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Atlanta Falcons vs. Seattle Seahawks,
11-20-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#475 Atlanta
Falcons
#476 Seattle
Seahawks

Monday, November 20, 2017 at 8:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Atlanta Falcons (5-4 SU, 3-6 ATS, 3-6 O/U) at Seattle Seahawks (6-3 SU, 3-5-1 ATS, 3-6 O/U)

Line: Seattle -3

Total: 45

The Seattle Seahawks found a way to beat Arizona last Thursday on the road by six, but this was a “pyrrhic victory”. The Seahawks won the game but lost the battle due to several key injuries. One of them was season-ending as All-Pro cornerback Richard Sherman tore his Achilles tendon. Atlanta also lost RB Devonta Freeman to another concussion in their 27-7 win over Dallas at home this past Sunday. These NFC teams will battle it out on Monday night from Seattle.

Falcons catch a break

Atlanta not only had to face Dallas without star running back Ezekiel Elliott due to a suspension, but left tackle Tyron Smith was out due to a groin injury. The Falcons defense took advantage of Smith’s absence by sacking Dak Prescott eight times. Atlanta defensive end Adrian Clayborn had a career day with six sacks against replacement left tackle Chaz Green. Dallas was held to just 126 passing yards and 107 on the ground in the Falcons 27-7 win.

The Falcons were down early, 7-0 but went on to score the next 10 points, to go up by three at the half. Matt Ryan caught fire in the second half, throwing short touchdown passes to Justin Hardy and to Austin Hooper to make a close game a blowout. Ryan completed 22 of 29 for 215 yards with two TDs and a pick. They did lose Freeman early on to the concussion (2 carries for 3 yards). That meant that running back Tevin Coleman had to step up and he rushed 20 times for 83 yards with a touchdown. Coleman, who has 602 yards rushing this season, will likely be the number one guy for the next game or two.

On the season, the Falcons average 368 yards per game (8th) and 251.6 passing yards (11th). They allow 311.9 yards per game (9th) and just 198.2 passing yards (6th). Ryan is having a mediocre season for his standards, completing 66.6 percent of his passes for 2,372 yards with 13 TDs and eight picks (93.9 QB rating).

Seahawks leave Arizona with win, multiple injuries

The Seahawks held on to beat Arizona last Thursday night, thanks to an incredible play by Russell Wilson. The Seahawks were up 15-10 early in the fourth quarter when Wilson made the play of the season. He avoided being sacked for a 20-yard loss several times, heaving a pass 20 yards to the sidelines, where Doug Baldwin caught the ball over a defender. Baldwin then sprinted down the sidelines to the 2-yard line. Wilson then hit TE Jimmy Graham for a 2-yard touchdown pass to basically put the game away. The Cardinals scored a late touchdown with 20 seconds left to make it a 6-point game. Wilson completed 22 of 32 for 238 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions.  The Seahawks had no running game as they rushed for 75 yards on 23 carries.

Seattle did have some good fortune and that was facing backup Drew Stanton, who was off most of the night against a Seahawks secondary that was already missing All-Pro safety Earl Thomas. They eventually lost Sherman along with safety Kam Chancellor to a stinger. Wilson is having a good season considering the Seahawks have zero running game and not a lot of pass protection. Wilson has 2,543 yards passing with 19 touchdowns and six picks (97.4 QB rating).

The Seahawks rank 22nd in rushing offense (100.7ypg) as Wilson is their leading rusher (290 yards) and second in passing yards per game (267.8ypg). They rank 12th in total yards allowed (318.9ypg) and 9th against the run (101ypg).

NFL Trends:

Atlanta is:

  • 4-0 ATS last 4 Monday games.
  • 9-3 ATS last 12 vs. NFC.

Seattle is:

  • 3-8 ATs last 11 after a SU win.

Seattle is not the same team defensively without Sherman and Chancellor probably won’t play. Ryan can take advantage of their secondary problems and Atlanta showed they could get pressure on a bad line, which the Seahawks have.

Pick: Atlanta

Atlanta has been underachieving this season but they are dangerous. They still have Julio Jones and Mohammed Sanu and the Seahawks have issues in the secondary. Atlanta is 15-1 Over last 16 on fieldturf and 14-4-1 Over last 19 vs. NFC. Seattle is 6-1 Over last 7 vs. Atlanta.

Over

4

Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!

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