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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns,
11-19-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#463 Jacksonville
Jaguars
#464 Cleveland
Browns

Sunday, November 19, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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The Cleveland Browns are in still searching for their first victory of the season as they head into a home date with the Jacksonville Jaguars at FirstEnergy Stadium on Sunday afternoon. Cleveland, the only winless team in the NFL, is coming off a loss to Detroit. The Jaguars have won three in a row at the expense of Indianapolis, Cincinnati, and the Chargers.

It’s personal

Jacksonville safety Tashaun Gipson spent four seasons with the Browns and won 19 total games. Of course, that is actually a decent number compared to Cleveland’s recent standards. Gipson is making no secret about his desire to go up against–and destroy–his former team.

“I truly hope that we hang 40 on them,” Gipson said of the Browns. “Their offense probably shouldn’t score against our defense and I’m excited. That’s the true thing. It’s personal, but yet at the end of the day you’re still blessed…knowing that I’m in a situation right now where I don’t look back about it. I don’t look back with any regrets. I’m extremely excited with where I’m at right now, but you know it’s definitely going to be personal, man–for sure.”

Although Cleveland is winless this season, a shutout would be the first one it has suffered. Two opponents have held the Browns to single-digits and only twice have they scored more than 20 points–including in last week’s 38-24 loss to Detroit.

And then there was one

Previously winless San Francisco had the benefit of facing the Giants last week. Unsurprisingly, the 49ers are no longer winless. That leaves Cleveland as the only team with a zero still remaining in the win column this season. Adding insult to injury, or vice versa, the Browns are now without linebacker Jamie Collins. It has been a tumultuous first season in Cleveland for Collins, and not just because his team stinks. He missed three games with a concussion and then sustained a sprained MCL in last weekend’s loss to the Lions. This is especially bad news for a Cleveland defense that has allowed at least 33 points in three of its last four contests.

“That is a big blow to our defensive football team because he is one of our best players,” head coach Hue Jackson assured.

“You’re losing your captain; one of your playmakers on defense,” linebacker Chris Kirksey added.

NFL Trends:

The Jacksonville Jaguars are:

  • 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games
  • 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against the AFC
  • 4-1 ATS in their last five games after passing for more than 250 yards in their previous game

The Cleveland Browns are:

  • 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 overall
  • 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games
  • 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with winning records

Cleveland is now the undisputed worst team in football, and now it will not have Collins at its disposal. The Browns have lost four of their last six games by double-digits, including last week despite once leading the Lions by double-digits. With the Jaguars having won threei n a row, another laugher could be in the cards for Cleveland. Jacksonville is 6-1 ATS in its last seven on the road, 8-3 ATS in its last 11 against the AFC, and 4-1 ATS in its last five after passing for more than 250 yards in its previous outing. The Browns are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 overall, 3-11 ATS in their last 14 at home, 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 against winning opponents, 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 against the AFC, and 6-26 ATS in their last 32 following a loss. Count on those trends continuing.

Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5

Jacksonville will be without receiver Allen Hurns against the Browns. Hurns suffered an ankle injury late in regulation of last week’s overtime win over the Chargers and he could miss several weeks. He has 36 receptions for 446 yards and two touchdowns this season, so this is a considerable blow for a team that is already lacking Allen Robinson. With Cleveland’s offense a well-known debacle, points could be hard to come by on Sunday. The under is 4-1 in the Jaguars’ last five overall, 4-1 in their last five on the road, and 4-0 in their last four against the AFC. It is also 13-3 in the Browns’ last 16 at home, 5-2 in their last seven against the AFC, 10-3 in their last 13 against winning opponents, and 4-0 in their last four on grass. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Pick: Under 37.5

3

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.

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