Chicago Bears (4-9; 6-6-1 ATS; 4-9 O/U) vs. Detroit Lions (7-6; 6-6-1 ATS; 9-4 O/U)
The Detroit Lions will target their second straight win when they host the Chicago Bears in an NFC North battle late Saturday afternoon from Ford Field. The Bears are coming off a 33-7 road win over the Bengals, and Lions edged the Buccaneers by a 24-21 score last week. The Lions notched a 27-24 road win over the Bears last month. Trubisky tallied 179 passing yards with one TD in the loss, while Stafford recorded 299 passing yards with two TD’s for the Lions.
Bears Score Season-High 33 Points in Win Over Bengals
The Chicago Bears will head into this one with some momentum after crushing the Bengals by a 33-7 score on the road last week. Mitchell Trubisky came through with his best game of the season, connecting on 25 of 32 passes for 271 yards with one touchdown against zero interceptions. Overall, the rookie quarterback is not having a productive season, however, he does not have a strong receiving core at his disposal. Trubisky has collected 1508 passing yards with a 6:4 TD to INT ratio on the year. Bears’ leading rusher Jordan Howard had a big game last week, rushing for a season-high 147 yards on 23 carries. The 23-year old running back is having a terrific season, rushing for over 100 yards five times this season, and has accumulated 1032 rushing yards. Kendall Wright also put up big numbers in the win last week, making 10 grabs for 197 yards. The 28-year old wide receiver has now recorded 477 receiving yards on the season. The Bears offense has been stagnant most of the season, however, they do own the seventh-ranked running game.
The Bears played outstanding defense in Cincinnati last week, limiting them to 234 total yards and only 14 first downs. The Bears are a solid defensive team and have been especially effective against the pass. Chicago snapped a five-game skid in the win last week and remain in last place in the NFC North.
Stafford Leads Lions Past Buccaneers
The Detroit Lions kept their faint playoff hopes alive in their 24-21 road win over the Buccaneers last weekend. Matt Stafford was playing with a bruised hand and was spectacular, completing 36 of 44 passes for 381 yards with one touchdown, however, he did toss two picks. The 29-year old quarterback is having a strong season, ranking third in the NFL with 3683 passing yards with a 23:9 TD to INT ratio. Lions’ tight end Eric Ebron had his best game of the season last week, bringing in 10 grabs for 94 yards. The 24-year old tight end has registered a total of 449 receiving yards on the year. Marvin Jones continued his productive play with 64 receiving yards last week, and leads the Lions with 885 receiving yards on the season. The Lions poor running game struggled again last week, rushing for only 53 yards with Theo Riddick leading the way with 29 yards. The Lions offense relies heavily on their passing game, and they now feature the fourth-ranked passing game in the NFL.
The Lions defense did allow 400 total yards last week to the Bucs, however, they did force five turnovers, including two interceptions. Their pass defense is struggling this season with the exception of their top corner Darius Slay. Detroit snapped a two game skid in the win last week, and they will need to win their final three games and hope for others to lose to even have a shot at the Wildcard.
The Chicago Bears are:
- 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against NFC opponents.
- 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games.
The Detroit Lions are:
- 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record.
I am taking the Lions in this matchup. Matt Stafford accumulated 381 passing yards last week, and he was able to throw for 299 yards with two passing TD’s against Chicago last month, and I expect him to have another strong performance in this matchup. Furthermore, while the Bears were productive last week, they are not a strong offensive team and they have scored 17 or fewer points in five out of their last seven games. The Lions still have a slim chance at a playoff spot and I expect them to record a decisive win.
Pick: Detroit Lions
The Lions potent passing game should have no problem scoring points at home, and the Bears scored 33 points last week, and their strong running game should do some damage. Stafford had a big game against the Bears in week ten, and he should have another strong performance this week, plus the over is 5-1 in the Lions last six games overall. The Bears should also have success against the Lions 28th ranked total defense, and the over is 5-1 in their last six divisional games.