Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#253 Denver Broncos 35 vs.
#254 Buffalo Bills -4
Sunday, November 24, 2019 at 1:00pm EST
New Era Field, Orchard Park
Written by Sporty Jordy



#253 Denver
#254 Buffalo


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When and where: November 24, 2019, New Era Field, Buffalo, NY, 1:00 PM ET

After a heartbreaking loss to the Minnesota Vikings, the Denver Broncos stay on the road on Sunday for an AFC tilt with the surging Buffalo Bills. One thing is certain: This isn’t the bumbling Bills team from past years. They have a confident, young quarterback in Josh Allen and one of the league’s best defensive units. They are also only three games out from surpassing the New England Patriots in the AFC East.

Granted, that’s still light years away, but it does speak to the massive improvements that have taken place within the organization this year. They recently secured their seventh win of the season with a 37-20 victory over the Miami Dolphins.

Is it Lock time in Denver?

Broncos head coach Vic Fangio may not be ready to kick the tires on rookie quarterback Drew Lock this season. Even with Joe Flacco on injured reserve and Brandon Allen standing in behind center, the chances of getting a good look at the future for the Broncos may not come any time soon.

“I don’t think it’s vitally important [Lock plays this season],” said Fangio, via “... I think with a young guy, with limited reps, it can be good, [but] you can get a false positive, you can get a false negative. You need a whole body of work, and that body of work includes offseason, training camp, [the] build up. I’m not putting any limits on him if he does get in there, but I would be reluctant to make final conclusions.”

That’s a new meaning for keeping a player under Lock and key.

The Broncos still have another week to decide if they want to promote Lock (thumb) from injured reserve to the active roster.

It’s back to Allen on Sunday in a tough road meeting with the vaunted Bills defense. Considering all of the problems for the Broncos on the offensive side of the ball, New Era Field could turn into a house of horrors for the young quarterback. The Bills have the No. 3-ranked defense in the league and is top-10 in sack percentage. So you can imagine coach Sean McDermott is thinking of a 1,000 different ways to make the Broncos offense cry uncle.

That is no slight at Allen, who has actually played well considering the circumstances. He helped lead the Broncos to a win over the Cleveland Browns and nearly toppled a playoff contender in the Minnesota Vikings on the road.

Of course, the real hero for the Broncos has been the sensational defensive play. Even with all of the turnover, the unit still ranks fourth in yards allowed (310.8) and ninth in points (19.7). Josh Allen and the up-and-down Bills offense will have their work cut out for them on Sunday.

Can the Bills remain consistent?

As the season winds down, the Bills are actually getting into the meat of their schedule. They have meetings against the Dallas Cowboys, Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots in three of their next six games. Things are about to get much tougher than beating up on a weakened Dolphins team on the road last week.

Not only do the Bills have potential playoff teams on their schedule, but they also have several trap games sprinkled into the mix. Sunday’s meeting with the Broncos would qualify as one of those games.

The Broncos don’t boast much of a threat from an offensive standpoint. Brandon Allen has looked decent in his short time as a starter, but it’s also hard to envision him cracking a Bills secondary allowing only 197.8 passing yards per game. They’d have better luck running the ball up the gut with the two-headed running back monster featuring Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman.

Yet, the real challenge will be Bills quarterback Josh Allen’s western-style standoff with the Broncos defense. He has been a mixed bag this season with the wacky playground football highlights that brings fans to their feet, but there have also been the backbreaking turnovers and stalled drives that let the doubt creep back in. Denver actually has the more well-rounded defense in their ability to stop the run and pass. Josh will have to figure out ways to make the plays needed to put his team over the top.

He’ll probably have to do so without the assistance of Ty Nsekhe. The veteran offensive tackle is officially listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game with an ankle injury.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


McDermott has to be twisting his brain into pretzels thinking up ways to wreak havoc in the Broncos’ offensive backfield. This will be too big of a step up in competition for Brandon Allen and the Broncos offense, especially with the game being on the road. Lindsay has also been limited with a foot and wrist injury, which could profoundly impact the strong one-two punch at running back.

I do believe the Broncos defense can at least keep this game within a touchdown. It’ll be one of those games that will be within reach from start to finish, but the Broncos will continuously stall out drives and fail to make the plays necessary to get ahead.

This game will also tell us more about Josh Allen. There hasn’t been a consistent running game behind him all season. It has been nothing more than a revolving door of Frank Gore, Devin Singletary and whatever fullback or wide receiver the team can throw into the mix. This will be Josh’s chance to show he can play well against a top defense. Bills leading receiver John Brown will be tethered to that equation as well when facing one of the better secondaries he’s seen all season.

I’m taking the Bills to win their second straight game heading into the toughest part of their schedule.

Prediction: Buffalo Bills (-4)

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


This game features a pair of top-10 scoring defenses standing across from offensive units that haven’t shown much explosiveness. The Broncos offense is being led by a backup in Brandon Allen getting thrown into the fire pit of New Era Field against a Bills defense that has bedeviled veteran quarterbacks all season. There are far better games to expect a statement performance from a young quarterback than this one.

Josh Allen’s offense hasn’t been that much better. They are averaging 21.1 points per game and rank in the bottom half of the league in total offense. I’m taking the under betting total here.

Prediction: Under (38)

Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY and There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys and all the Sun Drop you can drink.