Green Bay Packers (4-4; 3-5 ATS; 5-3; O/U) vs. Chicago Bears (3-5; 5-3 ATS; 2-6 O/U)
NFL: Sunday, November 12, 2017 at 1:00pm EST
Line: Chicago -3
The Chicago Bears will take on the Green Bay Packers in an NFC North clash Sunday afternoon from Solider Field. The Packers are coming off a 30-17 home loss to the Lions, and the Bears were off last week and were defeated 20-12 by the Saints in week eight. Green Bay defeated Chicago by a 35-14 score in late September.
Packers Overmatched by Lions in Third Straight Loss
The Green Bay Packers could not crack the Lions defense in their 24-10 home loss on Monday night. Brett Hundley did throw for 245 yards, however, most of his passing yards came in the fourth quarter with the Lions in a prevent defense, and he did not throw a touchdown. The 24-year old quarterback has not been able to generate any offense in Rodgers’ absence, recording 489 passing yards with a 1:4 TD to INT ratio. Packers’ leading rusher Aaron Jones could not do any damage on the ground, notching only 12 yards on five carries. The rookie running back rushed for over 125 yards in two of his five games played and has collected a total of 351 yards on the season. Davante Adams made a team-high seven catches for 53 yards in the loss last week. The 24-year old wide receiver has failed to crack 70 receiving yards in six consecutive games and has tallied 404 receiving yards on the season. The Packers offense is clearly struggling under Brett Hundley and it will not get any easier against a strong Bears offense this week.
The Packers defense could not contain Matt Stafford last week, surrendering 417 total yards including 353 passing yards. They were missing a couple of cornerbacks which did not help matters. Green Bay has now dropped three straight games and it is not looking good with Rodgers out long term.
Bears Offensive Struggles Continue in Loss to Saints
The Chicago Bears will begin a stretch of three home games in four weeks starting in this contest against Green Bay. They are coming off their bye week and dropped a 20-12 decision to the Saints in their previous action. Mitchell Trubisky could not get a whole lot going, connecting on only 14 of 32 passes for 164 yards with no touchdowns against one interception. The 23-year old rookie quarterback has shown signs of potential but has unable to put it together just yet, throwing for 512 yards with a 2:2 TD to INT ratio in four games. Bears’ leading rusher Jordan Howard is quietly having an outstanding season. He was able to rush for 102 yards in the loss to the Saints and has now collected 662 rushing yards to go with four touchdowns on the season. Kendall Wright only made two grabs for 23 yards in the loss to the Saints and leads the Bears with 259 receiving yards. The Bears are relying heavily on their running game to generate offense, but will need a bigger contribution from their passing game going forward.
The Bears defense did a reasonably good job containing Drew Brees and the Saints potent offense in their latest action, holding Brees to zero touchdown passes. They are having success defending the pass and their defense has played a key role in a few of their wins. Chicago has now won two out of their last three games, however. they sit in last place in the NFC North.
The Green Bay Packers are:
- 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record.
- 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
- 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
The Chicago Bears are:
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
- 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss.
I am taking the Bears in this contest. The Packers have not been able to generate any offense in Rodgers’ absence, averaging only 14.6 points in their last three games. The Bears are playing solid defense, limiting the Saints to 20 points in their previous contest, and held the Panthers to only three points in week seven, so I am confident they can contain the Packers stale offense. Furthermore, the Bears running game has been productive, averaging 130 rushing yards per game led by Jordan Howard, and Green Bay will give up yards on the ground, conceding an average of 118 rushing yards per game.
Pick: Chicago Bears
The Packers offense is struggling to put points on the board without Rodgers, and the Bears are also scuffling on offense. Brett Hundley has only tossed one touchdown in his three games and the Bears feature a sharp defense, so it will likely be another tough one on offense for the Packers, plus the under is 4-0 in their last four games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. The Bears are having offensive struggles of their own, scoring over 17 points on only two occasions this season, and the under is 4-0 in their last four home games.