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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Indianapolis Colts,
11-12-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#255 Pittsburgh
Steelers
#256 Indianapolis
Colts

Sunday, November 12, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2; 5-3 ATS; 1-7 O/U) vs. Indianapolis Colts (3-6; 5-4 ATS; 6-3 O/U)

NFL: Sunday, November 12, 2017 at 1:00pm EST

Line: Pittsburgh -10

Total: 44

The Pittsburgh Steelers will head to Indianapolis to take on the Colts in an AFC matchup Sunday afternoon from Lucas Oil Stadium. The Steelers recorded a 20-15 road win over the Lions in their latest action, and the Colts surprised the Texans with a 20-13 road win last weekend. The Steelers handled the Colts by a 28-7 score last season. Roethlisberger tossed three TD’s and Bell rushed for 120 yards in that one.

Steelers Defense Comes up Clutch in Win Over Lions

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense came up clutch in the red zone in their 20-15 road win over the Lions in their latest action two weeks ago. Ben Roethlisberger did throw for 317 yards in the win, however, he was inaccurate at times and tossed one TD along with one interception. The 35-year old quarterback has not looked as sharp as previous seasons, collecting 2062 passing yards with a 10:9 TD to INT ratio. Le’Veon Bell did not do his usual damage against a strong rush defense against Detroit, rushing for 75 yards on 25 carries. The 25-year old running back is having another effective season, accruing 760 yards and five touchdowns in eight games played. Rookie receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster had his best game of the season, racking up 193 yards which included a 97-yard touchdown reception. The 20-year old receiver out of USC is having a promising rookie campaign, notching 424 yards along with four touchdowns. The Steelers offense has been inconsistent at times, but definitely feature several offensive weapons.

The Pittsburgh defense did allow 482 yards in the win over the Lions however they came up clutch, holding Detroit to an 0 for 5 clip from the red zone. The Steelers defense has been outstanding in three straight weeks and feature the second-ranked defense. They have now won three consecutive games and hold a comfortable lead over the Ravens for first in the AFC North.

Colts End Skid with Surprising Win Over Texans

The Indianapolis Colts dazzled on defense in their 20-13 road win over the Texans last week. Jacoby Brissett was tremendous, connecting on 20 of 30 passes for 308 yards with two touchdowns against one interception. The 23-year old quarterback has played well in two straight games and has now recorded 1950 passing yards with a 7:4 TD to INT ratio on the season. T.Y. Hilton came up huge in the win, making five catches for 175 yards with two touchdowns. The 27-year old wide receiver is still managing to have a strong season without Andrew Luck, accumulating 702 receiving yards along with three touchdowns. Frank Gore added 51 rushing yards on 17 carries in the loss and leads the Colts with 455 rushing yards on the season. The Colts offense is not a huge threat, howeve,r they have played reasonably well in their last two games.

The Indianapolis defense was stellar in the win against the Texans last week, limiting them to 288 total yards which included only 219 passing yards, and it was arguably their best defensive performance of the season. Overall they are very weak defensively, however, this could be the confidence booster they needed. The Colts snapped a three-game losing streak in the win and remain in last place in the AFC South.

Trends:

The Pittsburgh Steelers are:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 rushing yards in their previous game.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after recording more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

The Indianapolis Colts are:

  • 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after recording more than 250 passing yards in their previous game.

I am taking the Steelers in this contest. This Colts own the worst defense in the NFL, allowing an average of 29 points per game, and they are going to have trouble stopping the Steelers deep offense. The Colts pass defense is terrible so I expect Roethlisberger to have no problem finding Brown and Smith-Schuster, and Bell should have his way against a mediocre rush defense. Furthermore, the Steelers defense has been outstanding, allowing 15 or fewer points in three straight games and the Colts own a stale offense with a subpar quarterback. All signs point to a convincing Steelers victory.

Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

The Pittsburgh offense should pour on the points against a terrible Colts defense. The Colts possess the 31st ranked pass defense so look for a huge game from the Steelers in the air, and Bell is always a huge threat to do huge damage on the ground, plus the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Colts. The Colts offense is showing some signs of life, and while I don’t expect huge points, they should get on the board a few times, and the over is 4-0 in their last four after a straight up win. I expect the Steelers offense to play a huge role in the over converting.

Pick: Over

4

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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