Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#261 Carolina Panthers vs.
#262 Miami Dolphins
Sunday, November 28, 2021 at 1:00pm EST
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Written by Chris King

It’s an interconference matchup on the gridiron when a pair of teams outside the playoff picture take the field down in South Beach. The Carolina Panthers are on the road as they make the trip to face the Miami Dolphins Sunday afternoon. Carolina comes in off a 27-21 home loss to Washington as a three-point favorite in their previous contest last Sunday. Miami defeated the Jets 24-17 on the road as a 3.5-point favorite in their previous contest last Sunday. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Dolphins own a 4-2 advantage but the Panthers have taken the last two meetings. That includes a 45-21 home win in the most recent contest on November 13, 2017 as an eight-point favorite.

Carolina Panthers Looking to Bounce Back to .500

Carolina opened the year 3-0 but they have dropped six of their last eight games since that point in time after falling to Washington at home last week. The Panthers enter this one 5-6 on the season and sit two games behind the Buccaneers for the lead in the NFC South. Against Washington, Carolina led 7-0 and 14-7 in the first half before the game was tied at 14 at halftime. The Panthers tied the game at 21 early in the fourth quarter but their defense allowed Washington to kick a couple of field goals by former kicker Joey Slye to trail by six. Carolina had one last drive but turned the ball over on downs around midfield with 1:05 to play. The Panthers were outgained 369-297 in total offense, gave up 24 first downs while picking up 18 and lost time of possession by a 35:53 to 24:07 margin. Carolina forced the game’s lone turnover in the contest but fell short.

For the season, the Panthers enter week 12 26th in the league in passing offense with an average of 203.2 yards per game through the air and 14th in rushing offense by grinding out 115.5 yards per contest. Carolina is 22nd in the league in scoring offense as they average 20.5 points per game while they are 6th in the league in scoring defense by allowing 20 points per contest. Sam Darnold has completed 182 of 306 passes for 1,986 yards with seven touchdowns and 11 interceptions while getting sacked 22 times this year. He added 185 yards and five scores on the ground but is on IR with a shoulder injury. PJ Walker is 25 of 44 for 200 yards and an interception while Cam Newton, recently signed, is 24 of 31 for 197 yards with three scores while adding 60 yards plus two scores on the ground. Christian McCaffrey is second on the team in the ground game as he has run the ball 89 times for 407 yards plus a score. Rookie Chuba Hubbard (120 carries, 421 yards, three TD) is the next man up on the depth chart. In the passing game, DJ Moore leads the team with 62 grabs for 751 yards and four touchdowns on the year. McCaffrey contributes 37 receptions for 343 yards plus a score while Robby Anderson (28 receptions, 273 yards, three TD) is the only other player with more than 200 receiving yards this season. Ryan Santoso was one of two on extra points and hit both field goal attempts with a long of 29 in the opener. Zane Gonzalez is 18 of 19 on extra points and 19 of 21 on field goal attempts with a long of 57 since joining the team in week two.

Miami Dolphins Seeking Fourth Straight Win

Miami ran their win streak to three games as they took down the Jets on the road last week. The Dolphins improved to 4-7 on the season after starting the year with just one win in their first eight games. Against the Jets, Miami was even at seven after the opening quarter and at the half. The Dolphins took the lead for good with 10:15 to play on a Myles Gaskin touchdown reception and then extended to a 10-point lead with 1:57 to play. Miami saw the Jets close the deficit on a field goal with 15 seconds to play but recovered the ensuing onside kick to earn the win. The Dolphins held a narrow 388-380 edge in total offense, held a 20-18 advantage in first downs and owned a 33:35 to 26:25edge in time of possession. Both teams turned the ball over once in the contest.

Miami enters this game 17th in the league in passing offense as they average 233.1 yards per contest this season. The Dolphins are just 31st, or second to last, in rushing offense as they average 77.4 yards per game on the ground. Miami is 26th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 18.3 points per game. The Dolphins are 23rd in scoring defense as they give up an average of 24.5 points a contest. Tua Tagovailoa is 138 of 203 for 1,471 yards with nine touchdowns against six interceptions while adding 68 yards plus three scores on the ground. Jacoby Brissett is 141 of 225 for 1,283 yards with five touchdowns and four interceptions plus 68 yards along with a score on the ground. The run game has been problematic as Myles Gaskin is the leading rusher with 123 carries for 433 yards plus a score. Malcolm Brown (33 carries, 125 yards, TD) and Savion Ahmed (41 carries, 109 yards, two TD) have seen their share of action as well. In the passing game, Jaylen Waddle leads the team with 68 receptions for 622 yards and three scores this season. Tight ends Mike Gesicki (49 grabs, 579 yards, two TD) and Durham Smythe (20 grabs, 221 yards), along with the injured DeVante Parker (25 grabs, 327 yards, TD) and Gaskin (41 catches, 209 yards, four TD) each have at least 200 receiving yards this season. Jason Sanders has hit all 20 extra-point attempts and 13 of 18 field goal attempts with a long of 51 this season.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Miami has found some momentum with three straight victories though it is likely too little, too late when it comes to chasing a playoff spot. The Dolphins struggle to move the ball with any consistency offensively, especially with their lack of a ground game. Newton sparked Carolina in their win over Arizona but they couldn’t stop Washington in crunch time last week. The Panthers were just two of nine on third downs last week and gave up 190 yards on the ground. Seeing how neither team is likely going anywhere at this point, you have to take the healthier team. Take Carolina with the returned CMC and the points as they earn the road win here.

Prediction: Carolina Panthers -2

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Miami has found some momentum with three straight victories though it is likely too little, too late when it comes to chasing a playoff spot. The Dolphins struggle to move the ball with any consistency offensively, especially with their lack of a ground game. Newton sparked Carolina in their win over Arizona but they couldn’t stop Washington in crunch time last week. The Panthers were just two of nine on third downs last week and gave up 190 yards on the ground. Seeing how neither team is likely going anywhere at this point, you have to take the healthier team. Take Carolina with the returned CMC and the points as they earn the road win here.

Prediction: Under 41.5
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.