Bowl-winning secondary is now the ringleader of a young 49ers one and helped by an imposing defensive line that can generate a pass rush without much help from the blitz.

The 49ers will be the better-rested team as well, having kicked off Week 9 by surviving an upset bid in Arizona and winning 28-25 on Halloween night. The running game had an off night by its standards, finishing with 101 yards, but Jimmy Garoppolo stepped up with a career-high four touchdowns and a season-best 317 yards as San Francisco went 11 for 17 on third down.

Recently acquired wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders provided an immediate return with seven catches for a season-best 112 yards in his second game with San Francisco since arriving from Denver.

Garoppolo has had his moments this season but also some issues valuing the ball -- he entered the game versus the Cardinals with nine touchdowns and seven interceptions. But it was also the second time he delivered in as many opportunities when it was winning time.

The Running Game

Seattle Seahawks Running Offense
vs. 49ers Running Defense

Seattle Seahawks Running Offense

The best sign of how quietly Carson has done an effective job running the ball for the Seahawks is you rarely hear about Wilson's scrambling ability to get yards these days.

Carson is a plugger, capable of breaking off a big run here and there, but mainly keeps defenses honest at three, four, and five yards per pop. His consistency, though, is a key part of Seattle's success offensively. Ball security cropped up as an issue versus the Buccaneers, as a 59-yard run that could have been longer was affected when Carson was stripped from behind.

“I was thrilled for his game and then it was like, come on, Chris,” coach Pete Carroll told USA TODAY's SeahawksWire after the win. “Let’s not go here again. On the long run, Chris is supposed to know that they’re coming hawkin.’ It was a great shot by their guy and all that. The ball went out of bounds, so we escaped that one.”

49ers Run Defense

As imposing as the 49ers defensive line is in terms of getting to the quarterback, the run defense is still a work in progress. Some of that comes with playing with a lead as teams will mix in a run at off times as opposed to a series of handoffs, but there are yards to be had versus the 49ers if you try.

The challenge to stop Carson will be larger this game following the season-ending torn pectoral muscle injury to linebacker Kwon Alexander. He is second on the team with 34 tackles, and rookie Dee Greenlaw will get first crack to fill the spot.

"It's definitely a huge, huge loss," rookie defensive end Nick Bosa told on Tuesday. "As a defense, we're just going to have to pick it up. Every single player is going to have to play a little better. Obviously, [Dre Greenlaw] is going to have to fill in, but it's going to be a group effort to bring that energy because he really does bring the energy for us."



Team Rushing Statistics

Carries — 273 (4th)

Carries Per game — 30.3 (5th)

Rushing Yards — 1,185 (6th)

Rushing Yards Per Game — 131.7 (8th)

Average Yards Per Carry — 4.34 (13th)

Rushing Touchdowns — 8 (T-13th)

Individual Rushing Statistics

Chris Carson -- 175 carries/764 yards/4.37 yards per carry/3 TDs

Russell Wilson -- 44/203/4.61/3

Rashaad Penny -- 34/165/4.85/1

C.J. Prosise -- 13/41/3.15/1

DK Metcalf -- 2/11/5.50/0

Will Dissly -- 1/7/7.00/0

David Moore -- 1/2/2.00/0

Tyler Lockett -- 3/-8/-2.67/0

San Francisco:

Team Rushing Defense (Opponent Offensive Rank)

Opponent Carries — 175 (30th)

Opponent Carries per game — 21.9 (27th)

Opponent Rushing Yards — 823 (22nd)

Average Opponent Rushing Yards Per Game — 102.9 (14th)

Average Opponent Rushing Yards Per Carry — 4.70 (11th)

Opponent Rushing TDs — 3 (T-30th)

Individual Defensive Statistics

Fred Warner -- 34 solo tackles/14 assists/48 tackles/1 stuff/2 TFL

Kwon Alexander -- 22/12/34/3/2

DeForest Buckner -- 20/13/33/3/5

Richard Sherman -- 21/8/29/0/0

Jaquiski Tartt -- 19/10/29/1.5/1

Arik Armstead -- 17/11/28/2.5/7

K'Waun Williams -- 13/9/22/0/0

Nick Bosa -- 17/4/21/2.5/11

Jimmie Ward -- 19/1/20/1/1

Ronald Blair III -- 12/7/19/4/6

D.J. Jones -- 13/2/15/0/1

Solomon Thomas -- 11/3/14/0/2

Dre Greenlaw -- 9/5/14/0/1

Tarvarius Moore -- 9/5/14/0/0

Dee Ford -- 7/4/11/0/4

Emmanuel Moseley -- 10/1/11/1/1

Who has the Edge?

Alexander's injury stings, especially for this game given how vital Carson is to Seattle's offense. The Seahawks prefer to run Carson to the right, which is away from Greenlaw at WILL, but they are also savvy enough to test the rookie with a tight end on that side.

San Francisco was going to see plenty of Carson regardless of Alexander's presence, but it is up to the Seahawks to exploit his absence and Greenlaw being asked to fill a big role.

Advantage: Seattle Seahawks

49ers Running Offense
vs. Seattle Seahawks Running Defense

49ers Running Offense

The 49ers ground game comes at you in bruising waves, like a repeated stiff jab to the face. Matt Breida and Tevin Coleman do the bulk of the work, while Raheem Mostert might be the best third back in the league. 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan rotates the trio as he sees fit, and the result is someone is always fresh to run against a worn-down opposing defensive line.

Breida, who is tracking towards his first 1,000-yard season after being banged up throughout most of 2018, thinks there is still room for improvement despite San Francisco's consistent effectiveness on the ground.

"I feel like, each game, we're getting better," Breida said on a recent episode of "Rapsheet and Friends" according to NBCSports Bay Area. "We still haven't played our best game yet, and every game, you can pick little things, little details that we can get better on. We still haven't played our best ball yet. I think we'll start playing our best ball toward the end of the year, and hopefully, we can carry that into the postseason."

The 49ers are also getting healthy across the offensive line. Left tackle Joe Staley is expected to return after suffering a broken fibula Sept. 15, and opposite bookend Mike McGlinchey is angling to return after a four-game absence following knee surgery. And Kyle Jusczczyk -- a jack-of-all trades running back -- is also in line to return after being sidelined in Week 5 with a sprained MCL.

Seattle Seahawks Run Defense

The Seahawks have been relatively stout against the run, holding opponents to 102.7 yards per game, but there is precedent to be concerned about this matchup in terms of the volume of runners they will be facing. Baltimore's tandem of quarterback Lamar Jackson and running back Mark Ingram gashed Seattle for 199 yards, and while they pose unique problems, having Breida, Coleman, and Mostert constantly banging into the wall will take its toll.

“I think there are things that we’ve got to improve," safety Bobby Wagner told the Tacoma News. "But I think that, when you play this game long enough, I’ve been in situations where we weren’t creating turnovers, and we started getting turnovers. There were a lot of games a couple years back where, you know, we couldn’t finish. We weren’t closing out games. Guys would come out there and guys would drive on us and make points.”

The Seahawks have been particularly vulnerable when opponents run to the left, averaging 6.43 yards per carry on 70 such rushes, and 12 of them have gone for 10 or more yards.


San Francisco:

Team Rushing Statistics

Carries — 303 (1st)

Carries Per game — 37.9 (1st)

Rushing Yards — 1,369 (3rd)

Rushing Yards Per Game — 171.1 (2nd)

Average Yards Per Carry — 4.52 (12th)

Rushing Touchdowns — 13 (T-1st)

Individual Rushing Statistics

Matt Breida -- 99 carries/524 yards/5.29 yards per carry/1 TDs

Tevin Coleman -- 83/355/4.28/5

Raheem Mostert -- 55/307/5.58/1

Jeff Wilson Jr. -- 25/78/3.12/4

Deebo Samuel -- 5/37/7.40/1

Jimmy Garoppolo -- 28/32/1.14/1

George Kittle -- 3/18/6.00/0

Marquise Goodwin -- 1/15/15.00/0

Kyle Juszczyk -- 1/6/6.00/0

Nick Mullens -- 3/-3/-1.00/0


Team Rushing Defense (Opponent Offensive Rank)

Opponent Carries — 196 (24th)

Opponent Carries per game — 21.8 (28th)

Opponent Rushing Yards — 924 (16th)

Average Opponent Rushing Yards Per Game — 102.7 (20th)

Average Opponent Rushing Yards Per Carry — 4.71 (10th)

Opponent Rushing TDs — 12 (2nd)

Individual Defensive Statistics

Bobby Wagner -- 45 solo tackles/41 assists/86 tackles/1.5 stuff/5 TFL

K.J. Wright -- 39/39/78/3.5/2

Mychal Kendricks -- 29/16/45/2.5/6

Tre Flowers -- 34/9/43/0/0

Shaquill Griffin -- 32/10/42/1/1

Bradley McDougald -- 23/8/31/0.5/0

Marquise Blair -- 17/6/23/0/0

Jadeveon Clowney -- 11/9/20/4/5

Al Woods -- 9/11/20/2/1

Tedric Thompson -- 9/10/19/0/0

Poona Ford -- 12/6/18/2/2

Quinton Jefferson -- 8/9/17/1.5/2

Jamar Taylor -- 13/3/16/0/0

Branden Jackson -- 10/2/12/0/2

Ezekiel Ansah -- 7/3/10/1/1

Who has the Edge?

This has the potential to be a very big problem for the Seahawks because the 49ers prefer to have Garoppolo manage the game as opposed to having him try and win it. San Francisco has arguably the deepest backfield in the league, and with one and perhaps two starting offensive linemen returning for this game, there is a chance the 49ers will rely on their road graders to set the tone.

Advantage: San Francisco 49ers

The Passing Game

Seattle Seahawks Passing Offense
vs. 49ers Passing Defense

Seattle Seahawks Passing Offense

Wilson used to be "Dangeruss" because of his dual-threat abilities. Now, he has that title because he has been one of the top passers in the NFL this season.

Wilson was named NFC Offensive Player of the Week for the second time this season after his five-touchdown effort, and there has been rarely a misstep from him. Of all the splits among his statistics, the one that stands out is his ability to execute in close games. When the score is in a window of seven points in either direction, Wilson has completed 134 of 194 passes for 1,650 yards and 17 TDs with that lone interception.

When the Seahawks are down by seven or fewer points, he is 76 for 103 for 947 yards and 11 TDs without a pick.

"He's been playing his tail off, but he's making the right decisions at all the right times," 49ers edge rusher Ronald Blair told NBCSports Bay Area. "He's really just doing almost everything for the team right now. He's playing very well."

49ers Passing Defense

The win over the Cardinals has the look of one that provided a needed a wake-up call to a 49ers defense that may have started to read their own press clippings. After holding five straight opponents under 175 passing yards, No. 1 pick Kyler Murray was able to find pockets and creases to not only throw for 241 yards and a pair of touchdowns, but also avoid getting picked off.

“It’s humbling for the defense," said Sherman, whose missed tackle directly resulted in Andy Isabella's 88-yard catch-and-run touchdown. "We need to be humbled. It was a humbling game. You need to be humbled on all levels, and I think there’s accountability on all levels. We’ll watch the tape, and we’ll watch it critically, and everybody will watch it and judge themselves critically. That was not championship football.”

Despite the rare breakdown and the hype of Sherman facing his former team once more, the primary way the 49ers will disrupt Wilson will be through their imposing defensive line. Bosa fell off against Arizona after his three-sack and interception effort versus Carolina in Week 8, but the sense is that may have been partially due to the short turnaround and just being a rookie.

Bosa and Dee Ford will also have to keep on eye containing Wilson in the pocket. Because after all, he still is "Dangeruss."



Team Passing Statistics

Passes Attempted — 293 (14th)

Passes Completed — 200 (11th)

Completion Percentage — 68.3 (8th)

Gross Passing Yards — 2,505 (5th)

Net Passing Yards – 2,370 (5th)

Net Passing Yards Per Game — 263.3 (9th)

Average Gain Per Pass Play — 7.52 (5th)

Yards Per Attempt — 8.55 (5th)

Yards Per Completion — 12.53 (6th)

Passing TDs — 22 (1st)

Interceptions — 1 (T-31st most)

Times Sacked — 22 (T-13th most)

Passer Rating — 118.2 (1st)

Individual Passing

Russell Wilson — 200 completions/293 attempts/68.3 completion percentage/2,505 yards/22 TDs/1 INT/118.2 passer rating

Individual Receiving

Tyler Lockett -- 59 receptions/767 yards/13.0 yards per catch/6 TDs

DK Metcalf -- 29/525/18.1/5

Chris Carson -- 24/177/7.4/2

Will Dissly -- 23/262/11.4/4

Jaron Brown -- 14/205/14.6/2

David Moore -- 10/139/13.9/1

Jacob Hollister -- 9/75/8.3/2

C.J. Prosise -- 9/66/7.3/0

Luke Willson 6 8 79 13.2 9.9 17 0

Malik Turner 9 7 118 13.1 16.9 30 0

Nick Vannett 3 4 38 12.7 9.5 13 0

Rashaad Penny 6 3 34 5.7 11.3 30 0

Nick Bellore 9 1 20 2.2 20.0 20 0

San Francisco:

Team Passing Defense Statistics (Opponent Offensive Rank)

Opponents’ Passes Attempted — 226 (32nd)

Opponents’ Passes Completed — 127 (32nd)

Opponents’ Completing Percentage — 56.2 (31st)

Opponents’ Gross Passing Yards — 1,353 (32nd)

Opponents’ Net Passing Yards — 1,105 (32nd)

Opponents’ Net Passing Yards Per Game — 138.1 (32nd)

Opponents’ Yards Per Attempt — 5.99 (31st)

Opponents’ Yards Per Completion — 10.65 (25th)

Opponents’ Average Gain Per Pass Play — 4.32 (31st)

Opponents’ TD passes — 7 (T–28th)

Interceptions — 10 (4th)

Sacks — 30 (T-3rd)

Opponents’ Passer Rating — 65.7 (31st)

Individual Defense Sacks and Quarterback Hurries

Nick Bosa -- 7.0 sacks/66.0 yards/13 QBH

Arik Armstead -- 5.5/37.0/7

Dee Ford -- 5.5/43.0/5

DeForest Buckner -- 4.0/33.0/8

Ronald Blair III -- 3.0/22.0/3

Solomon Thomas -- 2.0/9.0/5

Dre Greenlaw -- 1.0/19.0/1

D.J. Jones -- 1.0/10.0/1

Kwon Alexander -- 0.5/4.5/1

K'Waun Williams -- 0.5/4.5/1

Interceptions and Passes Broken Up

Richard Sherman -- 3 INTs/8 PBU

K'Waun Williams -- 2/2

Nick Bosa -- 1/1

Ahkello Witherspoon -- 1/5

Emmanuel Moseley -- 1/2

Mark Nzeocha -- 1/1

Kwon Alexander -- 1/4

Jimmie Ward -- 0/3

Fred Warner -- 0/3

Who has the Edge?

Given how Sherman is a coverage cornerback as opposed to a matchup one -- he stays on one side of the field -- and Carroll's intimate knowledge of his playing style after all those seasons in Seattle, this is an intriguing cat-and-mouse game for offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer.

Perhaps Seattle has plays where Lockett and Metcalf line up together on Sherman's side or on the opposite side. Perhaps the Seahawks go three-wide to try and stretch out San Francisco's secondary behind the front four. The Seahawks rank in the middle of the pack in terms of sacks allowed, but there are also few as adept as sliding in the pocket as Wilson, and that does not even count his rollout escapability.

There are many levels to this matchup, but Wilson's form gives the Seahawks a slight edge.

Advantage: Seattle Seahawks

49ers Passing Offense
vs. Seattle Seahawks Passing Defense

49ers Passing Offense

Even if the goal is to have Garoppolo be the main but not the focal point of the offense -- think first among equals -- he took a huge step forward against the Cardinals by showing something more than being a game manager when the running game got bogged down at times.

He has six touchdown passes in the last two games, and of equal importance, he is making good throws. Garoppolo has completed 46 of 59 passes in those two wins, lifting his completion rate above 70 percent for the season.

Shanahan has also done a good job tailoring the offense to Garoppolo's throwing strengths. The 49ers rank third in the league with 53.7 percent of their passing yards coming after the catch, which shows an understanding of Garoppolo being a rhythm quarterback and being able to throw short yet accurate.

"I knew the moment I stepped in, he really attacked me with so much positive energy in terms of the playbook, and what I've got to do," recently acquired wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders said appearing on the Damon, Ratto, and Kolsky radio show. "He communicates very well in and after practice. All the receivers, we throw extra passes after practice. Truthfully, I just feel like the timing was perfect. I literally walked into the locker room ... I felt like I was at home. They welcomed me so much with open arms, and Jimmy [did] as well. It was just a good fit."

Seattle Seahawks Passing Defense

Over the past two games, the Seahawks have played with fire in pass defense as both Matt Schaub and Jameis Winston -- not exactly the creme de la creme of NFL quarterbacks -- torched the secondary for a combined for 795 passing yards.

Some of those yards come out of necessity since the Seahawks played with a lead virtually their entire game against Schaub and Atlanta. But the Buccaneers only trailed late in the fourth quarter and at the end, which does raise red flags about their struggles in pass defense.

Garoppolo may not have the big-play potential of Winston, but he does possess the accuracy and patience to move the chains while being helped by San Francisco's potent ground game. This is also his first start against the Seahawks, which adds a substantial layer of intrigue regarding his effectiveness.


San Francisco:

Team Passing Statistics

Passes Attempted — 227 (32nd)

Passes Completed — 161 (28th)

Completion Percentage — 70.9 (3rd)

Gross Passing Yards — 1,822 (25th)

Net Passing Yards – 1,753 (24th)

Net Passing Yards Per Game — 219.1 (22nd)

Average Gain Per Pass Play — 7.33 (7th)

Yards Per Attempt — 8.03 (6th)

Yards Per Completion — 11.32 (16th)

Passing TDs — 13 (T-16th)

Interceptions — 7 (T-11th most)

Times Sacked — 12 (T-27th most)

Passer Rating — 100.9 (10th)

Individual Passing

Jimmy Garoppolo — 160 completions/226 attempts/70.8 completion percentage/1,806 yards/13 TDs/7 INT/100.6 passer rating

Dante Pettis -- 1/1/100.0/16/0/0/118.8

Individual Receiving

George Kittle -- 46 receptions/541 yards/11.8 yards per catch/2 TDs

Deebo Samuel -- 22/227/10.3/1

Matt Breida -- 14/103/7.4/1

Marquise Goodwin -- 11/181/16.5/1

Kendrick Bourne -- 11/158/14.4/1

Emmanuel Sanders -- 11/137/12.5/2

Dante Pettis -- 11/109/9.9/2

Tevin Coleman -- 10/74/7.4/1

Ross Dwelley -- 7/28/4.0/0

Kyle Juszczyk -- 6/76/12.7/0

Richie James Jr. -- 5/108/21.6/1

Raheem Mostert -- 4/68/17.0/1

Levine Toilolo -- 2/10/5.0/0

Jeff Wilson Jr. -- 1/2/2.0/0


Team Passing Defense Statistics (Opponent Offensive Rank)

Opponents’ Passes Attempted — 346 (2nd)

Opponents’ Passes Completed — 224 (3rd)

Opponents’ Completing Percentage — 64.7 (16th)

Opponents’ Gross Passing Yards — 2,605 (3rd)

Opponents’ Net Passing Yards — 2,503 (2nd)

Opponents’ Net Passing Yards Per Game — 278.1 (5th)

Opponents’ Yards Per Attempt — 7.53 (13th)

Opponents’ Yards Per Completion — 11.63 (13th)

Opponents’ Average Gain Per Pass Play — 6.93 (9th)

Opponents’ TD passes — 11 (T–20th)

Interceptions — 7 (T-11th)

Sacks — 15 (T-25th)

Opponents’ Passer Rating — 89.6 (19th)

Individual Defense Sacks and Quarterback Hurries

Mychal Kendricks -- 3.0 sacks/24.0 yards/2.0 QBH

Bobby Wagner -- 2.0/15.0/3

Jadeveon Clowney -- 2.0/13.0/7

Quinton Jefferson -- 2.0/14.0/7

Branden Jackson -- 2.0/9.0/3

Rasheem Green -- 2.0/8.0/2

Ezekiel Ansah -- 1.0/12.0/3

Interceptions and Passes Broken Up

Tedric Thompson -- 2 INTs/2 PBU

Jadeveon Clowney -- 1/3

Mychal Kendricks -- 1/4

Tre Flowers -- 1/3

Bradley McDougald -- 1/2

K.J. Wright -- 1/6

Shaquill Griffin -- 0/10

Who has the Edge?

Sanders' immediate contributions cannot be overlooked as he has developed a quick rapport with Garoppolo. The fact Sanders is all but certain to be third on the 49ers in receptions by the final gun shows both how effective the running game is and also what they have been missing in the passing game to take some of the pressure off stud tight end George Kittle.

Garoppolo should be able to find success versus Seattle's secondary and spread the wealth. The Seahawks could have recently acquired safety Quandre Diggs available after missing the first two games following his move from Detroit due to a hamstring injury, but unless the pass rush gets home, this could be a challenging night for Seattle.

Advantage: San Francisco 49ers


Seattle Seahawks

Jason Myers had his issues last weekend versus the Buccaneers, missing an extra point that contributed to the game going to overtime as well as field goals of 47 and 40 yards -- the latter which could have won the game in regulation.

Michael Dickson has put 15 of his 38 punts inside the opponents' 20, but also has three touchbacks, which has contributed to his net being only 40.9 yards against a gross of 46.9.

As far as the rest of the team, this is still Carroll's Seahawks -- loose, ready to take on a challenge, embracing the moment. They understand the challenge at stake in this game and the opportunity to turn the NFC West into a race, so there is no worry Seattle will not be up for this contest.


49ers kicker Robbie Gould has been stunningly mortal by his lofty standards, connecting on just 13 of 20 attempts this season. What is worrisome is the veteran making just 2 of 7 kicks from 40 yards or longer. Gould's average make is just 31.5 yards, and he has also missed a pair inside of 40.

Punter Mitch Wishnowsky has not had such troubles, putting 13 of his 25 efforts inside the opposing 20, and has helped his coverage unit concede just 19 yards on returns. He does not have a big leg for kickoffs -- only 20 of Wishnowsky's 48 boots have resulted in touchbacks, but San Francisco has not allowed a kickoff return more than 37 yards.

This is a huge game for the 49ers beyond simply staying unbeaten and comfortably atop the NFC West. It is also not a house money game since they have looked at the 49ers as the kings of the division. Five years ago, almost at this point in the season, the 49ers absorbed a 19-3 home loss on Thanksgiving that marked the unofficial start of the decline under Jim Harbaugh and led to seasons of struggle ahead of this point.

All those losses absorbed in recent years created scar tissue the 49ers have used to their benefit. Whether they can actually inflict a wound or two on the Seahawks is the question.

Who has the Edge?

There is a lot riding for both teams, but it is hard not to like the Seahawks coming to the Bay Area in a relaxed state of mind. They may have gotten lucky to a degree against the Buccaneers, but having an MVP frontrunner means never having to say you're sorry.

If the young 49ers can keep themselves grounded amid the buzz and energy early, they should be fine.

Advantage: Push

Final Outlook

Even with the game in San Francisco, and the 49ers well-rested and arguably more grounded after a close call on the road, it is difficult to pick against a Seahawks team with a culture of winning and veterans' understanding of how to win this type of game.

It's still a close-up whether Seattle will win outright, but a last-possession game feels like a certainty. That's why taking the Seahawks and the points are the play.

Latest Updates, Injury Reports, and Line Movements

The pick remains the Seahawks and the points, and with the look of the 49ers playing without Kittle -- they activated tight end Garrett Celek from the PUP list earlier Monday -- getting the six points has the feel of a solid play.

Seattle has not been a flashy team on the road, but it keeps finding ways to win there. The Seahawks are 4-0 on the road, and three of those wins have been by one-possession margins. That offers enough confidence in grabbing them and the six points to stay within that window and possibly win outright, especially if the 49ers will be without one of their primary pass-catching weapons.

Prediction: Seahawks +6 (-105)

Second Opinion on this pick from

Additional Insiders' Best Bets

Full-game Total Bet

Insiders Status:


This pick is more about confidence in Seattle's offense delivering than it is believing there will be a shootout. Simply put, Wilson is not making mistakes. Even when the protection breaks down, he is not throwing interceptions and keeping the chains moving.

Seattle's defense is a concern given it has not consistently stopped opponents, and San Francisco's run game is legit. It has the feel of a 31-28 scoreline when the number gets cleared early in the fourth quarter.

Prediction: OVER 47 points (-110)

Full-game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:


Driving the total below a flat TD total with a low-side hook and getting nearly two full touchdowns with the Seahawks is too good to pass up. Wilson is too good a decision-maker to throw multiple interceptions, even against an imposing 49ers defensive line, and the Seahawks should be able to move the ball with Carson grinding out yards.

Even without Kittle, San Francisco's ground game should be effective enough to help get the 49ers to at least 20 points and help clear this number.

Yardage plays we like:

DK Metcalf OVER 51.5 receiving yards (-114)

Deebo Samuel OVER 39.5 receiving yards (-103)

Metcalf is the better play of the two considering he has been gaining Wilson's trust with each passing week and is coming off his best game of the season in which he had six catches for 123 yards. Metcalf has been targeted 28 times in the last four games and should again be around that average where four receptions should see him through.

Samuel is a more aggressive play, with the belief that Celek will be in there more for blocking purposes with Kittle's expected absence. That leaves plenty of short targets over the middle, and that is where Samuel should make hay. He matched a season high with seven targets in the last game versus Arizona, and Garoppolo should be looking for him often.

Prediction: Seahawks +12.5/OVER 41.5 points (-110)

Half-time Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The 49ers have the second-best first-half point differential in the league (+66) and also have yet to allow a first-half touchdown at home, conceding just four field goals. The Seahawks are a formidable offensive team with 130 first-half points but also have yielded 117.

The high-side hook prevents an aggressive play, but the 49ers defense at home in what should be a frenzied atmosphere is worth a grab.

Prediction: 49ers -3.5 (-105)

Half-time Total Bet

Insiders Status:


This is an awkward number because it is absolutely conceivable a 13-10 or 14-9 scoreline could happen here. San Francisco has scored 48 points in the first two quarters in its last two home games, while the Seahawks have countered with 69 on the road in their four games outside Seattle.

There is enough confidence in both teams to score at least twice in the first half, the question is whether there will be at least three touchdowns among them to carry the number.

Prediction: OVER 23 points (-105)

Half-time Prop Bet

Insiders Status:


Again, a confidence pick in Wilson and the Seahawks. They have scored 13 or more first-half points in their last six games and in seven of nine overall. Seattle also has scored two touchdowns in the first half in each of its last three road games.

Prediction: Seahawks to score 10+ points (-103)

Written By Chris Altruda

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is based in Chicago. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiner, he worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Follow Chris daily right here at W&W and on Twitter at @AlTruda73. You won’t be disappointed.