Baltimore Ravens (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS, 5-3 O/U) at Tennessee Titans
When and Where: Sunday, Nov. 5., Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tn., 1pmET
Line: Tennessee -4.5
The Baltimore Ravens broke a two-game losing streak with a dominating 40-0 win last Thursday night over Miami. Quarterback Joe Flacco was lost late in the second quarter due to a concussion. Dolphins linebacker Kiko Alonso hit Flacco high as he was attempting to slide. The Titans were off last week after beating Cleveland, 12-9 last week.
Ravens lose Flacco, win game
Baltimore had looked like they were heading into a tailspin going into the Miami game. They were defeated at home by a Chicago team with a rookie quarterback in Mitch Trubisky in overtime and then lost to a Case Keenum, a backup quarterback on Oct. 22. But the Ravens were a different team against the Dolphins, jumping out to a 7-0 lead on a Flacco 34-yard pass to Jeremy Maclin with 8:19 left in the first quarter. Maclin had missed the previous two games due to a shoulder injury and needed to step up with Mike Wallace (concussion) out. But the key for the Ravens was the play of running back Alex Collins, who rushed for 113 yards on 18 carries and caught two passes for 30 yards.
Flacco completed 10 of 15 for 101 yards with one touchdown before getting injured. Ryan Mallett came in for Flacco and threw a touchdown pass, completing 3 of 7 for 20 yards. Collins leads the team with 478 yards rushing, while Flacco has 1,290 yards passing with six touchdowns and eight picks. Mallett hasn’t started a game since 2105 when he played for Houston and Baltimore, throwing for 1,336 yards five TDs and six picks.
The Ravens went into the Miami game ranked 32nd against the run and now are 29th (132.8ypg), after allowing just 45 yards on 19 attempts. On offense, they rank 31st overall (279.9ypg) and 32nd in passing yards per game (152.9).
An ugly win is better than a pretty loss
Tennessee scored just nine points in regulation against Cleveland on the road on Oct. 22 and needed a Ryan Succop 47-yard field goal with no time left in overtime to edge the Browns by three. The Browns needed a 54-yard field goal from rookie kicker Zane Gonzalez with 47 seconds left in regulation to tie the score at 9-9. Neither team scored a touchdown in this thriller as the Browns’ defense held the Titans’ vaunted rushing attack to just 80 yards on 23 carries. Quarterback Marcus Mariota completed 21 of 32 for 203 yards, while DeMarco Murray rushed for 59 yards on 18 carries. Tennessee’s defense held the Browns to just 66 yards rushing and 218 passing yards. They also forced three interceptions from Cody Kessler and DeShone Kizer.
Mariota has 1,301 yards passing on the season with four touchdowns and four interceptions. Murray has 475 rushing yards with two touchdowns. On the season, Tennessee averages 326.4 yards per game overall and 124.6 rushing yards (10th). They allow 329.4 yards per game overall (16th) and 100.1 rushing yards (10th).
- 9-4 ATS last 13 vs. AFC.
- 4-1-1 ATS last 6 in November.
- 1-6 ATS last 7 in November.
- 2-5 ATS last 7 after a bye week.
Neither team has been impressive this season, though the Ravens performance against Miami could be the game that pushes them in the right direction. The Titans have been up-and-down like most teams in this league. The bye will help but the Ravens also have a few extra days of rest and this is their last game before their bye. With Flacco expected back, the Ravens will steal this one on the road.
Baltimore should be an under team because of their defense. They’ve struggled against the run but did get DT Brandon Williams back two games ago. He showed up in the Miami game, but the Ravens defense scored on a pick-six. Baltimore has managed to go over in four straight and is 4-0 Over last in November. Tennessee is 4-0 Over last 4 in Week 9 and 9-4-1 Over last 14 home games.