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In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds

Cowboys vs. Giants Prediction

Monday, November 4, 2019 at 8:15pm EST
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford

This article covers a past game!

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In-depth Coverage

This is an in-depth analysis of this game, covering every possible detail and angle. Use the table of contents to navigate between each section, or just jump on in!

Have thoughts or feedback? Let us know!

Table of Contents

Last Updated: Monday, November 4, 2019 at 3:56pm EST

Introduction

Week 9 of the NFL season concludes with the Dallas Cowboys looking to maintain their hold of first place in the NFC East while looking to complete a season sweep of their division rivals, the New York Giants, on Monday Night Football.

Dallas (4-3) arguably rescued its season before its bye week, thrashing Philadelphia 37-10 at home Oct. 20 to snap a three-game losing streak. Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 111 yards and a touchdown, but it was the defense that delivered a needed bounce-back effort and limited the Eagles to 283 yards while forcing four turnovers.

The Giants (2-6) have lost four straight as rookie quarterback Daniel Jones continues his learning curve under center. He threw for a season-high four touchdowns and finished with 322 yards, but it was not enough as New York fell 31-26 at Detroit last Sunday.

Oddsmakers have installed the Cowboys as seven-point favorites to complete their third consecutive season sweep of the Giants and run their winning streak in the series to six games, the longest since a 12-game run from 1974-80.

The over/under has been established at 48, a number they cleared late in Week 1 in Dallas where the Cowboys posted a 35-17 victory. Dak Prescott threw for 405 yards and four touchdowns in that game, while Elliott -- who had ended his contract holdout four days before the game -- chipped in 53 yards.

Dallas Cowboys Review

The Cowboys were fighting themselves as much as opponents during their three-game losing streak, reaching a nadir with a 24-22 loss to the then-winless New York Jets on Oct. 13.

A team that looked so good rolling up 97 points while beating the Giants, Miami, and Washington suddenly sputtered on both sides of the ball in losses to New Orleans and Green Bay before the defense failed to solve Sam Darnold.

For one game at least, though, the Cowboys rose to the occasion while matching the desperation of the Eagles to gain an early foothold in the NFC East. It also helped Dallas was far healthier than it was during its loss to the Jets as Amari Cooper shook off a thigh injury to record five catches for 106 yards and Elliott had tackles La'el Collins and Tyron Smith clearing lanes.

The bye may have come at the best possible time for Smith, who had missed the previous two games with a high ankle sprain and struggled at times versus the Eagles.

New York Giants Review

In the first meeting between the teams, Jones made his NFL debut in mop-up time as he played the final series. The rookie completed his first three passes, misfired on a fourth, and then lost a fumble as he scrambled for yardage.

The sixth overall pick enters this contest with six starts under his belt, looking every bit the rookie quarterback. Jones has shown flashes of brilliance but is also still struggling to value the ball. He has accounted for 10 touchdowns passing and 12 overall but also has been responsible for 14 turnovers, trailing only Tampa Bay's Jameis Winston.

While much was made about Jones and Barkley growing together in the offense, rookie wide receiver Darius Slayton is also showing signs of progress. Both of the third-round pick's catches went for touchdowns, and he has totaled seven receptions for 110 yards in three games since being inserted into the starting lineup.

Slayton has 16 catches for 267 yards overall and shares the team lead with three touchdowns receiving.

The Running Game

Dallas Cowboys Running Offense
vs. New York Giants Running Defense

Dallas Cowboys Running Offense

Elliott is looking for his third straight 100-yard game and fifth of the season after rolling up 111 against the Eagles before the bye week. He is well on his way to a third 1,000-yard season and looks to be in a comfort zone where he has shown the same effectiveness with a heavier workload.

He has totaled 50 carries in the last two games, his highest rolling two-game total at any point in 2019. Elliott is also just the third back to reach 4,500 yards in less than 50 games, joining Edgerrin James and LaDainian Tomlinson.

“It’s just execution,’’ Elliott told the Dallas Morning News. “We’ve got the players. We just have to go out there and execute and go play football.”

New York Giants Run Defense

The Giants have had few answers this season trying to stop the run. Their relative success in the first meeting against the Cowboys -- holding them to 89 yards -- can be partly attributed to Elliott not being in true game shape. The other two teams New York held under 100 yards, Washington and Detroit in Week 7, can be chalked up to ineptitude (the Redskins) and an injury (the Lions were without Kerryon Johnson).

Pat Shurmur's team is at least making teams earn their yards as the Giants are yielding 4.01 yards per carry, good for 11th-best in the league. But teams are not afraid to pound the ball into New York's offensive line hoping for good things, with the 30.5 rushing attempts the Giants face per game the fifth-highest total in the NFL.

That is what makes the acquisition of Leonard Williams from the New York Jets important. A former Pro Bowler and sixth overall pick in 2015, Williams is an immediate upgrade to the defensive line and a solid run-stuffer.

“We’ve added an outstanding player to our defensive line,” Shurmur told the club's official website. “I’ve been very impressed by how hard he plays. I think he has an impact on the game in the run and the pass game. By all accounts, he’s a great guy and a great teammate. Everything I’ve seen to this point, we’re really thrilled that he’s with us.

“He’s played on the center, he’s played on the guard, he’s played on the tackle, he’s played on the tight end. He’s multiple from that standpoint. He has great length, he plays extremely hard, he uses his hands well. Again, because he’s been in kind of a five on the line system in the past, it’ll help him get up to speed quicker.”

Stats

Dallas:

Team Rushing Statistics

Carries — 209 (13th)

Carries Per game — 29.9 (6th)

Rushing Yards — 1,022 (7th)

Rushing Yards Per Game — 146.0 (4th)

Average Yards Per Carry — 4.89 (4th)

Rushing Touchdowns — 11 (T-4th)

Individual Rushing Statistics

Ezekiel Elliott -- 135 carries/602 yards/4.46 yards per carry/6 TDs

Tony Pollard -- 45/209/4.64/1

Dak Prescott -- 24/163/6.79/3

Tavon Austin -- 3/37/12.33/1

Randall Cobb -- 2/11/5.50/0

NY Giants:

Team Rushing Defense (Opponent Offensive Rank)

Opponent Carries — 244 (4th)

Opponent Carries per game — 30.5 (5th)

Opponent Rushing Yards — 979 (9th)

Average Opponent Rushing Yards Per Game — 122.4 (11th)

Average Opponent Rushing Yards Per Carry — 4.01 (22nd)

Opponent Rushing TDs — 10 (T-2nd)

Individual Defensive Statistics

Antoine Bethea -- 39 solo tackles/19 assists/58 tackles/1 stuff/0 TFL

Jabrill Peppers -- 38/15/53/2.5/3

Alec Ogletree -- 24/14/38/1.5/3

Grant Haley -- 30/7/37/1/3

Janoris Jenkins -- 32/3/35/0/0

Markus Golden -- 18/16/34/1/5

David Mayo -- 21/13/34/0.5/1

DeAndre Baker -- 26/7/33/0/0

Lorenzo Carter -- 14/11/25/1/2

B.J. Hill -- 8/15/23/0/2

Dexter Lawrence II -- 11/10/21/0/2

Michael Thomas -- 12/9/21/1/1

Dalvin Tomlinson -- 12/8/20/2.5/3

Ryan Connelly -- 10/10/20/1.5/2

Oshane Ximines -- 6/9/15/1/3

Who has the Edge?

Williams will make a difference in terms of closing the gap in the matchup, but this still clearly favors the Cowboys. Elliott has yet to have a monstrous game against the Giants -- his best effort is 107 yards in five meetings -- and with a healthy and talented offensive line that can help neutralize the upgrade in Williams' arrival, Dallas will continue to establish Elliott through the run game.

Advantage: Dallas Cowboys

New York Giants Running Offense
vs. Dallas Cowboys Running Defense

New York Giants Running Offense

In the unlikely event you have forgotten about Saquon Barkley's athleticism and strength, we present this clip as a non-subtle reminder:

Barkley has missed essentially 3.5 games when including the time of the injury against Tampa Bay. The second-year running back looks close to showing the form of his 1,300-yard rookie season and first two weeks from this season when he rolled up 227 yards. He had 143 total yards versus Detroit but was also beating himself up for not following through the play on Jones' lateral that was picked up for a touchdown.

“There’s no excuse,” Barkley told the New York Post. “That’s not who I am. That’s not the type of player I am. That’s not the reason why I’m a captain. I have to have better effort on that play. Coach [Craig] Johnson stresses that all the time: When you are the swings and the ball goes down, just in case, cover it, cover it, cover it!”

Still, there is a sense Shurmur is still trying to figure out the balance of touches and the amount of touches Barkley should be getting per game. In his rookie season, Barkley averaged 22 touches between running and receiving, and that number has dipped to 19.2 in the five games this year -- which again likely moves closer to the 22 mark if he had played the full game versus the Buccaneers.

Dallas Cowboys Run Defense

Dallas' defense has not been very flashy in terms of creating big plays. The Cowboys rank 13th against the run, yielding 96.9 yards per game, and rank in the bottom half of the league when it comes to average yards gained on first and second down rushes.

Barkley was able to find creases in the defense in the first meeting as he finished with 120 yards, including a 59-yarder on the second play from scrimmage.

Stopping Barkley, in general, is of high importance, but with the change of quarterbacks to Jones from Eli Manning, it offers a greater chance of success since Jones is still digesting the defenses Dallas has after not facing them until the game was well in hand in September.

Like the Giants, the Cowboys sought outside help to address this area and acquired veteran defensive lineman Michael Bennett from the New England Patriots during their bye week. The 33-year-old Bennett never found a true fit with the Patriots, and once he expressed displeasure with his role, the Patriots were more than willing to jettison him.

“We know the talent we have on the D-Line. Now it’s about just going out there and doing it,” defensive end Robert Quinn told the Cowboys' official website after Bennett was acquired. “We’ve got all the pieces. It’s about going out there and executing. We can sit here and talk a good game all day. You’ve got to put up or shut up, as they say.”

Stats

NY Giants:

Team Rushing Statistics

Carries — 175 (22nd)

Carries Per game — 21.9 (25th)

Rushing Yards — 819 (17th)

Rushing Yards Per Game — 102.4 (17th)

Average Yards Per Carry — 4.68 (11th)

Rushing Touchdowns — 6 (T-14th)

Individual Rushing Statistics

Saquon Barkley -- 74 carries/373 yards/5.04 yards per carry/2 TDs

Daniel Jones -- 23/134/5.83/2

Wayne Gallman Jr. -- 27/107/3.96/2

Jon Hilliman -- 30/91/3.03/0

Sterling Shepard -- 4/42/10.50/0

Elijhaa Penny -- 12/39/3.25/0

Bennie Fowler III -- 1/20/20.00/0

Eli Manning -- 2/8/4.00/0

Evan Engram -- 2/5/2.50/0

Dallas:

Team Rushing Defense (Opponent Offensive Rank)

Opponent Carries — 162 (T-28th)

Opponent Carries per game — 23.1 (T-24th)

Opponent Rushing Yards — 678 (25th)

Average Opponent Rushing Yards Per Game — 96.9 (20th)

Average Opponent Rushing Yards Per Carry — 4.19 (18th)

Opponent Rushing TDs — 7 (T-12th)

Individual Defensive Statistics

Jaylon Smith -- 37 solo tackles/19 assists/56 tackles/1.5 stuffs/3 TFL

Leighton Vander Esch -- 33/21/54/1/1

Xavier Woods -- 28/11/39/0.5/0

Jeff Heath -- 24/12/36/0.5/0

Chidobe Awuzie -- 21/12/33/1/1

Byron Jones -- 15/7/22/0/0

Sean Lee -- 14/7/21/0.5/0

Anthony Brown -- 11/6/17/1.5/1

DeMarcus Lawrence -- 7/6/13/1.5/3

Joe Thomas -- 11/1/12/0/0

Robert Quinn -- 10/1/11/0/6

Jourdan Lewis -- 10/1/11/0/1

Christian Covington -- 8/3/11/2/2

Maliek Collins -- 7/3/10/1/3

Who has the Edge?

Barkley alone makes this matchup at worse a push, but it comes down to the Giants defense getting stops to allow the offense to maintain a healthy run-pass balance. That did not happen in Week 1, which was why Barkley finished with only 11 carries while getting his 120 yards.

Bennett brings veteran savvy to the defensive line, but this still feels like a matchup where the Giants can get things done and thrive provided they are not in a position to match the Cowboys offense point for point early.

Advantage: New York Giants

The Passing Game

Dallas Cowboys Passing Offense
vs. New York Giants Passing Defense

Dallas Cowboys Passing Offense

If the Dallas Cowboys had a record better than 4-3, Prescott's name would be thrown about among potential MVP candidates. He is 10th in passing yards (2,123), fourth in completion percentage (70.6), and tied for 13th with 12 touchdown passes.

“The good thing about Dak is when we come back in on Mondays, the first thing he wants to do is look at the plays that weren’t right," Cowboys quarterbacks coach Jon Kitna told The Athletic. "He has already seen it. He’s already seen the film a dozen times. He just wants to talk about what we have to do to fix that. His mental toughness, his resiliency is off the charts. I just think he’s playing at a high level.”

It has been almost a full year since the Cowboys acquired Cooper in that blockbuster deal with the Raiders. It has paid off handsomely for the team, and it will do likewise for Cooper when he gets his next contract this offseason. He has 91 receptions for 1,346 yards and 11 TDs in his first 16 games with the Cowboys, and one of those he played just three snaps.

New York Giants Passing Defense

While Williams does not have big sack numbers -- he has 17 in four-plus seasons -- he does get to the quarterback and has recorded 90 career pressures. Prescott, though, had little trouble tearing through the Giants secondary in Week 1 with 405 passing yards and four touchdowns.

The Giants' woes stopping the pass are more about coverage than the lack of a pass rush since they have 22 sacks. Janoris Jenkins does have four interceptions, but teams are unafraid to throw at him -- opposing quarterbacks are 22 for 41 for 356 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

“From a man to another man, we’re going to figure this thing out,” cornerback Jabrill Peppers said to The Athletic. “This don’t have nothing to do with the coaches. This is us. We have great game plans week-in and week-out. We’ve just got to execute them, myself included. That’s all it comes down to. We’re tired of this feeling. We’re better than what we’re putting on tape. We’re better than what the results keep showing. So it’s on us. We have to take ownership and get this thing corrected.”

Stats

Dallas:

Team Passing Statistics

Passes Attempted — 238 (T-22nd)

Passes Completed — 168 (15th)

Completion Percentage — 70.6 (4th)

Gross Passing Yards — 2.123 (11th)

Net Passing Yards – 2,043 (10th)

Net Passing Yards Per Game — 291.9 (3rd)

Average Gain Per Pass Play — 6.61 (17th)

Yards Per Attempt — 8.92 (2nd)

Yards Per Completion — 12.64 (6th)

Passing TDs — 12 (T-14th)

Interceptions — 7 (T-10th most)

Times Sacked — 10 (30th most)

Passer Rating — 102.6 (8th)

Individual Passing

Dak Prescott — 168 completions/238 attempts/70.6 completion percentage/2,123 yards/12 TDs/7 INT/102.6 passer rating

Individual Receiving

Amari Cooper -- 38 receptions/621 yards/16.3 yards per catch/5 TDs

Michael Gallup -- 27/421/15.6/1

Jason Witten -- 26/263/10.1/2

Ezekiel Elliott -- 24/176/7.3/0

Randall Cobb -- 19/239/12.6/1

Blake Jarwin -- 11/120/10.9/2

Tavon Austin -- 8/90/11.3/0

Devin Smith -- 5/113/22.6/1

Cedrick Wilson -- 5/46/9.2/0

Tony Pollard -- 4/28/7.0/0

Dalton Schultz -- 1/6/6.0/0

NY Giants:

Team Passing Defense Statistics (Opponent Offensive Rank)

Opponents’ Passes Attempted — 248 (T-22nd)

Opponents’ Passes Completed — 174 (T-13th)

Opponents’ Completing Percentage — 70.2 (4th)

Opponents’ Gross Passing Yards — 2,268 (4th)

Opponents’ Net Passing Yards — 2,115 (4th)

Opponents’ Net Passing Yards Per Game — 264.4 (8th)

Opponents’ Yards Per Attempt — 9.15 (1st)

Opponents’ Yards Per Completion — 13.03 (3rd)

Opponents’ Average Gain Per Pass Play — 7.83 (4th)

Opponents’ TD passes — 13 (12th)

Interceptions — 7 (T-10th)

Sacks — 22 (T-10th)

Opponents’ Passer Rating — 116.3 (7th)

Individual Defense Sacks and Quarterback Hurries

Markus Golden -- 6.0 sacks/38.0 yards/13 QBH

Lorenzo Carter -- 2.5/15.5/7

Dexter Lawrence II -- 2.0/18/3

Olsen Pierre -- 2.0/20.0/3

David Mayo -- 1.5/3.5/1

Dalvin Tomlinson -- 1.5/14.5/4

Alec Ogletree -- 1.0/4.0/2

Grant Haley -- 1.0/6.0/1

Ryan Connelly -- 1.0/2.0/1

RJ McIntosh -- 1.0/9.0/1

Tuzar Skipper -- 0.5/5.5/1

Interceptions and Passes Broken Up

Janoris Jenkins -- 4 INTs/10 PBU

Ryan Connelly -- 2/2

Jabrill Peppers -- 1/3

Alec Ogletree -- 0/3

DeAndre Baker -- 0/2

Lorenzo Carter -- 0/2

Michael Thomas -- 0/2

Who has the Edge?

The Giants held a players-only meeting after the loss to the Lions, but how much that really sparks the team is a question mark. What should be concerning is that Cooper did not even do the most damage in the first meeting, it was Michael Gallup who had team-highs of seven receptions and 158 yards. Prescott's four touchdown passes went to four different receivers, and players like Randall Cobb and Jason Witten cannot be ignored.

Advantage: Dallas Cowboys

New York Giants Passing Offense
vs. Dallas Cowboys Passing Defense

New York Giants Passing Offense

Considering that Jones has made three of his six starts without his top running back and not had his entire receiving corps available for any of them, it is not a stretch to say he has wildly exceeded expectations. Granted, it was a low bar that he was not expected to see much -- if any -- time this season with Manning there when 2019 started, but a "lost season" in terms of wins and losses at least has led to learning on the fly.

“I’ve been trying to learn as quick as I can,” Jones told The Athletic after his best day as a pro last Sunday in Detroit. “I’m trying to not repeat mistakes and learn from each of those opportunities. So, yeah, I think I have learned. I’ve made some progress. But you’ve got to continue to build on that and keep doing it.”

Dallas Cowboys Passing Defense

The Cowboys had their best effort of the season in terms of yards allowed in holding the Eagles to 191 before the bye, but much like the run defense, it has been steady with not much flash. Dallas is tied for fourth in passing touchdowns allowed (6) and eighth in opponents' yards per attempt (6.99).

Premier edge rusher DeMarcus Lawrence, who may be the biggest beneficiary of Bennett's arrival in Dallas, thinks Jones is already on a track to emulate Manning and has that potential career trajectory.

“Because that’s what the GM said when he drafted him,” Lawrence said, referring to Dave Gettleman, to the Dallas Morning News. “He was like, ‘He was with the Manning family. We like him. He’s basically another Eli.’ He just couldn’t say that in those words. But y’all got me.”

“Eli is probably a soon-to-be Hall of Fame player,” Lawrence said. “He won Super Bowls. You can’t sit here and say, ‘Eli is a bad player.’ But age does catch up to us. I guess it caught up to him. They got another one. They got another little Manning, so it’ll be good for them.”

Stats

NY Giants:

Team Passing Statistics

Passes Attempted — 305 (6th)

Passes Completed — 191 (T-7th)

Completion Percentage — 62.6 (22nd)

Gross Passing Yards — 2,022 (15th)

Net Passing Yards – 1,851 (16th)

Net Passing Yards Per Game — 231.4 (17th)

Average Gain Per Pass Play — 5.64 (25th)

Yards Per Attempt — 6.63 (27th)

Yards Per Completion — 10.59 (27th)

Passing TDs — 12 (T-14th)

Interceptions — 9 (T-5th most)

Times Sacked — 23 (T-9th most)

Passer Rating — 82.7 (24th)

Individual Passing

Daniel Jones — 135 completions/216 attempts/62.5 completion percentage/1,466 yards/10 TDs/7 INTs/84.4 passer rating

Eli Manning -- 56/89/62.9/556/2/2/78.7

Individual Receiving

Evan Engram -- 38 receptions/419 yards/11.0 yards per catch/3 TDs

Sterling Shepard -- 25/267/10.7/1

Golden Tate -- 23/280/12.2/1

Saquon Barkley -- 22/161/7.3/1

Bennie Fowler III -- 18/155/8.6/0

Darius Slayton -- 16/267/16.7/3

Rhett Ellison -- 13/108/8.3/1

Cody Latimer -- 12/165/13.8/0

Wayne Gallman Jr. -- 10/99/9.9/1

TJ Jones -- 3/38/12.7/1

Cody Core -- 3/28/9.3/0

Russell Shepard -- 3/25/8.3/0

Jon Hilliman -- 3/1/0.3/0

Elijhaa Penny -- 2/9/4.5/0

Dallas:

Team Passing Defense Statistics (Opponent Offensive Rank)

Opponents’ Passes Attempted — 248 (T-22nd)

Opponents’ Passes Completed — 163 (22nd)

Opponents’ Completing Percentage — 65.7 (14th)

Opponents’ Gross Passing Yards — 1,733 (26th)

Opponents’ Net Passing Yards — 1,596 (26th)

Opponents’ Net Passing Yards Per Game — 228.0 (24th)

Opponents’ Yards Per Attempt — 6.99 (25th)

Opponents’ Yards Per Completion — 10.63 (24th)

Opponents’ Average Gain Per Pass Play — 6.02 (23rd)

Opponents’ TD passes — 6 (T–28th)

Interceptions — 3 (T-24th)

Sacks — 17 (T-20th)

Opponents’ Passer Rating — 89.0 (20th)

Individual Defense Sacks and Quarterback Hurries

Robert Quinn -- 6.0 sacks/45.0 yards/7 QBH

DeMarcus Lawrence -- 3.5/13.0/7

Jaylon Smith -- 2.0/27.0/2

Maliek Collins -- 2.0/17.0/5

Jourdan Lewis -- 1.0/8.0/1

Dorance Armstrong -- 1.0/12.0/4

Tyrone Crawford -- 1.0/13.0/2

Leighton Vander Esch -- 0.5/2.0/1

Interceptions and Passes Broken Up

Jourdan Lewis -- 1 INT/2 PBU

Xavier Woods -- 1/1

Chidobe Awuzie -- 1/6

Jeff Heath -- 0/4

Anthony Brown -- 0/4

Robert Quinn -- 0/3

Jaylon Smith -- 0/2

Leighton Vander Esch -- 0/2

Who has the Edge?

There is a lot of unknown about this matchup considering Jones was making his NFL debut in the first meeting with nothing at stake but the final margin. The Cowboys have not done any one thing well or poorly when it comes to pass defense, but the Giants have had their issues in pass protection at times.

Still, Jones' week-to-week progress cannot be ignored as he enters this game full of confidence after shaking off his early mistake versus Detroit. If he finds success early, the challenge is whether the Cowboys can make adjustments -- something that has been problematic at times.

Advantage: Push

Intangibles

Dallas Cowboys

Though the pursuit of New York Jets safety Jamal Adams fell short before Tuesday's trade deadline, there was a relative calmness around the Cowboys camp during the bye week and ahead of this game thus far. Owner and general manager Jerry Jones admitted he thought his team's record would be better than 4-3 and expects the team to improve in the second half of the season, but it felt more boilerplate talk than "Jerrah being Jerrah."

Brett Maher should be feeling as confident as any kicker in the league after drilling field goals of 60 or more yards in each of the last two weeks to suddenly become the only kicker in NFL history with three 60-yard field goals to his credit. He is 10 of 14 on field goals for the season and also made all 22 of his PATs.

Coach Jason Garrett did send defensive linemen Antwaun Woods and Trysten Hill home Tuesday for being late to practice according to the Fort Worth-Star Telegram, but that seems to be a simple transgression that can be chalked off as a one-time thing.

New York Giants

At 2-6 and riding a four-game losing streak, the belief that the players-only meeting the Giants held Monday will spark a season reversal is far-fetched. If anything, it most likely allowed the players a chance to speak their mind, call out each other in-house and move on.

Ogletree admitted as much to New York Newsday on Tuesday, saying, “We’re always there together. It’s only us who goes out there on the field and plays together. It’s just making sure everybody is still communicating, still on the same page and trying to fix the problem.”

Kicker Aldrick Rosas has not had much to do in terms of field goals -- New York's six attempts rank ahead of only the New York Jets (4). Punter Riley Dixon has been effective, putting 14 of his 31 efforts inside the opponents' 20 with only one touchback.

Shurmur did flash a little anger during last Sunday's post-game presser, dropping an F-bomb when asked about Jones' first-quarter turnover, but he clearly has not lost this team as they continue to play hard for him.

Who has the Edge?

The Cowboys may have an edge at kicker given Maher's last two games, but nearly everything else seems to be a wash. Given how good the Cowboys offense can be, the person who may be most under the microscope is Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore to keep the Dallas' offense humming out of the bye week.

Advantage: Dallas Cowboys

Final Outlook

The pick remains the Cowboys, but they will be challenged in trying to cover the spread for a sixth straight game in this series. Dallas' offense has too much versatility both running and passing to believe the Giants can consistently come up with stops, and it is also difficult to trust a rookie quarterback on a week-to-week basis.

Jones is coming off his second multi-TD game, he threw two interceptions in the start after that but was bailed out to a large degree because they came against Washington. Giving the Cowboys short fields would prove fatal given the quality of Prescott, Elliott, and Cooper.

Latest Updates, Injury Reports, and Line Movements

The big question mark with the final injury report is the status of Cowboys linebacker Vander Esch, who is at best questionable with a neck stinger. One report over the weekend had him unlikely to play, which would create some issues trying to slow down Barkley.

Still, the pick remains the Cowboys, especially with the low-side hook on the touchdown spread in Dallas' favor. By and large, Dallas' offense has done well punching down on overmatched opponents in terms of production, and there is still a certain amount of skittishness in feeling Jones can put together back-to-back high-end games as a rookie quarterback.

Prediction: Cowboys -6.5 (-105)

Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com

Additional Insiders' Best Bets

Full-game Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The over still gets the nod, though much like the game itself, it has the feel of being decided late. Per DonBest.com, the over is 5-2 in New York's last seven games as an underdog and 7-2 in its last nine when coming off a loss.

The over has also delivered the last four times the Cowboys have been favored between 3.5-10 points and is 7-3 in their last 10 overall. While few teams are as scrutinized and polarizing publicly as Dallas, recall that the win over Philadelphia was also the fourth time it topped 30 points on the season.

Prediction: OVER 48.5 points (-110)

Full-game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

While it does not offer a great return, Barkley's over/under yardage total is still a favorable one with the Giants at home -- where they should be competitive enough for him to get 15 carries -- and the potential absence of Vander Esch. He popped off four runs of 10 or more yards in the first meeting and seven of his 39 career rushes versus the Cowboys have gone for double digits.

Of the teasers available, the best one is knocking the Cowboys down to a half-point favorite while also moving the over/under below a flat touchdown total to 41.5 as offered on PointsBet at -110. The Giants have given up 30 or more points in three of the last four meetings, and there has been little evidence to believe they will be noticeably better than the first meeting when Dallas ran up 35 points.

That also puts the over of Dallas' team total of 27.5 as a good play, as well.

Prediction: Barkley OVER 76.5 rushing yards (-122)

Half-time Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The high-side hook offers pause on being aggressive with the first-half spread, though the optimist would point out the Giants have the third-worst scoring differential in the first two quarters (-57) and rank last in the league in first-half points allowed (146).

Dallas has been somewhat hit or miss offensively in the first half -- the Cowboys had scored just nine first-half points during their three-game skid before ripping through the Eagles for 27 in their Week 7 victory.

Prediction: Cowboys -3.5 (-121)

Half-time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

A confidence pick in Dallas' offense to do the heavy lifting with at least three scores while the Giants find at least one touchdown and hopefully, a second score of some sort. Shop around to find a low-side hook on the TD+FG combination because it could make all the difference between a win and a push in this instance.

Prediction: OVER 24 points (-110)

Half-time Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

An opt for the more conservative play as opposed to taking the Cowboys -2.5 at -115. The Giants rank ahead of only the Chiefs in terms of first-quarter points allowed (64), a total that features eight touchdowns allowed in the opening 15 minutes.

Dallas is also in the middle of the pack for first-quarter points allowed, ranking 16th with 38, and did allow a first-quarter score to New York in the Week 1 meeting.

Prediction: OVER 9.5 points 1st quarter (-121)
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Written By Chris Altruda

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is based in Chicago. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiner, he worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Follow Chris daily right here at W&W and on Twitter at @AlTruda73. You won’t be disappointed.