Check out our best bets in this week’s Fab Five-NFL Edition:
The New York Giants will aim for their second straight victory when they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in an NFC clash Sunday afternoon from MetLife Stadium. The Buccaneers are coming off a 16-3 road loss to the Redskins, and the Giants got back in the win column with a 27-23 road win over the 49ers. The Buccaneers registered a 25-23 home win over the Giants last season.
Bucs Turnovers Prove Costly in Loss to Redskins
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into this one desperate for a win after falling 16-3 at home against the Redskins last week to extend their slide to three games. Ryan Fitzpatrick was productive, accumulating 406 passing yards, although he tossed two picks and fumbled once. The 35-year old veteran QB continues to rack up a ton of passing yards, although it has not translated to wins. Fitzpatrick has tallied 2199 passing yards with a 17:9 TD to INT ratio on the season.
The Bucs’ running game ranks near the bottom of the NFL. Peyton Barber contributed 61 rushing yards last week, and he has a team-leading 437 rushing yards on the year. Bucs #1 receiver Mike Evans has slowed down recently, recording only 67 receiving yards in his last two games, and he has tallied 837 yards on the year.
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) November 13, 2018
The Bucs offense continues to move the ball with success, however, turnovers have consistently cost them points. They lead the NFL with an average of 453 total yards per game, and the Bucs are now averaging 25.8 points, ranking them 12th in the NFL. The Tampa Bay defense had their best game of the season against the Redskins last week, holding them to only 286 total yards. Overall, the Bucs rank near the bottom of the NFL against the pass which is countered by the 15th ranked rush defense. Tampa Bay is allowing an average of 32.3 points, pegging them last in the NFL.
Giants Snap Skid with Win over 49ers
The New York Giants finally snapped a dreadful five-game losing streak with a 27-24 road win over the last place 49ers on Monday night. Eli Manning only averaged 6.1 yards per pass attempt, although he tossed three touchdowns. The 37-year old QB has registered over 300 passing yards in two out of his last three games, and he has accumulated 2565 passing yards with an 11:6 TD to INT ratio on the season. Giants’ #1 RB Saquon Barkley collected 67 yards on 20 carries last week. The 21-year old rookie RB hasn’t been able to generate any significant yards in three straight games, and he has tallied 586 rushing yards on the season. Odell Beckham Jr. has steadily produced this season, recording over 100 receiving yards five times this season, and he is up to a total of 858 receiving yards.
— NFL (@NFL) November 13, 2018
The New York offense has struggled most of the season, and they have only scored more than 20 points twice this season. The Giants defense ranks below average in most defensive categories. They conceded 374 total yards to the 49ers last week, and they are allowing an average of 367 total yards per game on the season.
The Giants own an 0-4 home record and they are currently averaging 19.7 points, ranking them 26th in the NFL. They are allowing an average of 25.3 points, pegging them 20th in the NFL.
The New York Giants are:
- 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Tampa Bay.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are:
- 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against the NFC.
- 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record.
Updated on Nov 18 at 7:05am EST
Update prepared by our editoral staff
Public Money / Line Movements
The Giants have gotten 61% of the bets and that is consistent with the fact that they have gone from -2 to -3.
Injury / Weather Report
No Weather Issues Expected
Tampa Bay’s Impact Injury Report
LB Lavonte David (71 Tackles), DB Justin Evans (57 Tackles) and M.J. Stewart (29 Tackles) are all out.
WR Chris Godwin (483 Yards, 4 TDs) and Center Ryan Jensen (9 Starts) are questionable.
New York’s Impact Injury Report
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I am taking the Giants in this contest. The Buccaneers pass defense has been awful, allowing an average of 292 passing yards per game, pegging them 29th in the NFL. Eli Manning and Odell Beckham Jr. should be able to have a big game in this one. While Eli Manning has taken a fair amount of criticism, he has recorded at least 280 passing yards in four out of his last five games. He got back on track with three TD’s against the 49ers, and I am confident he can have a big game against a poor pass defense.
Furthermore, the Buccaneers continue to turn the ball over frequently. They own an abysmal -19 turnover differential, and they rank last in the NFL with 25 turnovers. Tampa Bay has lost three straight, and I expect the Giants to hand them another loss.
Prediction: New York Giants
Full-Game Total Pick
The over is a solid play in this one. The Buccaneers have squandered an average of 40 points in their five road games on the season, and the over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 road games, and 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.
In addition, Tampa Bay leads the NFL in yards per game and passing yards per game. The Bucs have scored at least 28 points in four out of their last five games, and the Giants defense has shaky most of the season.
Full-Game Prop Bet
I expect a productive performance from the Giants offense. The Giants were able to break out with 27 points against the 49ers last week, and they are up against a struggling defense in this one. Tampa Bay is surrendering an average of 400 total yards per game, and Eli Manning and Odell Beckham Jr. should be able to have their way against a poor secondary. Also, the Buccaneers have allowed at least 30 points in six of nine games on the season.
Prediction: Giants Team Total: Over
Half-Time Side Pick
I am siding with the Bucs on the halftime line. The Giants have especially struggled to generate offense in the first half where they are only averaging 7.6 points on the season, pegging them down at 29th in the NFL. New York is much more productive in the second half where they are averaging 14.7 points.
Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Half-Time Total Bet
The under on the first half total is worth a look. The Bucs are only averaging 8.7 points in the first half in their last three games. Also, the Giants are holding opponents to 10 points in the first half in their last three games.
Half-Time Prop Prediction
I am taking the Giants to score first. The Giants have some momentum on their side and I am confident they can strike first. Tampa Bay has not scored a single point in the first quarter in their last three games. Also, the Giants are holding opponents to an average of three points in the opening quarter in their last three games.
Prediction: Giants to Score First