New York Jets (5-8; 7-5-1 ATS; 7-6 O/U) vs. New Orleans Saints (9-4; 8-5 ATS; 7-6 O/U)
The New Orleans Saints will continue their chase for the divisional crown when they host the New York Jets in a week 15 battle Sunday afternoon from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Jets were blanked 23-0 by the Broncos last week, and the Saints are coming off a 20-17 road loss to the Falcons. This marks the first meeting between these two teams since the 2013 season in a contest the Jets won by a 26-20 score.
McCown Injured in Blowout Loss to Broncos
The New York Jets were completely stifled by the Broncos defense in their rough 23-0 road loss last week. The Jets only managed 100 total yards. Josh McCown threw for 46 yards before injuring his hand. The veteran quarterback is out for the remainder of the season. Bryce Petty came in for McCown last week and only completed 2 of 9 passes for 14 yards. The 26-year old QB has not seen any action this season, and owns a 3:7 TD to INT ratio in six career games. Jets’ leading receiver Robby Anderson only made three catches for 27 yards in the loss last week. Overall the 24-year old wide receiver has been a bright spot this season, racking up 848 receiving yards with seven touchdowns. Bilal Powell rushed for 35 yards on 13 carries in the loss in Denver, and has collected 537 yards on the season. The Jets did score a combined 65 points in their prior two games heading into the game against the Broncos, however it will be tough for them to move the ball with Bryce Petty at QB.
The Jets defense did limit Denver to only 273 total yards last week along with a 1 for 4 mark from the red zone. They are having trouble against the run, allowing an average of 117 rushing yards per game, and they are below average against the pass. New York has lost three out of their last four games and will have a tough time winning another game this season.
Saints Fall To Falcons
The New Orleans Saints were outscored 10-0 in the fourth quarter in their 20-17 road loss to division rival Atlanta last Thursday night. Drew Brees played well, completing 26 of 35 passes for 271 yards with two touchdowns against one interception. The 38-year old quarterback is having another productive season, accumulating 3569 passing yards with a 19:6 TD to INT ratio. The Saints running game only managed 50 yards on 15 carries in the loss to Atlanta with Mark Ingram leading the pack with 49 yards on 12 carries. The seventh-year running back is having an outstanding season, recording 971 yards on the year, and is averaging 5.1 yards per carry. Alvin Kamara exited last week’s game with a head injury and is probable for this one. Saints’ leading receiver Michael Thomas had a big night in the loss to Atlanta, bringing in ten catches for 117 yards. The 24-year old wide receiver is having a huge season, racking up 992 receiving yards. The Saints offense had their lowest offensive output of the season in last week’s loss, but still rank in the top five in the NFL in most offensive categories.
The Saints defense had some trouble against the run last week, allowing 132 rushing yards and 343 total yards. Overall, they are playing solid defense, and have been especially effective against the pass. New Orleans has lost two out of their last three games, and are tied for first place in the NFC South with the Panthers, however they do have the tiebreaker over the Panthers.
The New York Jets are:
- 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record.
- 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their previous game.
The New Orleans Saints are:
- 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record.
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
I am taking the Saints in this matchup. The Jets defense has struggled as of late, allowing an average of 29.6 points in their last three games, and they will be up against the Saints powerhouse offense. Drew Brees and the Saints fourth-ranked passing game should have a big game in the air, and the Saints running game will also give the Jets more than they can handle. In addition, the Jets will likely be going with the inexperienced Bryce Petty at quarterback. He possesses a poor 3:7 career TD to INT ratio, and he will be facing a strong Saints secondary. New Orleans should take this one in a blowout.
Pick: New Orleans Saints
The Saints should score big points however the same cannot be said for the Jets. The Saints offense will have a big day offensively, however the Jets offense will struggle with Bryce Petty at quarterback, and their running game is below average, plus the under is 5-1 in the Jets last six road games against a team with a winning home record. This is a high total and I expect the Saints defense to easily limit the Jets, and the under is 4-0 in the Saints last four games against a team with a losing road record.