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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns,
11-19-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#463 Jacksonville
Jaguars
#464 Cleveland
Browns

Sunday, November 19, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Jacksonville Jaguars (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS)
vs Cleveland Browns (0-9 SU, 2-7 ATS)

When: Sunday, Nov. 19th, 1:00 PM ET

Line: JAX -7.5

Total: 37.5

TV/Live Stream: CBS, CBS All-Access

The Browns are the only remaining team in the NFL without a victory as they host the Jaguars on Sunday afternoon at FirstEnergy Stadium. Cleveland’s latest loss came at Detroit by a two-touchdown margin. Jacksonville has now won three consecutive after pulling out a win in overtime against the LA Chargers. They’ve won the last two meetings against Cleveland.

Hurns leads receiving unit, but is listed on the injury report

Jacksonville’s defense wasn’t on point like it was in the first two victories of this streak, but they still came away with a 20-17 victory over the LA Chargers in overtime. The Jaguars missed the opening extra point after a huge 56-yard run by Corey Grant, but they made it up when Marquise Lee caught a TD pass and 2PC. Josh Lambo had back-to-back field goals from 34 and 30 yards to take home the win. The defense didn’t allow the Chargers to reach the red zone, and the Jags overcame going just 1-for-3 in there while also committing 9 penalties for 106 yards.

Quarterback Blake Bortles completed 28-of-51 passes for 273 yards and had a negative ratio of one touchdown to two picks. Outside of the long bomb by Grant, the team generally relied on Bortles’ arm. Lee had the touchdown, but Allen Hurns had the best overall day completing seven of his nine targets for 70 yards. Hurns had to leave the contest early and is day-to-day with an ankle injury.

Kizer dealing with ribs injury, but is still expected to play

Cleveland has now lost three of their last four by double digits, the latest being a 38-24 defeat at Detroit. The only time they’ve come close is having an opportunity against Tennessee in overtime nearly four weeks ago, and that was the only spread they’ve won since the season opener. The dumpster fire that is the Browns can’t be trusted, and things could get even worse.

Quarterback DeShone Kizer completed 21-of-37 passes for 232 yards and had an even ratio of one touchdown and one pick. He’s completed just 52.8 percent of his passes and has a negative ratio of 4 TDs to 12 INTs on the season. He’s currently listed as day-to-day with a ribs injury. The running attack wasn’t half bad with 201 yards and two scores on 31 carries, and the Browns did outpace the Lions in first downs (26-16). However, turnovers and Detroit’s more consistent passing game was the difference.

Trends

Jaguars are:

  • 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games
  • 8-3 ATS in their last 11 against AFC opponents

Browns are:

  • 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning road record

It sounds incredibly weird, but expect Jacksonville to win their fourth consecutive game by a convincing margin. Cleveland’s chances of winning a game this season will be better in their next two weeks on the road.

Pick: JAX -7.5

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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