The red-hot New Orleans Saints will host the Philadelphia Eagles in an NFC battle Sunday afternoon from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Eagles are coming off a 27-20 home loss to the Cowboys, and the Saints registered a dominating 51-14 road win over the Bengals in their latest action. This marks the first meeting between these combatants since 2015 in a game the Eagles won 39-17.
Eagles Defense Falters in Surprising Loss to Cowboys
The Philadelphia Eagles head into this challenging matchup in desperate need of a win. They stand two games back of the Redskins for the top spot in the NFC East. The Eagles played poor defense in a rough 27-20 home loss to Dallas last week. Carson Wentz was solid in the loss, collecting 360 passing yards with two TD’s against one INT. The 25-year old QB has recorded five TD passes in his last two games, and he has registered 2148 passing yards with a 15:3 TD to INT ratio on the season. The Eagles continue to receive minimal production from their running game due to the season-ending injury to Jay Ajayi. Wendell Smallwood leads the way with 261 rushing yards.
Eagles’ leading receiver Zach Ertz racked up a season-best 145 receiving yards against the Cowboys. The 6-foot-5 tight end has tallied over 100 receiving yards in four out of his last six games, and he is up to 789 receiving yards on the year. Ertz should have another productive afternoon against a weak secondary.
Watch live as Jim Schwartz & Mike Groh meet with the media. https://t.co/OgvOjXDqzX
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) November 13, 2018
The Eagles offense has been inconsistent recently, and their lack of production on the ground is an issue going forward. They are currently averaging 22 points, ranking them 21st overall. The Philadelphia defense has been solid for most of the season, although they struggled against Dallas, surrendering 410 total yards. Philadelphia stands at 2-2 on the road, and they are holding opponents to 20.3 points, pegging them sixth in the NFL.
Saints Smash Bengals in Eighth Straight Win
The New Orleans Saints remained the hottest team in the NFL with a dazzling 51-14 road win over the Bengals last week to improve to 8-1. Drew Brees came through with yet another stellar effort, completing 88% of his pass attempts for 265 yards and three TD’s. The 39-year old QB is having a tremendous season, racking up 2601 passing yards with a dazzling 21:1 TD to INT ratio. Saints’ #1 RB Alvin Kamara added another 56 yards with two TD’s to his season total last week. The 23-year old RB has five rushing TD’s in his last three games, and he is up to 546 rushing yards on the year. Saints’ receiving leader Michael Thomas continues to excel, making a whopping 25 catches in his last three games, and he has accumulated a total of 950 receiving yards.
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) November 13, 2018
The Saints offense has now scored over 40 points in five of their nine games on the season, and they are averaging a sizzling 413 total yards per game, plus they lead the NFL with an average of 36.7 points per game.
The New Orleans defense got back on track with a solid performance against the Bengals, allowing only 284 total yards. The Saints defense has its strengths and weaknesses. They own the #1 rush defense in the NFL, and the 31st ranked pass defense. They are allowing an average of 25.8 points, pegging them 24th overall.
The New Orleans Saints are:
- 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following an ATS win.
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
The Philadelphia Eagles are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the NFC.
- 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- over is 20-6 in their last 26 road games.
Updated on Nov 18 at 3:00pm EST
Update prepared by our editoral staff
Public Money / Line Movements
The Sharps are on the side of the Eagles. The Saints have gotten 62% of the bets and yet they have gone from -9 down to -7.
Injury / Weather Report
Philadelphia’s Impact Injury Report
CB Ronald Darby (43 tackles) and CB Jalen Mills (42 Tackles) are both out.
New Orleans’ Impact Injury Report
OT Terron Armstead (9 Starts) and DE Marcus Davenport (4 Sacks) are both out.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am siding with the red-hot Saints in this matchup. The Saints powerhouse offense continues to dominate, and their last three wins have all occurred by at least 10 points. New Orleans is averaging 287 passing yards per game, and they are up against an Eagles secondary that ranks 23rd in the NFL in passing yards against with 265. I expect another big game from Drew Brees.
Furthermore, the Eagles are generating very little offense on the ground, and while Wentz should have some success in the air, it won’t be enough to keep pace with the Saints offense, plus the Saints just limited the Bengals to only 174 passing yards last week. The Saints are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games, and I expect a convincing Saints home win in this one.
Prediction: New Orleans Saints
Full-Game Total Pick
The over is a strong play in this contest. No defense has been able to stop the Saints, and they are averaging 37.3 points in their four home games,which included 45 points in their latest home game against the Rams, plus the over is 19-7-1 in their last 27 home games
In addition, the Saints are conceding an average of 376 total yards per game, ranking them 24th in the NFL, and the Eagles should do enough offensively to allow the over to hit, plus the over is 4-1 in their last five games against a team with a winning record.
Full-Game Prop Bet
I expect offense from both sides. The Saints are averaging an NFL best 4.3 touchdowns per game, and Drew Brees has registered seven TD’ passes in his last two games. Also, the Eagles are averaging three TD’s per game on the road this season, and Wentz has tossed at least two TD’s in six straight games.
Prediction: Total Touchdowns Scored: Over 5.5
Half-Time Side Pick
I am staying with New Orleans on the halftime line. The Saints lead the entire NFL with an average of 19 points in the first half, and they are posting a remarkable 29 points in the first half over their last three games, while the Eagles are only averaging 8.9 points in the first half this season.
Prediction: New Orleans Saints
Half-Time Total Bet
The over on the halftime total is also a solid option. The Saints first half defense has been well below average, conceding an average of 13.1 points on the season, placing them 22nd in the NFL. Also, Carson Wentz should have success against a weak pass defense.
Half-Time Prop Prediction
The Saints should have a lead after the first quarter. The Eagles have done nothing in the opening quarter recently where they have failed to score a single point in three consecutive games. Also, the Saints are averaging 9.3 points in the opening quarter in their last three games.
Prediction: First Quarter Line: New Orleans