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New York Giants vs. San Francisco 49ers,
11-12-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#271 New York
Giants
#272 San Francisco
49ers

Sunday, November 12, 2017 at 4:25pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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New York Giants (1-7 SU, 3-5 ATS, 4-4 O/U) vs. San Francisco 49ers (0-9 SU, 4-5 ATS, 4-5 O/U)

NFL: Sunday, November 12, 2017, Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California, 4:25 pm ET

Spread: Pick ‘Em; Over/Under: 42.5

It’s a matchup of a couple of doormats from the NFC in a late afternoon tilt in week 10 of the NFL schedule. The New York Giants are on the road as they travel cross-country to face the San Francisco 49ers Sunday afternoon. New York lost their second straight as they were clobbered 51-17 at home by the Rams last Sunday. San Francisco remained winless on the year as they were defeated 20-10 at home by Arizona last Sunday. The Giants have a 16-15 edge in the all-time regular season series, including a 30-27 win at home in the last meeting on October 11, 2015.

New York Giants Looking for Something to Salvage Lost Season

New York dropped to 1-7 at the midway point of the season as they were embarrassed at home by the Rams. This one wasn’t even close as the Giants were down 27-10 at the half and saw that deficit expand to 48-10 after three quarters. New York gave up a pair of touchdowns longer than 50 yards, including a 52 yard touchdown pass to Robert Woods on a 3rd and 33 play. The Giants were outgained 473-319 in the contest, gave up 20 first downs to their 17 and lost time of possession by a 30:30 to 29:30 margin. Most glaring, beside their inability to play defense, as turnovers: they committed three while failing to record a takeaway.

The Giants enter this contest 20th in the league in passing offense with 212.5 yards per contest and a miserable 27th in rushing with 86.8 yards per game. New York is 30th in the league in scoring offense as they average 15.9 points a game and stand 29th in scoring defense by giving up 25.9 points per contest. Eli Manning is 187 of 296 for 1,820 yards with 12 touchdowns against six interceptions while getting sacked 19 times: he adds 21 yards and a score on the ground. The run game is mediocre: Orleans Darkwa leads the team with 67 carries for 345 yards plus a score while rookie Wayne Gallman adds 45 carries for 182 yards. The receiving corps needed an overhaul after the Chargers game: Odell Beckham Jr. (25 catches, 302 yards, three TD), Brandon Marshall (18 receptions, 154 yards) and Dwayne Harris were all placed on injured reserve and are expected to miss the rest of the season. That puts pressure on rookie tight end Evan Engram (team high 34 catches, 412 yards, 4 TD) and Sterling Shepard (27 receptions, 338 yards, TD) to step up. Shepard recently returned after missing a couple weeks with a sprained ankle. Aldrick Rosas has booted all 13 extra points and eight of 12 field goals with a long of 51.

San Francisco 49ers Seeking First Win

San Francisco has battled in games this season but when it comes to crunch time, things haven’t gone their way. That’s things in a nutshell when you’re 0-9. After a five game stretch that saw San Francisco lose by three, two, three, three and two points, things have been more one-sided of late. The 49ers have dropped the last three by a combined 93-30. San Francisco cut a 14-3 halftime deficit to 14-10 in the third quarter but drew no closer. The 49ers were outgained 368-329, lost the first down battle 20-17 and were crushed in time of possession by a 36:22 to 23:38 margin in the contest. Both teams committed a pair of turnovers.

The 49ers are 18th in the league in passing offense with 217.3 yards per game and 24th in rushing with an average of 92.1 yards per contest. San Francisco is 29th in the league in scoring offense with 15.9 points a contest and 31st in scoring defense by allowing 26.6 points a game. Brian Hoyer was 119 of 208 for 1,245 yards with four touchdowns and four interceptions before getting sent to New England in the Jimmy Garoppolo deal. Rookie C.J. Beathard is 82 of 161 for 941 yards with two touchdowns and four interceptions while adding 100 yards and two scores on the ground. Carlos Hyde leads the team with 124 carries for 494 yards and four scores while rookie Matt Breida has 43 carries for 164 yards on the season. Pierre Garcon (40 receptions, 500 yards) was tied for the team lead in receptions but was placed on IR with a neck injury and is done for the year. Hyde (40 catches, 268 yards), George Kittle (27 grabs, 277 yards, TD), Trent Taylor (24 receptions, 204 yards, TD) and Marquise Goodwin (22 catches, 417 yards) will be looked at to contribute more in the passing game. Robbie Gould is 11 of 12 on extra points and 18 of 20 on field goals with a long of 52 this season.

Trends:

New York Giants

  • 3-10 ATS last 13 in Week 10.
  • 4-13 ATS last 17 after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

San Francisco

  • No Key Trends

One has to wonder what will give here: can the Giants actually scrape together a second win or can the 49ers break the zero in the win column? New York looked absolutely dreadful in their demolition by the Rams: how do you give up a touchdown on a 3rd and 33 play where it was all done with run after the catch yards? The 49ers, despite their record, have battled and shown grit: that five game stretch saw them one or two plays at most from winning all of those games. Sooner or later, that sort of effort is rewarded: this is the week. Take the 49ers at home here.

Pick: San Francisco 49ers Pick ‘Em

This is going to be interesting to see how things pan out. You have two of the four worst scoring offenses in the league in this contest. By the same token, you have two of the three worst scoring defenses on the field. Will these teams be able to move the ball and put up points or will the putrid offensive units make the defenses look like the ’72 Dolphins or the ’85 Bears? Manning ties his brother Peyton’s record with his 207th consecutive start under center this week but Ben McAdoo hasn’t endorsed him long term: will we see Davis Webb sooner rather than later? As for the 49ers, Kyle Shanahan is keeping Garoppolo as the #2 QB again this week: why trade for a guy if he’s not going to see the field?

The under has gone 9-4 in the last 13 road games for the Giants. The teams have stayed under the total in four of the last six meetings and the under has also hit in five of the last seven meetings between the teams in San Francisco. Given the anemic offenses, you have to lean toward this one hanging under the total as you just can’t trust either unit.

Under 42.5

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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