Denver Broncos (3-4; 2-4-1 ATS; 4-3 O/U) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (7-1; 6-2 ATS; 5-3 O/U)
NFL: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 1:00pm EST
Line: Philadelphia -7.5
The first place Philadelphia Eagles will host the Denver Broncos in week nine action Sunday afternoon from Lincoln Financial Field. The Broncos were handled by a 29-19 score at the hands of the Chiefs last Monday night, and the Eagles handled the 49ers by a 33-10 score in their previous action. These clubs last met in 2013 in a game the Broncos won by a 52-20 score.
Broncos Turnovers Costly in Loss to Chiefs
The Denver Broncos turned the ball over five times in their rough 29-19 road loss to the Chiefs on Monday night. Trevor Siemian struggled, completing only 19 of 36 passes for 198 yards with one touchdown against three interceptions. The 25-year old quarterback is not having a strong season, recording 1669 passing yards with a weak 9:10 TD to INT ratio, however, he has not received any help from his offensive line. The deep Broncos running game was a bright spot in the loss, rushing for 177 total yards which C.J. Anderson leading the charge with 78 yards. Anderson is having a strong season, accumulating 469 rushing yards. Broncos leading receiver Demaryius Thomas made his presence felt in the loss, making five grabs for 66 yards. The veteran wide receiver has yet to record a touchdown and has tallied 455 receiving yards on the season. The Denver offense is having some success running the ball, however, they have been unable to score points with any consistency due to their struggling passing game.
The Broncos defense did hold the Chiefs to 276 total yards last week, however, they did allow them to march into field goal territory with ease and convert on five field goals. Their defense has been outstanding against the run and is only allowing an average of 70 rushing yards per game. Denver has now dropped three consecutive games with two tough games against the Eagles and Patriots up next.
High Flying Eagles Cruise Past 49ers
The Philadelphia Eagles continued their scoring barrage in their 33-10 home win over the 49ers last weekend. Carson Wentz was decent, completing 18 of 32 passes for 211 yards with three touchdowns against two interceptions. The 24-year old quarterback is having a spectacular season, accumulating 2063 passing yards with a sizzling 19:5 TD to INT ratio. LeGarrette Blount managed 48 yards on 16 carries in the win. The powerful running back is having a solid season, notching 467 rushing yards and is averaging 4.7 yards per carry. Eagles leading receiver Zack Ertz collected a touchdown pass for the fourth straight game last week and made four catches for 34 yards. The 26-year old tight end is having an outstanding season, collecting 528 receiving yards to go with six touchdowns. The Eagles offense is a well-oiled machine and no defense has been able to slow them down.
The Eagles defense was terrific against a weak 49ers offense last week, limiting them to only 238 total yards. They have been outstanding against the run this season, but have had some trouble defending the pass. Philadelphia is the hottest team in the NFL, winning six consecutive games and own a comfortable lead for first place in the NFC East.
The Denver Broncos are:
- 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
The Philadelphia Eagles are:
- 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win.
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
I am taking the Eagles in this matchup. The Eagles offense is unstoppable, scoring at least 33 points in three out of their last four games. The Denver defense has not been as strong as of late, allowing an average of 24.3 points in their last three games. Furthermore, the Broncos are going with Brock Osweiler at QB over the struggling Siemian, and he can’t be trusted after posting a 15:16 TD to INT ratio last season with the Texans. In addition, the Broncos running game will be up against the number one ranked rush defense in the NFL, and the Eagles are holding opponents to only 70 rushing yards per game, so I am confident they can contain the Broncos running game.
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles
The Broncos defense should be able to at least slow the Eagles hot offense down, and the Denver offense is struggling to score points. I expect the Denver secondary to making it tough for Wentz to have his usual success, and the under is 9-1 in the Broncos last ten games following an ATS loss. The Broncos offense is relying heavily on their running game and it has not translated into points, and they are up against a strong Eagles defense.