Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#253 New York Jets vs.
#254 Houston Texans
Sunday, November 28, 2021 at 1:00pm EST
NRG Stadium, Houston
Written by David Delano

The Houston Texans will host the New York Jets on Sunday. Both teams are just 2-8 overall but have a win over the AFC leading Tennesse Titans this season. Against the spread New York is also 2-8 and the Texans are 5-5 ATS.

Wilson expected to return and start at QB

New York opened the season with three straight losses before upsetting the Tennesse Titans 27-24 on October 3. After two more losses, which included a 54-13 beating by the New England Patriots, the Jets got their second win of the season 34-31 over the Bengals on Halloween. Coming into Sunday, the Jets are on another three-game losing streak after falling 24-17 as a 3.5 point underdog to the Miami Dolphins at home last week.

The Jets are averaging 17.8 ppg this season, rank 29th with 78.9 rushing yards per game but are ninth with 258.8 passing yards per game. The quarterback situation has been all over the place. Four different players (Zach Wilson, Mike White, Joe Flacco, and Josh Johnson) have led the team in passing yardage in at least one game this season. Last Sunday, veteran Joe Flacco got the start and went 24 for 39 with 291 yards and two touchdowns. Rookie wide receiver Elijah More had a career-best game with Flacco starting, catching eight passes for 141 yards and a touchdown. Despite playing well, Flacco will not be suiting up against Houston because he is now on the COVID-19 list along with quarterback Mike White. Rookie quarterback Zach Wilson who has missed the last four games with a PCL sprain, is expected to return and start on Sunday. Wilson has completed 57.5% of his passes for 1,168 yards with four touchdowns and nine interceptions.

The Jets will likely need a big game out of Wilson, as the Jets defense is arguably the worst in the NFL. New York is last in scoring defense, allowing 32 ppg, total defense giving up 414.2 total yards, and pass defense allowing 282.2 yards per game. The run defense is 29th with opponents picking up 132 yards per game. The Jets are tied for second to last with only eight defensive takeaways.

Texans force 5 turnovers in upset win over Titans

After winning the season opener against Jacksonville, the Texans went on an eight-game losing streak, with five losses coming by 10 points or more. The Texans finally got back in the win column last Sunday with a 22-13 upset as a 10.5-point dog to the Tennesse Titans. It was their first road win of the season. The Texans were outgained 420 to 190 in total yardage, but Tennesse quarterback Ryan Tannehill threw four interceptions, and the Titans turned the ball over five times overall, while Houston did not commit any. Starting quarterback, Tyrod Taylor went 14 of 24 passing for 107 yards and ran for two touchdowns and 28 yards. In four games this season Taylor has completed 62.2% of his passes for 763 yards with three touchdowns and three picks. Taylor has also added three touchdowns and 106 yards with his feet.

Houston is averaging 15 points and 271.1 total yards per game on the season, and both are an NFL worst. The Texans are second to last in both total rushing and passing yards. Houston 30th in scoring defense, allowing 27.1 ppg and total defense allowing 389.3 yards. The Texans have excelled at creating turnovers, ranking third with 1.8 fumbles against them per game, and fourth with 1.3 interceptions per game.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Although both teams rank poorly in scoring and total offense and defense, the Texans still hold some significant advantage. First, I give the Texans the edge offensively, as quarterback Tyrod Taylor is less likely to make critical mistakes to lose his team a game. The Texans defense has also created 19 takeaways and has a+2 turnover differential this season. The Jets have only created eight turnovers but have committed 23, giving them an NFL worst -15 turnover differential. The Texans have the luxury of playing this game at home and are coming off the momentum of a win against Tennesee, which shows this team hasn't quit. Take Houston to get their second straight win on Sunday.

Prediction: Houston Texans -2.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Although neither offense has put up great numbers overall, I think there will be plenty of scoring opportunities in this game. Houston and New York are both amongst the worst teams in the NFL when it comes to points, total yards, and passing yards allowed. Both teams also have quarterbacks capable of making big plays. The Texans' opportunist defense also should be able to force some turnovers and give their offense a short field to work with at least a couple of times in this game. I love the over.

Prediction: Over 44.5
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Written By David Marotta , "David Delano"

David Delano is a Bowling Green State University graduate with a passion for sports, traveling, and music. David loves to handicap MLB, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, NBA, WNBA, and is also a big fan of boxing and track and field. Over the years, David has worn several hats in the sports world, from being behind the camera to writing, filming, editing, scouting, and coaching, along with servicing his clients as a sports handicapper.  He is also an expert sports bettor. We are glad to have David on our Winners & Whiners team, and we recommend that you follow along with him every day. 

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