Check out our best bets in this week’s Fab Five-NFL Edition:
The Carolina Panthers will attempt to rebound from a rough loss when they take on the Detroit Lions in an NFC clash Sunday afternoon from Ford Field. The Panthers were shelled 52-21 in Pittsburgh in their latest action, and the Lions were topped 34-22 in Chicago last week. The Panthers recorded a 27-24 road win over the Lions last season.
Panthers Eager to Return to Field After Blowout Loss
The Carolina Panthers had a three game winning streak snapped in a disastrous 52-21 loss to the Steelers last Thursday night. Cam Newton was decent in the defeat, collecting 193 passing yards with two TD’s against one INT. The 29-year old QB has tossed exactly two touchdown passes in seven consecutive games, and he has registered 2086 passing yards with a 17:5 TD to INT ratio on the season. Panthers’ leading rusher Christian McCaffrey continues to excel, amassing 156 rushing yards in his last two games, and he is up to 579 rushing yards and 439 receiving on the year. Devin Funchess has only tallied 103 receiving yards in his last three games, and he has racked up 477 yards this season. The Panthers offense has scored at least 30 points in four out of their last seven games led by a potent running game.
Ron Rivera is at the podium. https://t.co/OUsIKAt0xC
— Carolina Panthers (@Panthers) November 9, 2018
The Carolina defense is coming off their worst performance of the season, surrendering 457 total yards to Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. Their rush defense has been a strength, while their pass defense ranks 22nd in the NFL. Carolina stands at 1-3 on the road this season, and they are currently averaging 26.8 points, ranking them ninth in the NFL. They are conceding an average of 25.8 points, pegging them 23rd in the NFL. The Panthers remain in second place in the NFC South.
Lions Thumped by Bears in Third Straight Loss
The Detroit Lions are in desperate need of a win. They have lost three consecutive games with all three coming by at least 12 points including a 34-22 road loss to the Bears last week. Matt Stafford posted mixed results in the loss, collecting 274 passing yards with two TD’s against two INT’s. The 30-year old QB is having a mediocre season for his standards, registering 2385 passing yards with a 16:8 TD to INT ratio. Lions #1 RB Kerryon Johnson hasn’t been quite as productive recently, although overall he is having an outstanding rookie season, racking up 554 rushing yards on an average of 5.4 yards per carry. Lions’ receiving leader Kenny Golladay brought in six catches for 78 yards against the Bears, and the second-year WR has 601 yards on the season. Golladay will be targeted heavily going forward due to the departure of Golden Tate.
— Detroit Lions (@Lions) November 12, 2018
The Lions offense has consistently started slowly in the first half, and they haven’t had any significant success in the air and on the ground recently. They rank 24th in the NFL with an average of 347 total yards, and they are averaging 22.4 points, ranking them 20th in the NFL.
The Detroit defense struggled against the Bears last week, conceding 402 total yards. Lions #1 cornerback Darius Slay sat out last week with a knee injury, and he is questionable for this one. The Lions are allowing an average of 27.1 points, placing them 28th in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions are:
- 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 November games.
- 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record.
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record.
The Carolina Panthers are:
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
- 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
- 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Updated on Nov 17 at 11:25pm EST
Update prepared by our editoral staff
Public Money / Line Movements
The Panthers have gotten 77% of the tickets and they have gone from -3.5 to -4.5. Some sharp money may be keeping the line from going higher.
Injury / Weather Report
Carolina’s Impact Injury Report
WR Torrey Smith (171 Yards, 2 TDs) is out.
Detroit’s Impact Injury Report
WR Marvin Jones (508 Yards, 5 TDs) and DT A’Shawn Robinson (30 Tackles) are out.
DT Damon Harrison (51 Tackles) is questionable
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am taking the Panthers in this one. The Lions are in a free-fall right now, losing three straight games with all three losses occurring by at least 12 points. This is a favorable matchup for the Panthers. They feature a powerful rushing offense that ranks third in the NFL with an average of 138 rushing yards per game, and they are up against a poor Lions’ rush defense that ranks down at 28th in the NFL.
Furthermore, the Lions passing offense isn’t the same without Golden Tate who was traded a few weeks ago. Also, Detroit will struggle to generate significant yards on the ground against a Panthers rush defense that ranks ninth in the NFL.
Prediction: Carolina Panthers
Full-Game Total Pick
The over is a strong play in this one. The Lions have allowed an average of 28.7 points in their current three game slide, and Carolina is averaging a solid 33 points in their last three games, plus the over is 5-0 in the Lions’ last five games against a team with a winning record.
Furthermore, while the Panthers should contain the Lions, the Panthers pass defense ranks 22nd in the NFL and Matt Stafford has tossed two TD passes in all but two games this season. The over is 4-1 in the Panthers’ last five games against a team with a losing record, and it should hit again in this one.
Full-Game Prop Bet
The Panthers should have a big game on offense. The Panthers should run the ball with success throughout this game. The Lions rush defense is allowing an average of 133 rushing yards per game. Also, Cam Newton was able to accumulate 355 passing yards with three TD’s against the Lions last season.
Prediction: Panthers Team Total: Over 27.5
Half-Time Side Pick
The Panthers should have a solid lead at the half. The Lions have consistent struggled offensively in the first half recently, averaging only 6.7 points in the first half in their last three games. Also, the Panthers are averaging a sizzling 15.6 points in the first half this season.
Prediction: Carolina Panthers
Half-Time Total Bet
I expect the over on the halftime total to convert. The Panthers are conceding an average of 17.3 points in the first half in their last three games, and 18.8 points in the first half on the road. In addition, Detroit is conceding an average of 21.3 points in the first half in their last three games.