Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#263 Chicago Bears vs.
#264 New York Jets
Sunday, November 27, 2022 at 1:00pm EST
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Chicago Bears (3-8, 4-6-1 ATS, 7-4 O/U) clash with the New York Jets (6-4, 6-4 ATS, 3-7 O/U) in an inter-conference bout on Sunday afternoon. The Bears dropped a narrow road decision against the Falcons last week. The Jets couldn’t generate offense in a road loss against the Patriots in their previous action thanks to a last-second punt return for a TD. These combatants last met in 2018 in a game the Bears won 24-10.

Bears Charged with Fourth Straight Loss

The Chicago Bears are looking to end a four-game losing streak. The last three defeats have been narrow. They lost by three points to the Dolphins, one against the Lions, and last week Chicago was labeled as a 2.5-point dog in a 27-24 road loss to the Falcons. The Bears last win occurred on October 24th in a surprising blowout road win against the Patriots. The Bears have only covered the spread in two of their six road games. 

Justin Fields continues to produce. The mobile QB isn’t putting up big numbers in the air, reaching 200 passing yards just once all season but is dangerous on the ground. Fields has collected 1642 passing yards along with a 13:8 TD to INT-ratio and has added 833 rushing yards. Unfortunately, he sustained a shoulder injury and has been limited in practice. He is considered doubtful. If Fields doesn't play it will be Trevor Siemian under center. The veteran was the starter for a few seasons in Denver earlier in his career.

Khalil Herbert did not play last week as he deals with a hip injury and unfortunately has landed on the IR. David Montgomery will see a majority of the carries. The 25-year-old RB has 501 rushing yards. Darnell Mooney only recorded 29 receiving yards last week. The 25-year-old WR leads the squad with 493 receiving yards. The Chicago offense has definitely been a bright spot in the slide, posting at least 29 points in three out of their last four games.

The Bears' defense has been exploited recently but was decent last week, holding the Falcons to only 280 total yards. They struggled against the Lions two weeks ago, allowing 31 points in that one. The unit stands 9th against the pass but the rush defense is pegged 29th. Chicago is scoring an average of 21.9 points, ranking them 17th. They are conceding an average of 24.9 points, placing them 27th. 

Jets Can't Generate Offense in Loss, White Starts

The New York Jets enter this one as a loser of two out of their last three games. They are still in good shape, just one game out of first place in the AFC East. New York stunned the Bills with a 20-17 win on November 6th but followed with a 10-3 road loss against the Patriots last week in a clash that had NY labeled as 3.5-point dogs. The Jets are one of the most improved squads in the NFL this season and have a legit chance to make the playoffs. They have covered in two of five home games.

Zach Wilson only connected on 40% of his passes for 77 yards last week. The 23-year-old QB hasn’t been effective in his seven games played, recording a total of 1279 passing yards and a 4:5 TD to INT-ratio. HC Robert Saleh has stated Wilson will not play due to his struggles. Mike White will get the start. White was reasonably productive last season, recording 953 passing yards in five games but logged a 5:8 TD-to-INT ratio.

Jets rushing leader Breece Hall was placed on the IR last week which is a big loss. The young RB has 463 yards. Michael Carter will receive most of the carries. The 23-year-old RB only had 19 rushing yards last week and has accrued 349 yards on 3.8 yards per carry on the year. 

Garrett Wilson has eclipsed 100 receiving yards twice this season. The 22-year-old WR has been outstanding for a rookie, collecting 533 receiving yards. The NY offense needs to increase its productivity. They have scored 20 or fewer points in four straight games. 

The Jets' defense continues to shine. They held the Bills to only 17 points earlier this month and limited the Pats to only 297 total yards last week. They rank in the top 10 in many categories. The pass defense is 10th while the rush defense is ninth. New York is posting an average of 19.9 points, ranking them 22nd. They are limiting opponents to 18.6 points, good for ninth in the NFL.

Best Bets for this Game

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The Chicago Bears are not winning games. They have been competitive recently but dropped a home decision against the Lions followed by a road loss against the Falcons. The Jets have won five out of their last seven games. They have several notable wins, defeating the Packers, Broncos, and Bills. 

Furthermore, the Bears' defense is landing them in trouble. The Bears' rush defense is pegged 29th in the NFL and this is key when considering the Jets rushed for 174 yards against the Bills a few weeks ago. I especially like the Jets to cover this small spread at home because of their outstanding defense. They limited the Packers to 10 points, the Bills to 17 earlier this month, and most recently, the Pats to 10 points last week. Justin Fields is doubtful with a shoulder injury and Chicago relies heavily on the running game. This is not ideal for Chicago when considering the Jets' best attribute is the rush defense which is holding foes to 109.7 rushing yards per game.

Prediction: New York Jets -6

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I expect scoring to be at a premium. The under has been the dominant trend when the Jets are involved. They won’t score many points. While I expect enough offense to get the win and cover, the Jets recorded 20 or fewer points in four consecutive games and have the inexperienced Mike White at QB who has only played in five career games.

In addition, the Jets' defense ranks in the top 10 in many areas. The unit limited Josh Allen to 205 passing yards and only gave up 99 rushing yards against the Patriots offense last week. Chicago also has a slower offense due to all the running. They rank 22nd in offensive plays per game. The under is a convincing 5-0 in the Jets’ last five games.

Prediction: Under 39.5
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.