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Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers,
11-5-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#465 Arizona
#466 San Francisco

Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 4:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Arizona Cardinals (3-4 SU, 1-6 ATS, 2-5 O/U) vs. San Francisco 49ers (0-8 SU, 4-4 ATS, 4-4 O/U)

NFL: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 4:05 p.m. EST

The Line: Arizona Cardinals -2.5. Total: 39.

The San Francisco 49ers are still searching for their first win of the season as they prepare to host the Arizona Cardinals at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday afternoon. San Francisco saw its skid continue with a setback at Philadelphia last weekend. The Cardinals have alternated losses and wins the entire way, most recently falling to the Rams prior to a bye week.

Back from a bye week

Many teams use their bye weeks to get healthy. In the Cardinals’ case, a number of their guys are not coming back. Quarterback Carson Palmer is on injured reserve after suffering a broken arm in a 33-0 Week 7 loss to the Rams in London. Running back David Johnson is out with a broken wrist, guard Mike Iupati is sidelined by a torn triceps, and outside linebacker Markus Golden is done for the season with a torn ACL.

“When you lose your two best offensive players, you lose a perennial all-pro guard, you lose a 12-plus sack guy off the edge, you’re going to feel it,” wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald noted.

With Arizona trailing Los Angeles 6-0, Drew Stanton replaced Palmer and finished 5-of-14 for 162 yards and an interception. In 34 career games during his 10-year NFL career, Stanton is completing 52.7 percent of his passes and has 14 touchdowns compared to 20 interceptions.

Jimmy G.

The Jimmy Garoppolo era is finally over in New England. Granted, it was an era almost entirely as a backup. Whatever the case, it came to an end on Tuesday when the Patriots traded him to San Francisco in exchange for a 2018 second-round draft pick.

“Albeit in limited game action, Jimmy has displayed the characteristics and traits that we believe are vital to being a successful quarterback in this league,” San Francisco general manager John Lynch commented. “He has had the rare opportunity to sit and learn from a future Hall of Fame quarterback in a championship atmosphere.”

Garoppolo is not expected to start on Sunday against Arizona but will likely become the team’s primary quarterback in Week 10. Rookie C.J. Beathard is in line to get another nod this week. Beathard is completing just 52.7 percent of his passes through four appearances this season for 647 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. The 49ers have also released Brian Hoyer, who is expected to sign with New England now that Tom Brady needs a new backup.

NFL Trends:

The Arizona Cardinals are:

  • 13-4 ATS in their last 17 on the road against teams with losing home records
  • 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Week 9
  • 8-3 Under in their last 11 games against the NFC West

The San Francisco 49ers are:

  • 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games
  • 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with losing records
  • 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with losing road records

When you’re tied with the Browns in the standings, you know you aren’t good. Such is life for San Francisco, which is still winless at 0-8. The 49ers have been extremely competitive in the majority of their games, but they got hammered 40-10 by Dallas in Week 7 and 33-10 by Philadelphia last weekend. Arizona is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 on the road against opponents with losing home records and 5-1 ATS in their last six Week 9 contests. The 49ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 at home, 7-15 ATS in their last 22 against losing opponents, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 at home against opponents with losing road records, and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 after allowing more than 30 points in their previous outing. Don’t be surprised if those trends continue.

Pick: Arizona Cardinals -2.5

A battle between Hall of Fame quarterbacks this is not. Beathard vs. Stanton is not exactly a marquee matchup, to say the least. Even with Palmer at the helm all the way into their most recent game against Los Angeles, the Cardinals were–and are–the 23rd-ranked offense in the NFL. The under is 5-1 in the Cardinals’ last six overall, 4-1 in their last five against the NFC, 8-3 in their last 11 against the NFC West, and 4-1 in their last five after rushing for less than 90 yards in their previous outing. It is also 18-8 in the 49ers’ last 26 at home and 13-3 in their last 16 after gaining less than 250 yards of total offense in their previous outing. Additionally, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between the two teams. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Pick: Under 39


Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.


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