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In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds

Bears vs. Packers Prediction

Sunday, December 15, 2019 at 1:00pm EST
Lambeau Field, Green Bay

This article covers a past game!

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In-depth Coverage

This is an in-depth analysis of this game, covering every possible detail and angle. Use the table of contents to navigate between each section, or just jump on in!

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Table of Contents

Last Updated: Sunday, December 15, 2019 at 4:52am EST

Introduction

It’s a battle of NFC North rivals on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field. The Chicago Bears make the short trip north as they travel to face the Green Bay Packers Sunday afternoon. Chicago comes in off a 31-24 home win over Dallas in their previous contest last Thursday night. Green Bay earned a 20-15 home win over Washington in their previous game last Sunday. The Packers own a 97-94-6 edge in the all-time regular season series, including a 10-3 road victory in the first meeting this season on September 5 to open up the 2019 NFL campaign.

Chicago Bears Review

Chicago has shown signs of life with three straight wins coming into this one after a very sluggish start offensively. The Bears opened the season with a 10-3 home loss to the Packers in the first game of the NFL campaign on a Thursday night and things were rough throughout most of the first half of the season. Chicago bounced back with a last-second win on the road over Denver (16-14) before rolling over Washington (31-15) on Monday Night Football and shutting down Minnesota (16-6) at home to reach the quarter pole 3-1. Since then, it’s been all downhill: the Bears lost to Oakland (24-21) in London before the bye: coming out of the bye, they were drubbed 36-25 at home by the Saints in a game that wasn’t as close as the final score indicated. The Bears followed that up with a 17-16 home loss to the Chargers when Eddy Piniero missed a game-winning field goal as time expired. Chicago then lost at Philadelphia (22-14) before holding off Detroit (20-13) at home to snap a four-game slide. The Bears then dropped a 17-7 decision to the Rams on the road before dumping the Giants 19-14 on the road. That was followed by a Thanksgiving Day road win over the Lions (24-20), setting up their home game with a fading Dallas squad.

Against the Cowboys, the Bears spotted the Cowboys the opening score of the game but then took control of the contest. Chicago scored 17 second-quarter points en route to taking a 24-7 lead after three quarters. After giving up a score on the opening play of the fourth quarter to trim their lead to 10, the Bears quickly went 60 yards in three plays, capped by a Mitch Trubisky 23-yard TD run, to go back up 17. Chicago’s defense did enough to hold the Cowboys in check so that two scoring drives in the final five minutes weren’t enough. The Bears were outgained 408-382 though a lot of those yards came late up multiple scores. Chicago held a 24-22 edge in first downs and controlled the clock by a 32:18 to 27:42 margin. The Bears overcame a pair of turnovers while not forcing any in the contest to climb back over the .500 mark on the season at 7-6.

Green Bay Packers Review

Green Bay has overcome some tough contests and prevailed in several close games as they come into this contest 10-3 on the season. The Packers enter Week 15 with a one-game lead over the Vikings in the NFC North. Green Bay won their season opener 10-3 on the road over the Bears and followed that up with a 21-16 home win over Minnesota in week two. The Packers earned a home win over Denver (27-16) before suffering their first loss of the season at home to the Eagles on Thursday Night Football in Week 4 (34-27) thanks to two long drives fizzling in the fourth quarter. Green Bay bounced back by jumping on Dallas early on the road en route to a 34-24 win. The Packers, despite being banged up, got their offense going against the Raiders, rolling to a 42-24 home win behind a huge game from Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay went on the road and beat the Chiefs 31-24 in week 8 before being stifled on the road by the Chargers (26-11) back in week 9. The Packers headed into the bye off a home win (24-16) over Carolina only to come out of it hammered on the road (37-8) by San Francisco. Green Bay bounced back by shutting down the Giants 31-13 on the road, leading into their matchup with the other doormat of the NFC East, the Redskins.

Against Washington, Green Bay jumped to a 14-0 lead in the opening quarter and it looked like the rout was on. Instead, the Packers failed to reach the end zone in the final three quarters, keeping the Redskins in the game. Green Bay mustered just two field goals over the final 45 minutes of play but it proved to be enough against a young Washington squad. The Packers held a 341-262 edge in total offense and owned a 30:24 to 29:36 edge in time of possession in the game. Both teams finished with 18 first downs and each team turned the ball over once. The Packers did just enough to ensure that they would prevail with a big showdown with the Vikings in Minnesota looming in week 16.

The Running Game

Chicago Bears Running Offense
vs. Green Bay Packers Running Defense

Chicago Bears Running Offense

The running game hasn't been all that great for the Bears so far this season. Of course, it's been a changing of the guard in the Windy City as Jordan Howard is gone, taking the workhorse back from the last couple years out of the mix. Chicago has hit the century mark on the ground just three in their 13 games this season. Those came in week two against Denver (29 carries, 153 yards), in week eight against the Chargers (38 carries, 162 yards) and last week against the Cowboys, when they ran 34 times for 151 yards. That marked the first time in six games where they ran for more than 88 yards. Chicago has been held to 3.5 yards per carry or less in eight of their 13 games on the year.

Rookie David Montgomery leads the team with 192 carries for 680 yards and five scores on the year. Cordarrelle Patterson has 13 carries for 73 yards while Mike Davis (11 carries, 25 yards) and Tarik Cohen (50 carries, 157 yards) have to be better when given an opportunity. Chicago has just five plays on the ground that have gone at least 20 yards this season: Montgomery has three of them while Patterson and Mitch Trubisky (36 carries, 143 yards, two TD) have the others. The Bears have picked up only 64 first downs via the ground game so far this season.

Green Bay Packers Run Defense

Green Bay's defense has had problems stopping the opposition from moving the ball on the ground this season. The Packers have allowed nine teams to run for at least 100 yards in their 13 games this season. While Green Bay held Chicago to 15 carries for 46 yards in the first meeting this season, they have had their struggles since that point. The Packers have been gouged of late, allowing each of their last seven opponents to run for at least 88 yards with five of those going over the century mark. Green Bay gave up 28 carries for 121 yards last week to Washington.

Blake Martinez leads the Packers with 129 tackles (79 solo) plus a forced fumble on the season. Safety Adrian Amos (73 tackles) and linebacker Preston Smith (47 tackles, forced fumble), along with cornerback Kevin King (55 tackles, forced fumble) and Darnell Savage (47 tackles) are among the team’s tackle leaders. Za’Darius Smith (33 tackles) leads the team with 12.5 tackles for loss while Preston Smith has 11 and Kenny Clark (44 tackles, forced fumble) contributes six this season. As a team, the Packers have recorded 58 tackles for loss, 11 forced fumbles and seven fumble recoveries on the season.

Stats

CHI

  • 20th in run play percentage (38.85 percent)
  • 23rd in rushing attempts per game (24)
  • 29th in rushing yards per game (84.8)
  • 30th in yards per carry (3.5)
  • Tied for 24th in rushing TD (seven)
  • 16th in longest rush (55 yards)

GB

  • 21st in percentage of run plays against (42.56 percent)
  • 17th in run plays per game against (26.4)
  • 25th in rushing yards allowed per game (122.8)
  • 27th in opposing yards per carry (4.7)
  • Tied for 27th in rushing TD allowed (14)
  • 26th in longest rush allowed (75 yards)

Who has the Edge?

Chicago's run game just never took off this season, partially due to the inexperience of Montgomery and partially thanks to the offense in general being putrid. The Bears have been a bit better of late and one has to think that they can improve on the dismal showing they had against the Packers to open the season. Green Bay can be hurt on the ground this season as the numbers bear out. The Packers have improved in their pass rush department but that doesn't help when the running back is going downfield when you're rushing upfield. This one is a wash as it is tough to trust either side.

Advantage: Push

Green Bay Packers Running Offense
vs. Chicago Bears Running Defense

Green Bay Packers Running Offense

Green Bay’s run game has been up and down this season so they have to be more consistent heading toward the postseason. The Packers have run for at least 100 yards seven times this season but they have been held to 79 yards or less in their other six contests. Green Bay has been better of late with three 100-yard performances in their last four contests coming into this one. That includes a season-best showing last week against the Redskins, when they ran the ball 28 times for 174 yards.

Aaron Jones is the leading ground gainer for the Packers though his numbers aren’t overwhelming outside the touchdown number. He has 175 carries for 779 yards and 12 touchdowns on the season. Jamaal Williams has 93 carries for 401 yards plus a score while Aaron Rodgers has 38 rushing attempts for 162 yards and a score on the season. As a team, the Packers have just five run plays that covered at least 20 yards. Jones leads the team with three such plays while Williams and Allen Lazard (one carry, 21 yards) hold the others. Green Bay has mustered only 71 first downs via the ground game this season.

Chicago Bears Run Defense

Chicago has been extremely effective at limiting opposing teams from doing damage on the ground this season. The Bears have allowed six teams to run for at least 100 yards against them this season. Chicago has limited opposing teams to under four yards per carry in eight of their 12 games this season. The Bears have given up three 100-yard games in the last month before slowing down Dallas last week. Chicago limited the Cowboys to 22 carries for 82 yards in the contest.

Danny Trevathan is second on the team with 70 tackles (50 solo) and a forced fumble on the season. He’s dealing with an elbow injury sustained against the Lions on November 10 and has been out of the lineup since. Roquan Smith (team-high 101 tackles), Kyle Fuller (69 tackles), Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (66 tackles, two fumble recoveries) and Eddie Jackson (51 tackles, forced fumble, fumble recovery) are other guys that are among the team leaders in stops this season. Khalil Mack (41 tackles, five forced fumbles, fumble recovery) leads the team with 11 tackles for loss while Nick Williams (32 tackles, two fumble recoveries) and Jackson each have 5.5 this season. Leonard Floyd (33 tackles), Smith and Nick Kwiatkowski (52 tackles, forced fumble) each have five. As a team, the Bears have recorded 57 tackles for loss: they have forced 12 fumbles while recovering eight on the year.

Stats

GB

  • 16th in run play percentage (40.57 percent)
  • 19th in rushing attempts per game (25)
  • 17th in rushing yards per game (107)
  • 18th in yards per carry (4.3)
  • Tied for 7th in rushing TD (14)
  • Tied for 17th in longest rush (45 yards)

CHI

  • 12th in percentage of run plays against (39.46 percent)
  • 13th in run plays per game against (25.8)
  • 7th in rushing yards allowed per game (96.3)
  • 3rd in opposing yards per carry (3.7)
  • Tied for 22nd in rushing TD allowed (12)
  • 4th in longest rush allowed (31 yards)

Who has the Edge?

Chicago has been stout against the run and they have activated Akiem Hicks from injured reserve to bolster their defensive line. The Bears have been good at making teams scrap for yards this season and they don't give up big plays. Speaking of big plays, Green Bay doesn't generate them on the ground. The Packers have been a lot of methodical work on the ground as opposed to chunk plays. Jones has put up a dozen scores on the ground but he has yet to show the big play ability we've seen in the passing game. Green Bay didn't have success in the first meeting and things haven't changed much here.

Advantage: Chicago Bears

The Passing Game

Chicago Bears Passing Offense
vs. Green Bay Packers Passing Defense

Chicago Bears Passing Offense

Chicago has seen their passing game sputter all season long and it’s a major reason why the team has struggled this season. The Bears have just one 300-yard passing game this season. By contrast, Chicago has thrown for under 200 yards on five separate occasions this season, including a three-game stretch between weeks nine and 11 against the Eagles, Lions and Rams. After throwing for what was, at the time, a season-high 278 yards against the Giants in Week 12, the Bears exceeded that mark with 338 yards in their rematch with the Lions in Week 13. Last week, Chicago threw for 244 yards against Dallas.

Mitch Trubisky has completed 253 of 392 passes for 2,440 yards with 16 touchdown passes and eight interceptions on the year. He's been sacked 28 times for 167 yards in losses this season. He missed time with a separated shoulder earlier this season. Chase Daniel is 45 of 64 for 435 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions this season. Allen Robinson leads the team with 76 receptions for 898 yards and seven scores on the year. Cohen has 60 catches for 330 yards and three scores while Taylor Gabriel has reeled in 29 passes for 353 yards and four touchdowns. Anthony Miller (41 receptions, 531 yards, TD) is a solid secondary option. Chicago has 32 pass plays of at least 20 yards this season: Robinson leads the team with 12 while Miller adds nine and Gabriel has four this season.

Green Bay Packers Passing Defense

Green Bay was active in free agency trying to find new pieces for the defensive side of the ball and it has helped pay dividends in the pass rush. The Packers have been decent against the pass for most of the season. Green Bay has allowed only three 300-yard games this season through the air with a season-worst mark of 463 against Dallas back in week five. The Packers allowed 329 yards to the Raiders in week seven and 307 to Carolina in week 10. Green Bay won all three of those games. Last week against Washington, the Packers recorded their second-best showing against the pass all season as they gave up 170 yards through the air.

Preston Smith leads the Packers with 11.5 sacks on the season. Za’Darius Smith is next in line with 10 sacks while Clark is a distant third with three sacks on the year. Jaire Alexander (43 tackles, 1.5 tackles for loss, forced fumble, fumble recovery) leads Green Bay with 14 pass defenses while King has 13. Amos adds eight while Tramon Williams (30 tackles, forced fumble, fumble recovery) has five. King leads the team with four interceptions while Savage, Williams and Amos each have two picks. Chandon Sullivan (22 tackles, four pass defenses), Preston Smith and Alexander each have one interception this season. As a team, the Packers have totaled 32 sacks, 58 pass defenses and 13 interceptions on the year.

Stats

CHI

  • 13th in pass play percentage (61.15 percent)
  • 11th in completion percentage (65.4)
  • 28th in passing yards per game (204.6)
  • Tied for 19th in TD passes (19)
  • Tied for 14th in INT thrown (10)
  • 29th in net yards per pass attempt (5.8)
  • Tied for 26th in longest pass play (53 yards)
  • 18th in passer rating (87.6)

GB

  • 12th in pass play percentage against (57.44 percent)
  • 21st in passing yards per game allowed (245.1)
  • 10th in completion percentage allowed (62.2)
  • Tied for 6th in TD passes allowed (16)
  • Tied for 3rd in INT (13)
  • 20th in sacks (32)
  • 11th in passer rating allowed (86.8)
  • 25th in net yards per pass attempt (7.4)

Who has the Edge?

Chicago has been better through the air over the past month as Trubisky has actually looked like a competent quarterback at times. The Bears have seen Miller develop into a receiving threat to play opposite Robinson II but they lack a slot guy or a tight end to help be a safety valve. Green Bay has a good secondary that can generate picks and the offseason acquisition of the Smiths to create a pass rush has paid off in spades. This one could be interesting to see how things pan out but the Packers get the slight advantage.

Advantage: Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers Passing Offense
vs. Chicago Bears Passing Defense

Green Bay Packers Passing Offense

The Packers have improved offensively as the season has worn on as they try to adjust to Matt LaFleur’s offensive system. Green Bay has only three 300-yard games this season through the air, highlighted by a season-high 429 yards against the Raiders in week 7. The passing game has been a bit more restrained in the last month as their high-water mark in that stretch was 243 yards against the Giants in week 13. Last week against Washington, the Packers leaned on the ground game, which held the passing attack to only 195 yards through the air.

Aaron Rodgers has hit 284 of 441 passes for 3,260 yards with 23 touchdowns and two interceptions this season. He has been sacked 31 times, losing 245 yards in the process. Tim Boyle is three of four for 15 yards. Davante Adams leads the team with 56 receptions for 685 yards and three scores on the season. He missed four games with a toe injury before returning against the Chargers in week nine. Marquez Valdes-Scantling (23 catches, 427 yards, two TD) and Aaron Jones (45 grabs, 425 yards, three TD) are solid secondary options in the passing game this season The Packers need more from Jimmy Graham (32 catches, 382 yards, three TD) and Geronimo Allison (29 receptions, 251 yards, two TD) in order to take pressure off Adams. Green Bay has 44 pass plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season. Adams leads the team with eight such plays while Valdes-Scantling contributes seven and Graham adds six.

Chicago Bears Passing Defense

Chicago has made life tough for opposing quarterbacks and receivers this season. The Bears have allowed just one 300-yard passing game all season: that came back in week three in a blowout win over Washington when Case Keenum totaled 332 yards. Chicago has held two of their past four opponents under 150 yards through the air. The Bears did have their issues with the Lions: they allowed 269 yards through the air in week 10 and then gave up 280 yards through the air last week. One point of concern though is the dwindling return on the pass rush: Chicago had 17 sacks in their first four games of the season but only 13 in the last nine games combined.

Mack leads the team with 7.5 sacks while Nick Williams (34 tackles, 5.5 tackles for loss, two pass defenses, two fumble recoveries) is right behind him with six on the season. Floyd adds three and Roy Robertson-Harris (24 tackles, three pass defenses) contributes 2.5 on the year. All told, 12 different players have at least one sack for the Bears this season. Fuller leads the team with 12 pass defenses while Prince Amukamara (50 tackles, tackle for loss, forced fumble, fumble recovery) is second on the team with 10. Buster Skrine (39 tackles, two forced fumbles) and Clinton-Dix are next with five apiece. Fuller has three picks to lead the team while Clinton-Dix (TD) contributes a pair of picks. Smith, Jackson and Nick Kwiatkowski each have one.  As a team, the Bears have 30 sacks to go with 60 pass defenses and eight interceptions, including a pick-six, this season.

Stats

GB

  • 17th in pass play percentage (59.43 percent)
  • 11th in completion percentage (64.5)
  • 16th in passing yards per game (233.1)
  • 12th in TD passes (23)
  • 1st in INT thrown (two)
  • 16th in net yards per pass attempt (6.8)
  • 14th in longest pass play (74 yards)
  • 8th in passer rating (101.9)

CHI

  • 21st in pass play percentage against (60.54 percent)
  • 13th in passing yards per game allowed (230.2)
  • 22nd in completion percentage allowed (64.3)
  • 4th in TD passes allowed (14)
  • Tied for 25th in INT (eight)
  • 22nd in sacks (30)
  • 8th in passer rating allowed (86.1)
  • 6th in net yards per pass attempt (6.2)

Who has the Edge?

Rodgers has had his ups and downs as far as production goes thanks to injuries throughout his receiving corps this season. He still is an effective signal-caller but he needs his receivers to actually contribute and stay on the field. Throwing to secondary and tertiary options will make the most elite of quarterbacks look pedestrian: ask Tom Brady. With that said, Rodgers doesn't make many mistakes and with the Bears struggling to get heat on the quarterback, it's tough to hold out forever. The Packers get the edge here.

Advantage: Green Bay Packers

Intangibles

Chicago Bears

Chicago is only 26th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 18.7 points per game on the season. The Bears are 29th in the league in total offense with 289.5 yards per game and stand 30th in yards per play with 4.7 yards per snap. Chicago is fourth in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 17.8 points per contest. The Bears are a solid 10th in total defense as they allow 326.5 yards per game and stand seventh as they give up only five yards per play. Chicago is tied for 14th in the takeaway/giveaway department as they are a +1 on the season.

The Bears are 12th in red zone success as they have cashed in 59.46 percent of their drives that got inside the opposition’s 20-yard line into touchdowns. Chicago is 13th in red zone defense as they held opposing teams to a 53.85 percent success rate as far as scoring touchdowns goes. Chicago is currently 28th in the league in third-down conversions as they have converted 33.33 percent of their situations this season. The Bears are solid in getting off the field as opposing teams have converted 35.06 percent of their third downs, which is seventh in the league. Chicago is 18th in the league in time of possession as they hold the ball 49.45 percent of the time.

Eddy Piniero, who took over the kicking job after Cody Parkey's infamous double-doink miss in the playoffs last season, is 25 of 27 on extra points and 16 of 21 on field goals with a long of 53 this year. Pat O'Donnell has averaged 44.8 yards per kick on 71 punts this season: he has a net average of 40.6 yards with 23 punts inside the opposition's 20-yard line. He has two touchbacks in addition to having a punt blocked but has a 75-yard boot to his credit. Patterson has averaged 30.2 yards on his 25 kick returns, including a 102-yard return for a score, while Cohen has averaged 9.1 yards on 29 punt returns with a long of 71.

Green Bay Packers

Green Bay is 13th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 23.8 points per game on the season. The Packers are 23rd in the league in total offense with 340.1 yards per game and stand 17th in yards per play with 5.5 yards per snap. Green Bay is 13th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 20.8 points per contest. The Packers are 22nd in total defense as they allow 367.9 yards per game and stand 26th as they give up 5.9 yards per play. Green Bay is tied for 3rd in the takeaway/giveaway department as they are a +11 on the season.

The Packers are 2nd in red zone success as they have cashed in 68.18 percent of their drives that got inside the opposition’s 20-yard line into touchdowns. Green Bay is 6th in red zone defense as they hold opposing teams to a 50 percent success rate as far as scoring touchdowns goes. Green Bay is a struggling 20th in the league in third down conversions as they have converted 35.71 percent of their situations this season. The Packers are in the middle of the pack in getting off the field as opposing teams have converted 39.33 percent of their third downs, which is 18th in the league. Green Bay is 8th in the league in time of possession as they hold the ball 51.95 percent of the time.

Mason Crosby has hit all 35 extra point attempts and 16 of 17 field goal tries with a long of 54 on the season. Punter JK Scott has boomed the ball, averaging 44.7 yards on his 60 punts with a 40.7-yard net average. He has placed 23 punts inside the opponent’s 20-yard line with only three touchbacks: he did have a punt blocked by the Chargers in week nine. Tremon Smith has averaged 23.3 yards on his 13 kick returns this season while Darrius Shepherd averages 16.3 yards on nine kick returns with a long of 21. Chandon Sullivan averages 16 yards on three kick returns with a long of 19 this season. Tyler Ervin averages 12.8 yards on four punt returns this season: the rest of the team had combined for negative eight yards on nine returns. Tony Brown blocked an extra point against the Vikings in week 2.

Who has the Edge?

This one comes down to a couple of key factors when you get right down to it. Clearly, Green Bay has the edge in most offensive categories on the season while Chicago is the more dominant defensive squad. Both teams have problems with extending drives on the offensive side of the ball. Chicago is better about getting off the field but the Packers have the edge in the red zone. The biggest thing that swings the pendulum here is in the kicking game. While O'Donnell and Scott are close to even in the punting game, Crosby has had a stellar season in the kicking game for Green Bay. Piniero has been inconsistent as he beat Denver in the early part of the year with a last-second field goal but missed one in a similar spot against the Chargers. The kicking game gives Green Bay a slim edge here.

Advantage: Green Bay Packers

Final Outlook

A pair of the NFL's oldest rivals take the field to do battle once again. When these teams met in the season opener, we saw all of one touchdown and 13 points combined in the contest. While the offensive numbers have improved in some respects for both teams, the fact remains that defense is the name of the game. Chicago has some momentum after three straight wins to push back into the fringes of playoff contention. Green Bay is trying to hold onto their lead in the NFC North heading into next week's tilt at U.S. Bank Stadium. To say there is a lot at stake in this one is likely an understatement.

According to Covers.com, the Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Chicago is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The frozen tundra of Lambeau Field carries the mystique that the old Boston Garden did for opposing teams. Green Bay should capitalize on being at home to prevail in this one.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers -4.5

Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com

Additional Insiders' Best Bets

Full-game Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

It's been an interesting season to say the least for these two division rivals. Chicago has been streaky, starting 3-1, then losing four straight before regrouping to win four of five heading into this contest. The Bears' 31 points last week against Dallas matched their season high, which was set back in week 3 against Washington. Two of their four highest-scoring games have come in the last two weeks. Green Bay is 10-1 playing outside the state of California so they seem to be in good shape here. The Packers have hit the 27 point mark six times this season. Can they do enough to cage the Bears and sweep the season series?

The under is 4-0 in the Bears' last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 9-1 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and 8-1 in their last 9 games as a road underdog. Green Bay has seen the under go 4-0 in their last four on grass and 6-0 in their last six against NFC North opponents. Look for this one to end up under the number in another black and blue battle.

Prediction: Under 40.5

Half-time Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Green Bay is seventh in the league in first half scoring offense with an average of 13.2 ppg this season. The Packers do hold a +2.9 ppg scoring differential in the opening half this season. That number climbs to +5.3 ppg at home on the year. Chicago is a dismal 30th in first half scoring offense with 7.9 ppg this year. The Bears hold a -0.4 ppg scoring differential at the half this season that climbs to -3 ppg on the road. Give the points and take the hosts here.

Prediction: Green Bay Packers -3

Half-time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Green Bay comes into the game in the middle of the pack in first half scoring defense. The Packers are tied for 15th by allowing 10.9 ppg in the first half of their games this season. That gives the team an average of 24.1 ppg in the opening half this year. On the flip side, the Bears are fourth in first half scoring defense as they allow only 8.3 ppg this season in the first half. Chicago's opening halves see an average of 16.2 ppg on the year. This one likely ends up falling right below the number at the half.

Prediction: Under 20.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.