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In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds

Texans vs. Titans Prediction

Sunday, December 15, 2019 at 1:00pm EST
Nissan Stadium, Nashville

This article covers a past game!

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In-depth Coverage

This is an in-depth analysis of this game, covering every possible detail and angle. Use the table of contents to navigate between each section, or just jump on in!

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Table of Contents

Last Updated: Sunday, December 15, 2019 at 5:01am EST

Introduction

First place in the AFC South is on the line when a pair of division rivals meet for the first time this season in the Music City. The Houston Texans are on the road as they travel to face the Tennessee Titans on Sunday afternoon. Houston was dropped 38-24 at home by Denver in their previous game last Sunday. Tennessee pulled away for a 42-21 road win over Oakland in their previous contest last Sunday. The Titans lead the all-time regular season series 18-16 but the teams split two matchups last season. Tennessee earned a 20-17 home win in the first matchup on September 16, 2018 before Houston answered with a 34-17 home win in the most recent meeting on November 26, 2018.

Houston Texans Review

Houston has been involved in a lot of tight games this season with nine of their 13 contests decided by seven points or less at this point of the season. The Texans are 6-3 in those games but after last week’s surprising defeat find themselves in the top spot in the AFC South. Houston dropped their opener on Monday Night Football, losing 30-28 to the Saints on a 58-yard field goal as time expired. The Texans bounced back with wins over Jacksonville (13-12) at home and the Chargers (27-20) on the road. Houston was defeated 16-10 at home by Carolina before rebounding with a home win over Atlanta (53-32) and a road triumph over Kansas City (31-24) before their loss to Indianapolis (30-23) on the road in week seven in a battle for the top spot in the AFC South. The Texans bounced back by sneaking past the Raiders 27-24 in week eight before whipping Jacksonville 26-3 in their final game before the bye. Coming out of the bye, the team was pulverized by the Ravens 41-7 before edging the Colts (20-17) at home on a Thursday night. The Texans followed that up with a 28-22 home win over New England before taking on Denver last week.

Against Denver, Houston was flat early and it ended up costing them the contest. The Texans dug themselves a 21-0 hole less than four minutes into the second quarter and that set the tone for the contest. Houston was in a 31-3 hole at the half and trailed 38-3 early in the third quarter. The Texans closed the gap in garbage time but the game had long been decided. Houston held a 414-391 edge in total offense though most of it came in garbage time. The Texans held a 26-22 edge in first downs but dropped the time of possession battle by a 31:25 to 28:35 margin. Houston turned the ball over three times, including a fumble return for a score, while only forcing one takeaway in the contest.

Tennessee Titans Review

Tennessee struggled in the first half of the season, starting the year 2-4. Since that point, the team has won six of their last seven to enter this game tied for the AFC South lead with the Texans. The Titans opened the season by dismantling Cleveland 43-13 on the road before falling 19-17 at home to Indianapolis and 20-7 on the road to Jacksonville on a Thursday night. Tennessee bounced back by dominating Atlanta 24-10 on the road to get back to .500 but losses at home to Buffalo (14-7) and on the road at Denver (16-0) left them 2-4 on the season. The Titans rebounded with close home victories over the Chargers (23-20) and the Buccaneers (27-23) to get to the .500 mark on the season before losing on the road (30-20) to Carolina. Tennessee rallied late to stun Kansas City (35-32) at home before going into their bye week. Coming out of the bye, the Titans rolled Jacksonville (42-20) at home and beat the Colts (31-17) on the road leading into the game with Oakland.

The Titans had another big offensive showing as they took advantage of a soft Oakland defense and carved them up. Tennessee trailed 7-0 before leading 14-7 and 21-14 in the first half. The game was tied at 21 at the half before the Titans took control in the second half. Tennessee took the lead for good with under six minutes to play in the third quarter and put it away with two touchdowns in a 1:17 span early in the fourth quarter. The Titans rolled up a 552-356 edge in total offense, picked up 26 first downs while allowing 22 and overcame losing the time of possession 30:48 to 29:12 in the game. Both teams turned the ball over once with Tennessee scoring on a fumble return for a score in the fourth quarter. The ground game continues to be a force and with these two teams meeting twice in the final three weeks of the season, it’s going to be interesting to see how things unfold.

The Running Game

Houston Texans Running Offense
vs. Tennessee Titans Running Defense

Houston Texans Running Offense

Houston, despite losing Lamar Miller in the preseason to a torn ACL, has been able to move the ball on the ground fairly well this season. The Texans made a couple of trades to add Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson Jr. to the mix and they have paid dividends for the team. Houston has gone over the century mark on the ground in 10 of their 13 games this season. Four times they have run for at least 150 yards and the team racked up a season-high 216 rushing yards against Jacksonville in their last game before the bye. The team has run for 100-plus yards in two of their last four games, including 134 yards last week against the Broncos.

Carlos Hyde leads the team with 198 carries for 926 yards plus four scores this season. Duke Johnson Jr. has run the ball 75 times for 390 yards plus a score while Deshaun Watson has 68 carries for 344 yards and a team-leading seven scores on the ground. As a team, the Texans have 13 rushing plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season: Hyde leads the team with eight such plays while Johnson Jr. has three and Watson has two. Houston has moved the sticks 89 times via the ground game this season.

Tennessee Titans Run Defense

Tennessee has been hurt by the run game this season and they are going to face a mirror image of themselves in this one. The Titans have given up at least 100 yards in seven of their 13 games this season on the ground with two games where they have allowed at least 150 yards on the ground. Tennessee has given up at least 100 yards just once in their last four games coming into this contest, which came against Jacksonville in week 12 when they allowed 117. Last week against Oakland, the Titans gave up 24 carries for 97 yards.

Rashaan Evans is second on the team with 92 tackles (55 solo) along with a fumble recovery for a score from his linebacker spot this season. Logan Ryan (team-high 94 tackles, three forced fumbles), Jayon Brown (84 tackles, fumble recovery, TD), along with safeties Kenny Vaccaro (68 tackles) and Kevin Byard (71 tackles) help round out the top five in the tackle department. Harold Landry III (62 tackles, forced fumble, two fumble recoveries) leads the team with 13.5 tackles for loss. Evans puts up 8.5 tackles for loss while Ryan is next in line with six tackles for loss on the season. As a team, Tennessee has 74 tackles for loss, 10 forced fumbles and nine fumble recoveries with two fumble returns for scores so far this season.

Stats

HOU

  • 11th in run play percentage (42.13 percent)
  • 12th in rushing attempts per game (26.8)
  • 7th in rushing yards per game (130.2)
  • 3rd in yards per carry (4.9)
  • Tied for 12th in rushing TD (13)
  • 15th in longest rush (58 yards)

TEN

  • 9th in percentage of run plays against (38.52 percent)
  • 12th in run plays per game against (25.5)
  • 10th in rushing yards allowed per game (101.6)
  • 8th in opposing yards per carry (four)
  • Tied for 9th in rushing TD allowed (nine)
  • 25th in longest rush allowed (69 yards)

Who has the Edge?

Teams have tried their luck against the Titans' defense on the ground but for the most part, Tennessee has held their own. Houston does have the threat of a mobile quarterback who can make plays with his legs. That will neutralize the Titans a bit. Hyde has been very good after being plucked off the scrap heap right before the season after Miller went down. Houston's offensive line seems to be better at run blocking than pass blocking this season. All things considered though, this one is pretty even.

Advantage: Push

Tennessee Titans Running Offense
vs. Houston Texans Running Defense

Tennessee Titans Running Offense

Tennessee has been solid with the ground game this season as they have been more committed to the run. The Titans have run for more than 100 yards in nine of their games this season with their top two outputs coming in the last month. Tennessee has two other games where they ran for at least 91 yards. The run game been excellent in the last month with at least 150 yards in the last four contests. In two of those games, the Titans have gone over the 200-yard mark: they ran for a season-high 225 yards against the Chiefs in week 10 before the bye and racked up 219 yards against the Jaguars back in week 12. Last week against the Raiders, Tennessee pounded out 161 yards on the ground.

Derrick Henry leads the team with 250 carries for 1,243 yards and 13 scores on the season. Marcus Mariota is third on the team with 24 carries for 129 yards while Dion Lewis (35 carries, 124 yards) and Ryan Tannehill (34 carries, 147 yards, three TD) are next in line. As a team, the Titans have nine running plays that have covered at least 20 yards: Henry has six of them while Tannehill has the other three. Tennessee has moved the chains via the run game a total of 80 times on the year.

Houston Texans Run Defense

Houston struggled in stopping the run game for the opposition to start the season. Things have gotten better for the Texans on that front as the team had shown improvement before getting gashed over the past month. Against the Saints, Houston allowed 148 yards and a seven-yard per carry mark to open the season. The Texans gave up 103 yards and a 4.9 yard per carry average against the Jaguars in week two but hadn’t given up more than 95 yards in any of their seven straight games heading into their game with the Ravens. Houston saw that streak come to an abrupt end as they saw Baltimore run for 256 yards against them in week 11. Over the last month, the Texans have given up at least 100 yards in three of those games. The lone exception came last week as they allowed the Broncos 27 carries for 90 yards.

Linebackers Zach Cunningham (83 solo tackles, two fumble recoveries) leads the team with 119 tackles on the season. Bernardrick McKinney (93 tackles, forced fumble, two fumble recoveries), Justin Reid (66 tackles), Johnathan Joseph (49 tackles) and Whitney Mercilus (42 tackles, four forced fumbles, fumble recovery) are effective when it comes to ruining opposing offensive plays. Mercilus leads the team with 13 tackles for loss while Cunningham contributes nine tackles for loss. As a team, the Texans have recorded 61 tackles for loss, forced 13 fumbles and recovered nine this season. J.J. Watt (24 tackles, four sacks, 6.5 tackles for loss, forced fumble, two fumble recoveries) was lost for the season when he suffered a torn pectoral against the Raiders.

Stats

TEN

  • 6th in run play percentage (46.07 percent)
  • 10th in rushing attempts per game (27.1)
  • 8th in rushing yards per game (128.2)
  • 7th in yards per carry (4.7)
  • Tied for 4th in rushing TD (16)
  • 7th in longest rush (74 yards)

HOU

  • 8th in percentage of run plays against (38.37 percent)
  • 9th in run plays per game against (24.2)
  • 18th in rushing yards allowed per game (109.5)
  • 22nd in opposing yards per carry (4.5)
  • Tied for 4th in rushing TD allowed (seven)
  • 25th in longest rush allowed (69 yards)

Who has the Edge?

Houston has been leaky against the run since Watt went down. Since that point in time, the Texans have given up an average of 148 yards per game on the ground and five yards per carry. Tennessee loves to pound the ball and Henry has been answering the call of late. He's battling a hamstring issue but he says he'll be ready to go for this one. As long as he's in there, you can put this one down as a long day for the Texans' front seven. Tennessee gets the edge.

Advantage: Tennessee Titans

The Passing Game

Houston Texans Passing Offense
vs. Tennessee Titans Passing Defense

Houston Texans Passing Offense

Houston has had to go to the air early and often this season as they were in a wild shootout with the Saints in the opener. The Texans have only three 300-yard passing games this season, highlighted by a season-high 426 yards against the Falcons in week five. Houston has four other games with at least 279 yards through the air this season. In the last month, the Texans have narrowly missed a pair of 300-yard games as they went for 298 yards against the Colts in week 12 and 292 yards against the Broncos last week.

Deshaun Watson has completed 295 of 436 passes for 3,425 yards with 24 touchdowns and nine interceptions this season. He's been sacked 38 times for 225 yards in losses on the year as the offensive line has been inconsistent. AJ McCarron misfired on his lone pass attempt and has been sacked once this season. DeAndre Hopkins leads the team with 93 receptions for 1,023 yards plus seven scores on the year: he is one of two passing for six yards with a touchdown and an interception. Will Fuller V (42 catches, 598 yards, three TD), Kenny Stills (32 grabs, 469 yards, TD) along with tight ends Darren Fells (30 receptions, 312 yards, seven TD) and Jordan Akins (29 catches, 357 yards, two TD) are valuable options as well. The Texans have 41 pass plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season: Hopkins leads the team with 13 such plays while Fuller V adds nine and Stills has eight this season.

Tennessee Titans Passing Defense

Tennessee has been pretty good against the pass this season. The Titans have allowed more than 300 yards through the air five times in their 13 games this season: they have won all five of those contests. Tennessee is looking to tighten up in that department, especially down the stretch with a potential playoff berth at stake. The Titans have given up at least 300 yards in two of their last four games coming into this one. Last week against the Raiders, the Titans allowed 262 yards, which has been their best mark in that four-game stretch. Tennessee has at least one sack in 12 of their 13 games and has at least three sacks in eight of their games this season.

Landry III leads the team with nine sacks on the season. Ryan contributes 3.5 sacks on the year while Kamalei Correa (31 tackles, four tackles for loss, pass defense, fumble recovery) and Jurrell Casey (37 tackles, five tackles for loss, a forced fumble, two fumble recoveries) each have three sacks this season. Cameron Wake (four tackles, 2.5 tackles for loss, 2.5 sacks) was placed on injured reserve last month, ending his season. Ryan leads the team with 17 pass defenses on the season. Malcolm Butler (32 tackles, tackle for loss) has nine pass defenses though he was placed on injured reserve after breaking his wrist against Carolina. Byard has eight pass defenses while Brown has seven and Adoree’ Jackson (45 tackles, three tackles for loss) contributes six. Ryan and Byard each have four interceptions to share the team lead: Butler (TD) has two while Landry III has one this season. As a team, Tennessee has 35 sacks, 59 pass defenses and 11 interceptions with one pick-six on the books.

Stats

HOU

  • 22nd in pass play percentage (57.87 percent)
  • 6th in completion percentage (67.4)
  • 10th in passing yards per game (245.8)
  • Tied for 7th in TD passes (25)
  • Tied for 15th in INT thrown (10)
  • 12th in net yards per pass attempt (7.3)
  • 25th in longest pass play (54 yards)
  • 9th in passer rating (100.3)

TEN

  • 24th in pass play percentage against (61.48 percent)
  • 25th in passing yards per game allowed (260)
  • 21st in completion percentage allowed (64.2)
  • Tied for 16th in TD passes allowed (20)
  • Tied for 10th in INT (11)
  • 14th in sacks (35)
  • 16th in passer rating allowed (90)
  • 17th in net yards per pass attempt (6.7)

Who has the Edge?

Watson has been terrific this season despite the beating he takes on an almost weekly basis. The offensive line has to do a better job sustaining their blocks to avoid him getting crushed. Hopkins is having another Pro Bowl season but the big thing for the Texans is the health of Fuller V. When he's healthy it gives Houston that big receiver that can blow by and take the roof off a defense. Without him, it's a challenge to get the vertical game going. Tennessee has a great secondary that makes plays with regularity and they can collapse the pocket. The slight edge goes to the Titans here.

Advantage: Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans Passing Offense
vs. Houston Texans Passing Defense

Tennessee Titans Passing Offense

Tennessee has found a more effective passing game of late after an inconsistent start to the season. The Titans had just one 300-yard passing game in their first six games this season but after a quarterback switch during the loss to Denver, things have started to click a bit. Tennessee has gone over the 300-yard mark in three of their last seven games. The Titans threw for 323 yards against the Chargers in week seven and followed that up with 331 yards against the Panthers in week nine. Against the Chiefs in week 10, Tennessee threw for 181 yards but the ground game did its job: the Titans threw only 19 passes. Last week Oakland, the Titans racked up a season-high 391 yards through the air in the victory.

Ryan Tannehill is 149 of 203 passing for 1,993 yards with 15 touchdowns and five interceptions on the year. He has been sacked 24 times for 178 yards in losses on the year. Marcus Mariota is 94 of 159 for 1,179 yards with seven touchdowns and two interceptions on the season: he’s been sacked 25 times for a loss of 162 yards. Punter Brett Kern completed his lone pass for 11 yards. Adam Humphries is second on the team with 37 receptions for 374 yards plus two scores on the season. Corey Davis (33 catches, 460 yards, two TD), A.J. Brown (team-high 39 receptions, 779 yards, six TD), Delanie Walker (21 grabs, 215 yards, two TD) and Jonnu Smith (27 catches, 316 yards, two TD) are solid secondary options. The Titans have 47 pass plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season: Brown has 10 such plays while Davis adds eight and Smith six this season.

Houston Texans Passing Defense

Houston has been hammered by the passing game all season long as they have allowed more than 300 yards through the air seven times. It hasn’t mattered if it’s a potential Hall of Famer (Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Philip Rivers, Matt Ryan), a middle of the road type of guy (Jacoby Brissett) or a rookie (Gardner Minshew II, Drew Lock) under center. They’ve all sliced up the Houston secondary for more than 300 yards this season. For good measure, David Carr threw for 285 yards and Patrick Mahomes had 273 yards against the Texans. The Texans have allowed more than 300 yards through the air in each of their last two games, including allowing Denver to go for 309 yards last week.

Mercilus has stepped right in for the departed Jadeveon Clowney as he leads the team with 5.5 sacks on the year. Brennan Scarlett (38 tackles, 3.5 tackles for loss, two forced fumbles) and Jacob Martin (11 tackles, forced fumble) each contribute 3.5 sacks on the season. Watt had four sacks before going down with his injury while nose tackle D.J. Reader (46 tackles, six tackles for loss) has 2.5 on the year. Joseph has 11 pass defenses to lead the team while Taushaun Gipson Sr. (40 tackles, two tackles for loss) contributes eight on the year. Gipson Sr. (TD) leads the team with three interceptions while Jahleel Addae (36 tackles, two pass defenses), Bradley Roby (31 tackles, sack, two tackles for loss, five pass defenses, forced fumble), Reid and Mercilus have the other picks for the Texans’ defense. Houston has recorded 26 sacks, 57 pass defenses and seven interceptions (one pick-six) as a team this season.

Stats

TEN

  • 27th in pass play percentage (53.93 percent)
  • 7th in completion percentage (67.2)
  • 21st in passing yards per game (218.7)
  • Tied for 13th in TD passes (22)
  • Tied for 6th in INT thrown (seven)
  • 4th in net yards per pass attempt (7.8)
  • 3rd in longest pass play (91 yards)
  • 4th in passer rating (106.8)

HOU

  • 25th in pass play percentage against (61.63 percent)
  • 27th in passing yards per game allowed (265.8)
  • 26th in completion percentage allowed (65.4)
  • 28th in TD passes allowed (28)
  • Tied for 28th in INT (seven)
  • 27th in sacks (26)
  • 29th in passer rating allowed (101.7)
  • 23rd in net yards per pass attempt (7.2)

Who has the Edge?

Houston's pass defense has been porous and that's not a good sign for a team battling for their division lead. The Texans were just torched by Lock in his second NFL start last week and now has to face Tannehill here. He's been one of the hottest QBs in the league since taking the starting job from Mariota and just sliced up the Oakland secondary. Tennessee is in a win-win situation because if the Texans try to stop the pass, Henry can do damage on the ground. If they load up in the box to stop Henry, Tannehill can pick them apart. Tennessee has the upper hand.

Advantage: Tennessee Titans

Intangibles

Houston Texans

Houston is 11th in the league in scoring offense with 24.4 points per game on the year. The Texans are 9th in the league in total offense with 376 yards per game and 7th by averaging 5.9 yards per play. Houston is 20th in the league in scoring defense by giving up 23.8 points per contest. The Texans are 25th by allowing 375.3 yards per game and stand 27th in yards per play as they give up 5.9 yards per play. Houston is in the middle of the pack in the takeaway/giveaway department as they rank 17th with a -1 margin in that category.

The Texans are excellent in the red zone as they are 5th in the league by converting a terrific 66.67 percent of their chances on the year. Houston is 31st in the league as they have allowed 67.5 percent of their opponents' trips into the red zone to end in touchdowns. The Texans are a solid 4th in third-down conversions by converting 45.86 percent of their opportunities this season. Houston is a dismal 32nd in third-down defense as opponents convert at a 48.48 percent rate on those plays. The Texans are 16th in the league in time of possession by holding the ball for 49.76 percent of the time this season.

Ka'imi Fairbairn is 33 of 38 on extra point tries this season and 16 of 21 on field goals with a long of 54. Trevor Daniel punted 11 times for a 43.5-yard average (40.9-yard net) with two punts inside the opponent's 20-yard line but was cut on September 17. Bryan Anger has punted 31 times for a 45.8-yard average (43.8-yard net) with 15 of his kicks inside the opponent's 20-yard line and two touchbacks. DeAndre Carter has averaged 21.2 yards on 12 kick returns with a long of 28 along with 19 punt returns for a 9.4-yard average with a long of 23.

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee is 10th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 24.5 points per game on the season. The Titans are 18th in the league in total offense with 346.8 yards per game and stand 8th in yards per play with 5.9 yards per snap. Tennessee is ninth in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 19.6 points per contest. The Titans are 19th in total defense as they allow 361.6 yards per game and stand 17th as they give up 5.5 yards per play. Tennessee is tied for 9th in the takeaway/giveaway department as they are a +5 on the season.

The Titans are 1st in red zone success as they have cashed in 72.97 percent of their drives that got inside the opposition’s 20-yard line into touchdowns. Tennessee is just 30th in red zone defense as they hold opposing teams to a 64.86 percent success rate as far as scoring touchdowns goes. The Titans are a mediocre 19th in the league in third down conversions as they have converted 36.84 percent of their situations this season. Tennessee is near the top of the pack in getting off the field as opposing teams have converted 36.47 percent of their third downs, which is 12th in the league. On the season, Tennessee is 28th in the league in time of possession as they hold the ball 47.47 percent of the time.

Cairo Santos hit all 12 extra-point attempts but was four of nine on field goals with a long of 53: he was cut after missing four field goal tries against the Bills. Cody Parkey was five of six on extra points and hit all three field goal attempts with a long of 51. Ryan Succop has hit 21 of 22 extra-point tries but is one for five on field goals with a long of 31 this year. Punter Brett Kern has boomed the ball, averaging 47.5 yards on his 64 punts with a 43.4-yard net average. He has placed 33 punts inside the opponent’s 20-yard line with only two touchbacks.

Kalif Raymond has averaged 24.1 yards on his 11 kick returns this season with a long of 45 while Darrius Jennings averages 21 yards on seven kick returns with a long of 26. Humphries averages 6.5 yards on 12 punt returns with a long of 14 while Adoree’ Jackson averages 8.7 yards on three returns with a long of 21. Dane Cruikshank blocked an extra point against the Panthers in week nine and a field goal against the Colts in week 13. Austin Johnson had a blocked field goal try against Indianapolis in week 13 while Joshua Kalu blocked a potential game-tying field goal as time expired against the Chiefs in week 10.

Who has the Edge?

Both teams have been elite in the red zone this season with the Titans leading the league in red zone success rate. Tennessee has just completely turned things around since Tannehill came into the mix. The fewest points the Titans have scored since he took the starting job is 20 in a 10-point loss to Carolina. Tennessee had scored a total of 55 points in Mariota's last five starts. Houston is going to have to figure some things out. They have an edge in the kicking game but the Titans are experts at erasing kicks. The Texans are going to have to find a way to make things work. This one is pretty even thanks to the Titans' ability to change the game in special teams.

Advantage: Push

Final Outlook

Houston's inconsistency as a team was showcased in their last two games. After a big win on Sunday night over New England at home, the Texans rolled over and played dead against the Broncos. A rookie QB making his second NFL start made the Houston defense look foolish all day long and the Texans surrendered 38 points to a Denver team that hadn't scored more than 24 all season long. Tennessee has been on fire to push themselves into this first-place tie in the AFC South and there hasn't been much slowing them down over the last couple of months.

According to Covers.com, the Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last four overall, 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC opponents. Houston has gone 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC South foes. Tennessee is rolling right now and until someone slows them down, you have to give them the edge, especially at home.

Prediction: Tennessee Titans -3

Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com

Additional Insiders' Best Bets

Full-game Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

One thing we've seen of late is that the Titans can put up some points. Tennessee has put up at least 27 points in five of their seven games with Tannehill starting under center. The Titans have piled up at least 31 in each of their last four games, including a pair of contests with 42 on the board. Houston can score as well. We've seen them hang at least 27 points six times, including 53 on Atlanta and 31 on Kansas City. Should we expect more of the same in this one?

The over is 4-1 in Houston's last five in December, 7-2 in their last 9 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 8-3 in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Tennessee has seen the over go 7-0 in their last seven overall, 5-0 in their last five after a straight up win and 4-0 in their last four after an ATS win. With the way the Titans are clicking and what we saw defensively from the Texans last week, this one goes over the mark.

Prediction: Over 51

Half-time Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Tennessee is more of a second half team when it comes to putting points on the board. The Titans enter this game tied for 26th in the league in first half scoring offense with 9.1 ppg this season. Tennessee has a -1.8 ppg scoring differential in the opening half and it's slightly better at -1.2 ppg at home. Houston is tied for 23rd in first half scoring offense with 9.5 ppg and owns a -2.5 ppg scoring differential at the half this year. Give the Titans the upper hand as they've been better about putting points on the board early in recent weeks.

Prediction: Tennessee Titans -2.5

Half-time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Tennessee, for their offensive struggles early in games, have held their own defensively in the first half this season. The Titans are tied for 15th in first half scoring defense by allowing 10.9 ppg this season. That puts Tennessee's normal first half at 20 ppg this year. Houston is 17th in that category as they allow 12 ppg in the opening half on the year. Their average first half sees 21.5 ppg this season. While the potential for a shootout exists (as one saw for both teams last week), this one has the makings of starting off a little slow as the teams feel each other out before piling it on in a shootout in the second half. Take the under here.

Prediction: Under 24
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.