Kansas City Chiefs (6-3; 6-3 ATS; 6-3 O/U) vs. New York Giants (1-8; 3-6 ATS; 5-4 O/U)
NFL: Sunday, November 19, 2017 at 1:00pm EST
Line: Kansas City -11
The New York Giants will target their second win of the season when they host the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday afternoon from MetLife Stadium. The Chiefs were off last week and were topped 28-17 by the Cowboys in week nine, and the Giants are coming off a 31-21 road loss to the 49ers. These teams last met in 2013 in a game the Chiefs won 31-7.
Chiefs Return to Action After Bye Week
The Kansas City Chiefs will look to get back to their winning winnings after taking their much-needed bye week. They were handled 28-17 by the Cowboys in week nine as their defensive struggles continued. Alex Smith was decent, throwing for 263 yards with two touchdowns against one interception. The 33-year old quarterback is having a tremendous season, accumulating 2444 passing yards with an 18:1 TD to INT ratio. Travis Kelce continued his productive play in the loss, bringing in seven catches for 73 yards and one touchdown. The five-year veteran tight end has tallied over 100 receiving yards on three occasions this season, and leads the Chiefs with 629 receiving yards. Chiefs rookie Kareem Hunt only made nine carries for 37 yards in the loss to Dallas. The 22-year old running back has been kept in check the last few weeks, however overall he is having a spectacular season, notching 800 rushing yards along with 331 receiving yards. The Chiefs offense has not been a problem during their recent struggles and own the eight-ranked passing game.
The Chiefs defensive woes continued in the loss to Dallas in their latest action, surrendering 375 total yards and allowed the Cowboys to go 4 for 4 in the red zone. They rank near the bottom of the NFL in multiple defensive categories and will need to show improvement in the second half. The Chiefs have dropped three out of their last four games and remain in first in the AFC West.
Giants Fall to 49ers in Eighth Loss of Season
The New York Giants nightmare of a season continued in their 31-21 road loss to the 49ers last weekend. Eli Manning did his part, connecting on 28 of 37 passes for 273 yards with two touchdowns, however he did turn the ball over with a fumble. The veteran quarterback is not having a bad season as the Giants have dealt with an influx on injuries to their key wide receivers. He has recorded 2093 passing yards with a 14:6 TD to INT ratio on the season. Orleans Darkwa came through with a solid effort in the loss, rushing for 70 yards on 14 carries. The 25-year old running back is averaging a solid 5.1 yards per carry, and has amassed 415 rushing yards on the year. Sterling Shepherd had his biggest game of the year in the loss, racking up 142 receiving yards on 13 catches. The second-year receiver has now leaped past Evan Engram for the team-lead in receiving with 475 yards. The Giants offense is clearly missing Odell Beckham Jr. who is out for the year.
The Giants defense was a disaster again in the loss last week, surrendering 474 total yards which included 288 passing yards. They have struggled defensively in three straight games and rank near the bottom of the NFL in most defensive categories. New York is now 1-7 and are playing for pride the rest of the way.
The Kansas City Chiefs are:
- 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against the Giants.
- 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The New York Giants are:
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record.
I am taking the points with the Giants in this contest. This is a high spread and the Chiefs are not playing well. They are allowing an average of 390 total yards per game, ranking them 30th in the NFL, and their pass defense is struggling, so I expect Manning to have success in the air. Furthermore, the Giants defense is better than seen the last few weeks, and they do have enough talent to at least contain the Chiefs offense. The Chiefs are allowing an average of 26 points in their five road games, and I think the Giants can at least hang around in this one at home.
Pick: New York Giants
The Chiefs and Giants are both struggling defensively against both the pass and run. This matchup has the makings of a high-scoring contest as the Chiefs own the 28th ranked pass defense along with the 29th ranked rush defense, so I expect some points from the Giants, and the over is 5-1 in their last six games following a loss. The New York defense possesses the 30th ranked rush and pass defense, so the Chiefs should do damage as well, plus the over is 4-0 in their last four games following a straight up loss.