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New York Jets vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers,
11-12-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#259 New York
Jets
#260 Tampa Bay
Buccaneers

Sunday, November 12, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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New York Jets (4-5 SU, 6-2-1 PS, 5-4-0 O/U) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-6 SU, 1-6-1 PS, 4-4-0 O/U)

When: 1:00 PM EST, Sunday, November 12, 2017

Where: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida

Lines: New York -1

Total: 41

Sunday afternoon NFL action and a pair of inter-conference foes will square off as the New York Jets Grapple with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. The Jets come in off a 34-21 home win over the Bills, while the Buccaneers are off a 30-10 loss at New Orleans. These teams last met in 2013 and the Jets won at home by a score of 18-17.

Jets Run Over The Bills

The Bills and Jets kicked off their season in Buffalo and the Bills won that game by a score of 21-12. New York had just 214 yards of total offense, including just 38 yards on the ground in that game. This past Thursday, the teams hooked up again and the Jets ran for 194 yards in the 34-21 win. Matt Forte had a strong game as he ran for 77 yards and two TDs, while Bilal Powell chipped in with 74 yards. Josh McCown hit 14 of 20 passes for 140 yards and a TD, with no INTs in the game. He has really played well of late as he thrown for 606 yards with six TDs and just one INT over his last three games while posting a QBR of at least 106.3 in each of those games. McCown has a QBR of 96.1 on the year, which is 10th in the league. The defense for the Jets has not been great and while they did allow 244 yards passing to the Bills, they also allowed the top rushing attack in the league to churn out just 63 yards on the ground. That was a big improvement from the 190 yards on the ground they allowed the Bills to put up in game one. The Jets will need their pass defense to step up here as they are taking on the 3rd ranked passing offense.   

New York has been poor on offense so far this year as they come in ranked 22nd in the league in total offense (310.4 ypg), 25th in passing (203.8 ypg), 18th in rushing (106.7 ypg) and 18th in scoring at 21.2 ppg. On defense, they have been poor as they come in ranked 25th in total yards allowed (355.3 ypg), 20th against the pass (234.3 ypg) and 23rd vs the run (121.0 ypg), while allowing 23.0 ppg, which is 19th in the league.

Buccaneers Get Routed In The “Big Easy”

There was nothing easy about Tampa Bay’s trip to New Orleans as they were routed by a score of 30-10. The Bucs started out the season at 3-1, but everything has fallen apart for them of late as they have now lost their last five games in a row. Their offense comes in struggling as they have scored just 13 points in their last two games, while they have allowed 26.8 ppg during their five-game losing streak. They are just not good on either side of the ball and it may not get much better as they are taking on a New York team that is playing with confidence. The Bucs were able to manage just 200 yards of total offense in the loss to the Saints, including just 113 yards through the air. Jameis Winston was hurt in the game and is now out for this one. Ryan Fitzpatrick is the backup and hit 8/15 passes for 68 yards and a TD in the game. He will get the start in this game and that is not good news for Tampa Bay as he just hasn’t been a good starter in his career. The defense for the Bucs has not been very good this year and the Saints were able to put up 407 yards of total offense against them, including 151 yards on the ground. This defense could struggle against the ground attack of the Jets and then they would be in trouble as a hot McCown could hit some big plays downfield. We shall see.     

The Buccaneers have been decent on offense so far as they come in ranked 13th in the league in total offense (354.5 ypg), 3rd in passing (272.6 ypg) 29th in rushing (81.9 ypg) and 21st in scoring at 19.8 ppg. On defense, they have been very poor as they come in ranked 28th in total yards allowed (389.0 ypg), 30th against the pass (272.4 ypg) and 21st vs the run (116.6 ypg), while allowing 24.8 ppg, which is 26th in the league.

Trends

New York is:

  • 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games overall
  • 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win

Tampa Bay is:

  • 22-48-1 ATS in their last 71 home games
  • 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game

The Buccaneers have been struggling this year, while the Jets have been better than expected. Can the Jets keep it going? Josh McCown has looked good of late as he has posted a QBR of od least 106.3 in each of his last three games and he will be taking on a Tampa Bay defense that comes in ranked 30th in the league. This jets offense should have a good showing against the Buccaneers poor defense, especially if they get their run game going like they did last week against a good Buffalo defense. The Bucs have been solid on offense this year overall, but they have scored just 13 points in their last two games and could muster just 200 yards against the Saints poor defense last week. Look for the Jets to grab a big road win in this one.

Pick: New York -1

The Jets are have looked good on offense of late as they have averaged 27.3 ppg over their last three games, while the Bucs have scored a total of just 13 points in their last two games. The New York offense should be able to score some points against a poor Tampa Bay Pass defense that ranks 30th in the league. The Bucs come in ranked 3rd in the league in passing and the Jets rank 20th against the pass. This has the feel of an aerial shootout, which has me looking at the Over in this one.   

Pick: Under 41

Confidence: 4

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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