Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#251 Miami Dolphins 45 vs.
#252 Cleveland Browns -10.5
Sunday, November 24, 2019 at 1:00pm EST
FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland
Written by Scott Reichel



#251 Miami
#252 Cleveland


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Week 12 of NFL football continues as the Miami Dolphins travel to FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns on Sunday, Nov. 24 at 1:00 P.M. These two teams have not met since 2016 when the Dolphins beat the Browns at home by the score of 30-24.

Dolphins Continue To Struggle

Brian Flores has the Dolphins in terrible form headed into this game. The Dolphins have lost eight of their first ten games and they are in last place in the AFC East division as a result. Miami also enters this game following a blowout loss on the road against Buffalo in which it gave up 37 points. Now, the Dolphins have to travel on the road again as they will look to improve upon their 1-3 record away from home. Miami has looked more competitive than people thought that it would after the first few weeks of the regular season but everyone is aware that this is one of the worst teams in the NFL and that a road game in cold weather should do little to get the Dolphins back on track.

Leading the Dolphins offensively is quarterbackRyan Fitzpatrickwho has been pretty good this season with 1,687 passing yards along with eight passing touchdowns. However, he has also been pretty turnover prone as he has already thrown eight interceptions. Considering the lack of talent around him, Fitzpatrick has actually done a pretty good job leading this team to a couple of wins and he will look to lead the Dolphins to another victory on Sunday.

Defensively, Miami has been awful up to this point. The Dolphins are allowing 30.5 points per game which ranks 31st in the entire league. In addition, the Dolphins are allowing 394.3 yards per game which ranks 29th in the league. Miami has had to deal with a ton of injuries to some key pieces on its secondary and its defense should get even worse now that safety Reshad Jones is on injured reserve.

Browns Look To Move On Without Garrett

Cleveland enters this game with a 4-6 record after a very hectic game last week. Cleveland was able to beat Pittsburgh on Thursday night at home last week by the score of 21-7 as the game was pretty uneventful for the first 59 minutes. However, the last-minute resulted in absolute chaos as star defensive lineman Myles Garrett swung his helmet at Mason Rudolph's head and got himself suspended for the rest of the season. Garrett no longer being active is a serious blow to Cleveland's already slim playoff hopes but the Browns can still hypothetically make the playoffs with a lot of luck. As a result, expect Cleveland to enter this game extremely motivated and focused as its playoff hopes are on the line.

In the latest saga involving Garrett and Pittsburgh quarterback Mason Rudolph, Garrett reportedly accused Garrett of using a racial slur before the start of the brawl last week. Garrett appealed the suspension on Wednesday and made the allegation than according to ESPN.

Leading the Browns offensively is quarterbackBaker Mayfield who looked underwhelming so far this season. He has thrown for 2,394 passing yards and 11 passing touchdowns. However, he has also thrown 12 interceptions so he will need to improve on his ball security moving forward. In addition, Mayfield has only completed 59.2% of his passes so he will need to also improve on his throwing accuracy.

Defensively, Cleveland has been decent up to this point. The Browns are allowing 22.8 points per game which ranks 17th in the entire league. In addition, the Browns are allowing 344.0 yards per game which ranks 16th in the league. However, its defense should get a lot worse moving forward now that Myles Garrett is not on the active roster since he is one of the best defensive linemen in the league.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Even though this spread seems a bit high, Cleveland still has something to play for while Miami has nothing left to play for so I will take the home team. Cleveland has won each of its last two games and now gets to play in the comfort of its own home while Miami has to travel to a cold-weather city. The Dolphins have been awful on the road this season and I do not expect anything to change now that its defense has more injuries to deal with. I think that the Browns should win this game by at least 13 points. Give me the home team.

Prediction: Browns -10.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Both teams have been below average on defense so far this season and now have to deal with one of their best defensive players being out so I have to take the over. Both defenses should have issues generating pressure as both starting quarterbacks have the ability to pick apart the opposing defenses. Miami just gave up 37 points to Buffalo at home so Cleveland should be able to score at least 30 points now that Miami is on the road. At the same time, Miami's offense is decent is good enough to score at least 17 points in this game. Give me the over.

Prediction: Over 44.5

Half-Time Side Pick

Insiders Status:


Cleveland is in a must-win situation and I expect the Browns to treat this game with the seriousness that it deserves. The Browns should be able to dominate this game on both sides of the ball as Miami continues to struggle en route to a top-five NFL Draft pick. Cleveland's playoff hopes might be unrealistic but the Browns are still in the hunt and I expect Mayfield to rip this Miami defense apart for the first 30 minutes. Cleveland should be ahead by two possession by halftime so I will take the home team.

Prediction: Cleveland Browns 1H

Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.