Upcoming Free Picks

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers,
11-6-2017 - Pick and Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#473 Detroit
Lions
#474 Green Bay
Packers

Monday, November 6, 2017 at 8:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Betting Trends

All NFL

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NFL.

Detroit Lions (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 O/U) at Green Bay Packers (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 O/U)

When and Where: Monday, Nov. 6, Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisc., 8:20pmET

Line: Detroit -2.5

Total: 43

Last year, Green Bay swept Detroit, but they had a quarterback named Aaron Rodgers. It’s now Brett Hundley’s team and the hope is that Hundley can upgrade his play after coming off a bye. The Packers lost at home to New Orleans on Oct. 22, while the Lions are coming off a home loss on Sunday night to Pittsburgh (20-15).

Lions settle for field goals against Steelers

Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford completed 27 of 45 for 423 yards, but did not throw a touchdown pass against Pittsburgh on Sunday night. Matt Prater accounted for all the Lions 15 points with five field goals. This was the first loss after a bye for Detroit in their last six tries. The key play of the game took place in the third quarter after Chris Boswell nailed a 38-yard field goal for Pittsburgh to take a 13-12 lead. Detroit drove all the way down the field but instead of kicking a field goal to take a lead, the Lions decided to go for it on 4th-and-1 and Stafford was sacked by DL Tyson Alaulu. Pittsburgh took advantage and scored their last points on a 97-yard touchdown pass from Ben Roethlisberger to rookie JuJu Smith-Schuster with 3:01 left in the third quarter.

Prater kicked his last field goal with 12:54 left in the game as the Lions pulled within five. On the next drive, they were driving for more points and wide receiver Golden Tate fumbled the ball away after a 34-yard completion. Once again, the Lions had no running game with 71 yards on 22 carries. The Steelers were held to 75 yards on 29 carries but Roethlisberger tossed for 317 yards and that big play was the difference. On the season, Detroit ranks 19th in yards per game (324.3ypg) and just 28th in rushing yards (82.1ypg). They allow 346.1 yards per game (21st) and 91.6 rushing yards (7th).

Jones has given the Pack a lift

The Packers can’t rely on Brett Hundley to be Rodgers, but he needs to be better than he was in their last game against New Orleans, completing 12 of 25 for 87 yards with no TDs and a pick in the 25-16 home loss. The good was that Green Bay may have found a legitimate prime back in Aaron Jones, who rushed for 131 yards on 17 carries with a TD. That included a 46- yard run to start the game. A Hundley 14-yard run gave the Packers 14-7 lead with 8:37 left in the second quarter, but the Saints pretty much took over after that. The Packers got down 16-14 late in the third quarter but took the lead on a 46-yard Mason Crosby field goal with 14:50 left in the game. But the Saints scored the last 10 points of the game as the Packers just didn’t have enough in the passing game.

The Packers ran for 181 yards for just 79. They allowed 324 passing yards and 161 rushing yards but did pick off Drew Brees twice. That kept the Packers in the game. But for the Packers to get to the playoffs, they need to throw the ball. They are averaging just 310 yards per game (22nd), 101.6 rushing yards (18th) and 208.4 rushing yards (24th). They allow 348.9 yards per game (23rd) and 223.1 yards per game in the air (16th).

NFL Trends:

Detroit is:

  • 6-0 ATS last 6 in November.
  • 6-1 ATS last 7 in Week 9.

Green Bay is:

  • 1-4 ATS last 5 in November.
  • 1-5 ATS last 6 after a SU loss.

So Green Bay is 4-1 ATS last 5 in series, but the favorite is 16-5 ATS last 21 in this series. Of course, if Rodgers was playing, the Packers would be the favorite. But they are not and Stafford is certainly capable of putting up bigger numbers against a defense that’s not as good as Pittsburgh’s. Go with the Lions.

Pick: Detroit

This is a tough call because the Lions could put up a lot of points. But since Hundley took over, Green Bay looks like an under team. They went under against the Saints and way under when he took over against Minnesota after Rodgers broke his collarbone. The Lions are 5-1 Under last 6 in November and 22-8 Under last 30 road games.

Under

4

Benjamin Hayes

Ben has been a sports writer for over 30 years, dabbling in college and pro basketball, college and pro football, baseball, college lacrosse, minor league baseball and even college gymnastics. He's also been involved in the gaming industry for over 25 years and has been looking to beat the books since he was 13!

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Friday, Feb 15
NCAAB
#863 Troy 161
#864 Georgia Southern -10
9:00pm
View Pick
#865 Northern Kentucky 141.5
#866 Wright State -1.5
9:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#75 Edmonton 6
#76 Carolina -180
7:35pm
View Pick
#77 New Jersey 6
#78 Minnesota -265
8:35pm
View Pick
#79 Boston -200
#80 Anaheim 5.5
10:05pm
View Pick
Saturday, Feb 16
NCAAB
#601 Oklahoma
#602 TCU
12:00pm
View Pick
#613 Southern Illinois
#614 Indiana State
12:00pm
View Pick
#617 Auburn
#618 Vanderbilt
12:00pm
View Pick
#603 Maryland
#604 Michigan
12:00pm
View Pick
#609 Clemson
#610 Louisville
12:00pm
View Pick
#607 George Washington
#608 Duquesne
12:00pm
View Pick
#605 North Carolina
#606 Wake Forest
12:00pm
View Pick
#641 Fordham
#642 Rhode Island
2:00pm
View Pick
#645 Miami - OH
#646 Western Michigan
2:00pm
View Pick
#649 Rice
#650 FAU
2:00pm
View Pick
#651 Florida
#652 Alabama
2:00pm
View Pick
#647 Middle Tennessee State
#648 Marshall
2:00pm
View Pick
#655 UAB
#656 Western Kentucky
3:00pm
View Pick
#659 Valaparaiso
#660 Drake
3:00pm
View Pick
#663 Missouri
#664 Ole Miss
3:30pm
View Pick
#673 Penn State
#674 Purdue
4:00pm
View Pick
#679 West Virginia
#680 Kansas
4:00pm
View Pick
#677 BYU
#678 Loyola Marymount
4:00pm
View Pick
#675 Texas State
#676 Arkansas - Little Rock
4:00pm
View Pick
#671 Utah State
#672 Air Force
4:00pm
View Pick
#669 VCU
#670 Dayton
4:00pm
View Pick
#667 Iowa State
#668 Kansas State
4:00pm
View Pick
#665 Northeastern
#666 Charleston
4:00pm
View Pick
#611 NC State
#612 Duke
6:00pm
View Pick
#695 Memphis
#696 UCF
6:00pm
View Pick
#697 Temple
#698 USF
6:00pm
View Pick
#699 Illinois - Chicago
#700 Youngstown State
6:00pm
View Pick
#723 Oakland University
#724 Wisconsin-Milwaukee
7:00pm
View Pick
#721 Boise State
#722 San Diego State
7:00pm
View Pick
#719 Fresno State
#720 New Mexico
7:00pm
View Pick
#717 IUPUI
#718 Cleveland State
7:00pm
View Pick
#707 William & Mary
#708 Elon
7:00pm
View Pick
#705 Hofstra
#706 UNCW
7:00pm
View Pick
#727 Washington
#728 Washington State
8:00pm
View Pick
#729 USC
#730 California
8:00pm
View Pick
#731 Tennessee
#732 Kentucky
8:00pm
View Pick
#733 Bradley
#734 Illinois State
8:00pm
View Pick
#735 DePaul
#736 Butler
8:00pm
View Pick
#737 Delaware
#738 James Madison
8:00pm
View Pick
#751 UCLA
#752 Stanford
10:00pm
View Pick
#759 Nevada
#760 Wyoming
10:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#13 Montreal 6
#14 Tampa Bay -210
7:05pm
View Pick
#17 Columbus -120
#18 Chicago 6.5
8:35pm
View Pick