Upcoming Free Picks

New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers,
12-17-2017 - Prediction & Preview

This is a past game! View all upcoming NFL games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#325 New England
Patriots
#326 Pittsburgh
Steelers

Sunday, December 17, 2017 at 4:25pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Betting Trends

All NFL

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NFL.

New England Patriots (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS, 6-7 O/U) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (11-2 SU, 6-7 ATS, 5-8 O/U)

NFL: Sunday, December 17, 2017 at 4:25 p.m. EST

The Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots will be battling for the No. 1 position in the AFC when they collide at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh on Sunday afternoon. New England is one game back at 10-3 following Monday’s loss at Miami, but it would snag the head-to-head tiebreaker with a victory in this one. The Steelers extended their winning streak to eight games when they survived a thriller against Baltimore last weekend.

A bad night

The Patriots have not lost back-to-back games since Week 12 and Week 13 of the 2015 campaign. They will be trying to avoid that fate on the heels of a surprising 27-20 setback against the Dolphins on Monday night. New England was an unbelievably bad 0-for-11 on third downs as its offense an anemic 248 total yards–223 through the air and a hopeless 25 on the ground. Quarterback Tom Brady completed just 24 of his 43 attempts for 233 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. The Patriots ran the ball a mere 10 times, five by Dion Lewis and five for Rex Burkhead.

“It was a bad night,” Brady assessed. “We’ve had a lot of good nights this year. This was a bad night.”

“We got beat in all three areas of the game,” admitted head coach Bill Belichick, whose press conference predictably consisted of mostly one-word answers and no responses of more than one complete sentence.

The game everyone’s been waiting to see

The Steelers surged into sole possession of first place in the AFC thanks to their 39-38 Sunday night win over Baltimore combined with New England’s unexpected loss to Miami. They can clinch home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win this weekend. It is a rematch of last season’s AFC Championship and potential preview of this season’s AFC title tilt. In January of 2017, the Patriots took care of business at home and stomped Pittsburgh 36-17. In that contest, the Steelers allowed 431 yards of total offense as Brady went an awesome 32-for-42 with 384 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions.

“This is the game everyone’s been waiting to see,” safety Mike Mitchell said. “Obviously it’s got a lot of history to it. I’ve been thinking about this game since we lost it last year. Very much look forward to playing them…. Obviously Tom Brady is the GOAT. I tip my hat to him. He is the GOAT. For us to be the champ, we have to beat the champ. I feel like we [have been able to] beat everyone in the NFL but the Patriots. That’s what it’s been. And now we need to knock them off and prove it to ourselves that we know we can do it, and do it.”

NFL Trends:

The New England Patriots are:

  • 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 overall
  • 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games
  • 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with winning records

The Pittsburgh Steelers are:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last five overall
  • 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win
  • 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against New England

The Patriots have to like their chances of getting back on track. They generally rise to the occasion when it matters most, and regular-season games do not get much bigger than this one. In addition to the fact that New England almost never loses to in a row, it also gets tight Rob Gronkowski back on the field. Gronkowski missed the loss to Miami because of a one-game suspension. The Patriots are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 overall, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 on the road, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against winning opponents, 8-1 ATS in their last nine on the road against opponents with winning home records, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 on grass, and 20-9 ATS in their last 29 against the AFC. Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last five overall, 1-4 ATS in its last five following a win, 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings between the two teams and 1-4 ATS in their last five at home against New England. Expect those trends to continue.

Pick: New England Patriots -3

Brady and the Patriots have never had any trouble against Pittsburgh. He went off against the Steelers in the AFC Championship and there is no reason to think anything will be different this time around. After all, Pitt just gave up 38 points to a Baltimore team that is not exactly an offensive juggernaut. On the bright side, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and company are averaging 33.3 points over their last four outings. The over is 7-1 in the Patriots’ last eight when they play on a Sunday following a Monday night game. It is also 4-0 in the Steelers’ last four overall, 4-0 ATS in their last four at home, 4-1 ATS in their last five against the AFC, 4-0 ATS in their last four on grass, 4-0 ATS in their last four, and 4-1 ATS in their last five in December. Additionally, the over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between the two teams and 5-2 ATS in New England’s seven trips to Pittsburgh. following a win, Look for this one to go over the total.

Over 54

4

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Monday, Sep 24
NFL
#489 Pittsburgh Steelers -1
#490 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 51
8:15pm
View Pick
#489 Pittsburgh Steelers -1
#490 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 51
8:15pm
View Pick
MLB
#901 Miami Marlins 8
#902 Washington Nationals -275
7:05pm
View Pick
#913 Houston Astros -190
#914 Toronto Blue Jays 9
7:05pm
View Pick
#915 New York Yankees
#916 Tampa Bay Rays
7:10pm
View Pick
#917 Baltimore Orioles 9.5
#918 Boston Red Sox -245
7:10pm
View Pick
#903 Pittsburgh Pirates
#904 Chicago Cubs
8:05pm
View Pick
#919 Cleveland Indians -250
#920 Chicago White Sox 8.5
8:10pm
View Pick
#905 Milwaukee Brewers 8
#906 St. Louis Cardinals -135
8:15pm
View Pick
#907 Philadelphia Phillies 11
#908 Colorado Rockies -160
8:40pm
View Pick
#909 Los Angeles Dodgers -175
#910 Arizona Diamondbacks 7
9:40pm
View Pick
#921 Texas Rangers 9
#922 Los Angeles Angels -170
10:05pm
View Pick
#923 Oakland Athletics 8
#924 Seattle Mariners -145
10:10pm
View Pick
#911 San Diego Padres 7.5
#912 San Francisco Giants -130
10:15pm
View Pick
Thursday, Sep 27
NCAAF
#103 North Carolina
#104 Miami - FL
8:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Sep 28
NCAAF
#105 Memphis
#106 Tulane
8:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Sep 29
NCAAF
#123 Bowling Green
#124 Georgia Tech
12:00pm
View Pick
#129 Syracuse
#130 Clemson
12:00pm
View Pick
#145 Indiana
#146 Rutgers
12:00pm
View Pick
#173 UL Lafayette
#174 Alabama
12:00pm
View Pick
#211 Arkansas
#212 Texas A&M
12:00pm
View Pick
#143 Virginia
#144 NC State
12:20pm
View Pick
#121 ODU
#122 East Carolina
3:30pm
View Pick
#165 Tennessee
#166 Georgia
3:30pm
View Pick
#175 Baylor
#176 Oklahoma
3:30pm
View Pick
#147 Nevada
#148 Air Force
4:00pm
View Pick
#169 Southern Miss
#170 Auburn
4:00pm
View Pick
#133 Virginia Tech
#134 Duke
7:00pm
View Pick
#141 South Carolina
#142 Kentucky
7:30pm
View Pick
#161 Ohio State
#162 Penn State
7:30pm
View Pick
#195 Ole Miss
#196 LSU
9:00pm
View Pick