Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#257 Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs.
#258 Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, November 28, 2021 at 1:00pm EST
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis
Written by Blake V.

Tampa Bay will try to build on a blowout win over New York when it travels to Indianapolis on Sunday afternoon. The Buccaneers had lost two straight games prior to that victory, but they are still leading the NFC South. Indianapolis has revived its season with a three-game winning streak, including a 41-15 win at Buffalo.

Bucs coming off blowout win

Tampa Bay got off to a 6-1 start this season before losing road games at New Orleans and Washington. The Buccaneers bounced back with a 30-10 blowout win over New York on Monday night. They were 10.5-point favorites, easily covering the spread in the win. Tampa Bay has been generally overrated in the betting market, covering in just four of its 10 games. The Bucs have failed to cover in their last five road games and are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games against Indianapolis. They are one of the top offensive teams in the NFL, ranked second in the league in yards per game (406.0).

Quarterback Tom Brady has completed 67.1% of his passes for 3,177 yards and 29 touchdowns. Wide receiver Chris Godwin has caught 63 passes for 782 yards and five touchdowns. Veteran Mike Evans has added 47 receptions for 679 yards and 10 scores. Antonio Brown is questionable for this game with an ankle injury. Running back Leonard Fournette leads the team with 122 carries for 521 yards and four touchdowns. Ronald Jones II has added 52 carries for 227 yards, averaging 4.4 yards per carry. They will face an Indianapolis defense that is giving up 358.8 yards per game.

Colts trying to extend winning streak

Indianapolis opened the season on a three-game losing streak before winning three of its next four games. The Colts came up short in an overtime loss against Tennessee at the end of October. They have bounced back with a three-game winning streak against the Jets, Jaguars and Bills. Their 41-15 win at Buffalo was probably their most impressive result of the season. Indianapolis quarterback Carson Wentz threw for a season-low 106 yards but running back Jonathan Taylor went off for 185 yards and four touchdowns. The Colts also forced four turnovers, which played a critical role in the win.

Indianapolis ranks No. 11 offensively, averaging 364.0 yards per game. Wentz has completed 63.0% of his passes for 2,484 yards and 18 touchdowns. He has done an excellent job of ball security, throwing just three interceptions. Taylor has been one of the best running backs in the league, picking up 1,122 yards and 13 touchdowns on 193 carries. Wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. has caught a team-high 57 passes for 752 yards and five touchdowns. He is going up against a Tampa Bay defense that ranks eighth in the NFL, allowing 322.1 yards per game.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


This is about as cheap of a price as you are going to get with Tampa Bay. The reigning champs are only laying three points against an Indianapolis team that relies on its rushing attack. Taylor will be facing his toughest test of the season, as he is facing a Tampa Bay run defense that leads the league in rushing yards allowed. Indianapolis has only covered the spread in three of its last nine home games. The Bucs have gone 6-1 in their last seven games against AFC teams and I expect that to continue on Sunday.

Prediction: Tampa Bay -3

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


I am fading the Indianapolis offense on Sunday afternoon. The Colts have a very consistent path to success—they control the pace from the onset with their rushing attack. They are not going to be able to do that on Sunday, as they are facing the top-ranked rushing defense in the NFL. Tampa Bay’s defense held New York to just 215 total yards last week. I expect a heavy dose of the rushing attack on Sunday, which will lead to a running clock for most of this game. The Buccaneers have gone under in four of their last five games.

Prediction: Under 53.5

Written By Blake Von Hagen , "Blake V."

Blake is a lifelong sports fan and hoops junkie. Prior to joining our team at Winners & Whiners and StatSalt, Blake worked for several newspapers and websites. He enjoys combining his beat writing expertise with the knack for finding the winning edge in a matchup. Blake is also an avid sports being expert and you would not be disappointed in following him on a daily basis. Remember, it’s a marathon, not a sprint. 
Follow on Twitter @Blake_Vonhagen