Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#271 New Orleans Saints vs.
#272 San Francisco 49ers
Sunday, November 27, 2022 at 4:25pm EST
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara
Written by Chris King

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

A pair of former NFC West rivals clash on the gridiron in the city by the bay hoping to pick up a victory. The New Orleans Saints are on the road as they make the cross-country trip to face the San Francisco 49ers Sunday afternoon. New Orleans comes in off a 27-20 home victory over the Rams, covering the line as a 2.5-point favorite, in their previous contest last Saturday. San Francisco earned a one-sided 38-10 victory over Arizona in a game held in Mexico City on Monday Night Football in their previous game, easily covering the 10-point line. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the 49ers own a 48-27-2 advantage though the Saints prevailed 27-13 at home in the most recent matchup on November 15, 2020.

I just won $14,619 in parlay tickets in the month of November. Don't miss out on another big payday! Click here to get a month of my parlays for only $50 (normally $100)!

 

New Orleans Saints Hoping to Build Some Momentum

New Orleans had dropped two straight and four of five before taking down the Rams at home last Sunday to get back in the win column. The win improved the Saints to 4-7 on the year and they look to build some momentum if they can prevail here. Against Los Angeles, New Orleans trailed 7-3 after the opening quarter and 14-10 at the half before scoring a pair of third-quarter touchdowns to take a 24-14 lead. The Saints didn’t let the Rams closer than seven in the final stanza to earn the victory. New Orleans was beaten 336-323 in total offense though they won the first down battle 19-17 and the time of possession by a 31:07 to 28:53 margin. Neither team committed a turnover in the contest.

On the season, the Saints stand 8th in the league in passing offense with 237.5 yards per contest while they are 15th in rushing offense with 117.7 yards per game. New Orleans is 15th in the league in scoring offense with 22.6 points per contest while they are 25th in the league in scoring defense by allowing an average of 24.3 points a game. Jameis Winston is 73 of 115 passing for 858 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions. He adds 16 yards on the ground. Andy Dalton is 162 of 242 for 1,819 yards with 14 touchdowns against seven interceptions while adding 32 yards on the ground. Taysom Hill (eight of 13, 115 yards, TD, 52 carries, 396 yards, five TD, four catches, 24 yards, TD) is a versatile piece in the offense. Alvin Kamara leads the team in the run game with 124 carries for 511 yards plus a score while Mark Ingram II (51 carries, 196 yards, TD) is next in line. Chris Olave leads the team with 51 catches for 760 yards and three scores on the season. Kamara (43 grabs, 385 yards, two TD), Tre’Quan Smith (17 catches, 264 yards, TD), Jarvis Landry (21 receptions, 238 yards, TD) and Juwan Johnson (31 receptions, 349 yards, five TD) are each over 200 yards receiving this season. Wil Lutz has hit all 24 extra point attempts and is 17 of 22 on field goal attempts with a long of 60 this season.

The Saints have some key players to monitor on the injury report as we head toward kickoff. Kamara (illness), safety J.T. Gray (hamstring), defensive end Payton Turner (ankle) and linebacker Pete Werner (ankle) all did not practice Thursday. Defensive ends Marcus Davenport (calf) along with Cameron Jordan (eye), cornerback Marcus Lattimore (abdomen), guard Andrus Peat (triceps), running back Mark Ingram II (knee) and wide receiver Jarvis Landry (ankle) were all limited. Watch for updates on their statuses.

San Francisco 49ers Seeking Fourth Straight Victory

San Francisco won their third straight game as they trampled Arizona in their previous contest and look to maintain their momentum here. The 49ers improved to 6-4 on the season and are tied for the NFC West lead with Seattle, though they own the tiebreaker based on their head-to-head win back in week 2. Against Arizona, San Francisco trailed 3-0 after the opening quarter but outscored Arizona 17-7 in the second to take a 17-10 lead at the half. The 49ers pulled away from there, outscoring the Cardinals 21-0 in the second half en route to the victory. San Francisco held a 387-314 edge in total offense, won the first down battle 21-19 and forced two turnovers while not committing any in the game. Those numbers offset that they lost the time of possession by a 30:51 to 29:09 margin.

For the season, the 49ers are tied for 9th in the league in passing offense with 235.5 yards per game through the air. San Francisco is 12th in rushing offense with 127.2 yards per game on the ground. The 49ers stand 12th in scoring offense as they average 23.6 points per game this season. San Francisco stands 3rd in scoring defense as they give up an average of 17.3 points per game. Jimmy Garoppolo has completed 179 of 267 passes for 2,159 yards with 15 touchdowns against four picks. He’s been sacked 16 times for 89 yards in losses while adding 29 yards and two scores on the ground. Trey Lance is 15 of 31 passing for 194 yards with one interception while adding 67 yards on the ground. Elijah Mitchell is fourth on the team on the ground with 33 carries for 189 yards. The departed Jeff Wilson Jr. (92 carries, team-high 468 yards, two TD) and Christian McCaffrey (47 carries, 209 yards, two TD) have also seen some work this season. Deebo Samuel is second on the team with 41 receptions for 468 yards and two touchdowns on the season while adding 202 yards and two scores on the ground. George Kittle (33 grabs, 424 yards, four TD), Jauan Jennings (18 receptions, 220 yards), McCaffrey (21 receptions, 185 yards, TD) and Brandon Aiyuk (46 catches, 587 yards, six TD) are each over the 175-yard mark in receiving yards this season. Robbie Gould has hit 25 of 26 extra point attempts and 14 of 17 field goals with a long of 51. Mitch Wishnowsky is one of two on extra points but has not attempted a field goal this season.

The 49ers have a relatively short injury report heading into the weekend. Defensive tackle Arik Armstead (foot, ankle) and tackle Trent Williams (rest) did not practice Wednesday. Samuel (hamstring) and defensive end Samson Ekubam (quad, Achilles) were limited in practice. Keep an eye out to see if any of these guys will be impacted come kickoff.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

While things are improving on the injury front for New Orleans at this point in time, the fact remains that the only reason anyone is even remotely considering them to have potential playoff aspirations is that they are in the watered-down NFC South. The Saints now have to try and contend with a San Francisco team that has won three straight games, outscoring the opposition 91-40 in that stretch. Bringing McCaffrey and his versatility into the mix makes the 49ers that much more dangerous on the offensive side of the ball. New Orleans has given up at least 137 yards on the ground in seven of their games this season. With the 49ers being able to move the ball on the ground and playing solid defense, look for them to prevail at home.

Prediction: San Francisco 49ers -8.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

New Orleans has seen the over hit in six of their 11 games on the season. The Saints have split their four road games in relation to the total this season. You could say that three of the five games away from New Orleans have exceeded the number as their 28-25 loss to the Vikings in what was a “home” game that took place in London. San Francisco has seen the under hit in six of their 10 games on the year. The 49ers have stayed under the number in three of their four home games on the year with the exception being their loss to the Chiefs. It’s safe to say the Saints’ offense isn’t Kansas City’s by any stretch of the imagination. This game ends up falling under the total.

Prediction: Under 43.5
Loading...

Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.