Upcoming Free Picks

New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers,
12-17-2017 - Prediction & Preview

This is a past game! View all upcoming NFL games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#325 New England
Patriots
#326 Pittsburgh
Steelers

Sunday, December 17, 2017 at 4:25pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Betting Trends

All NFL

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NFL.

New England Patriots (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS, 6-7 O/U) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (11-2 SU, 6-7 ATS, 5-8 O/U)

NFL: Sunday, December 17, 2017 at 4:25 p.m. EST

The Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots will be battling for the No. 1 position in the AFC when they collide at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh on Sunday afternoon. New England is one game back at 10-3 following Monday’s loss at Miami, but it would snag the head-to-head tiebreaker with a victory in this one. The Steelers extended their winning streak to eight games when they survived a thriller against Baltimore last weekend.

A bad night

The Patriots have not lost back-to-back games since Week 12 and Week 13 of the 2015 campaign. They will be trying to avoid that fate on the heels of a surprising 27-20 setback against the Dolphins on Monday night. New England was an unbelievably bad 0-for-11 on third downs as its offense an anemic 248 total yards–223 through the air and a hopeless 25 on the ground. Quarterback Tom Brady completed just 24 of his 43 attempts for 233 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. The Patriots ran the ball a mere 10 times, five by Dion Lewis and five for Rex Burkhead.

“It was a bad night,” Brady assessed. “We’ve had a lot of good nights this year. This was a bad night.”

“We got beat in all three areas of the game,” admitted head coach Bill Belichick, whose press conference predictably consisted of mostly one-word answers and no responses of more than one complete sentence.

The game everyone’s been waiting to see

The Steelers surged into sole possession of first place in the AFC thanks to their 39-38 Sunday night win over Baltimore combined with New England’s unexpected loss to Miami. They can clinch home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win this weekend. It is a rematch of last season’s AFC Championship and potential preview of this season’s AFC title tilt. In January of 2017, the Patriots took care of business at home and stomped Pittsburgh 36-17. In that contest, the Steelers allowed 431 yards of total offense as Brady went an awesome 32-for-42 with 384 yards, three touchdowns, and no interceptions.

“This is the game everyone’s been waiting to see,” safety Mike Mitchell said. “Obviously it’s got a lot of history to it. I’ve been thinking about this game since we lost it last year. Very much look forward to playing them…. Obviously Tom Brady is the GOAT. I tip my hat to him. He is the GOAT. For us to be the champ, we have to beat the champ. I feel like we [have been able to] beat everyone in the NFL but the Patriots. That’s what it’s been. And now we need to knock them off and prove it to ourselves that we know we can do it, and do it.”

NFL Trends:

The New England Patriots are:

  • 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 overall
  • 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games
  • 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with winning records

The Pittsburgh Steelers are:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last five overall
  • 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win
  • 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against New England

The Patriots have to like their chances of getting back on track. They generally rise to the occasion when it matters most, and regular-season games do not get much bigger than this one. In addition to the fact that New England almost never loses to in a row, it also gets tight Rob Gronkowski back on the field. Gronkowski missed the loss to Miami because of a one-game suspension. The Patriots are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 overall, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 on the road, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against winning opponents, 8-1 ATS in their last nine on the road against opponents with winning home records, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 on grass, and 20-9 ATS in their last 29 against the AFC. Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last five overall, 1-4 ATS in its last five following a win, 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings between the two teams and 1-4 ATS in their last five at home against New England. Expect those trends to continue.

Pick: New England Patriots -3

Brady and the Patriots have never had any trouble against Pittsburgh. He went off against the Steelers in the AFC Championship and there is no reason to think anything will be different this time around. After all, Pitt just gave up 38 points to a Baltimore team that is not exactly an offensive juggernaut. On the bright side, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and company are averaging 33.3 points over their last four outings. The over is 7-1 in the Patriots’ last eight when they play on a Sunday following a Monday night game. It is also 4-0 in the Steelers’ last four overall, 4-0 ATS in their last four at home, 4-1 ATS in their last five against the AFC, 4-0 ATS in their last four on grass, 4-0 ATS in their last four, and 4-1 ATS in their last five in December. Additionally, the over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between the two teams and 5-2 ATS in New England’s seven trips to Pittsburgh. following a win, Look for this one to go over the total.

Over 54

4

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Wednesday, Dec 19
NCAAF
#213 Ohio U -2.5
#214 San Diego State 55
8:00pm
View Pick
NBA
#553 New York Knicks
#554 Philadelphia 76ers
7:05pm
View Pick
#555 San Antonio Spurs -1
#556 Orlando Magic 207
7:05pm
View Pick
#557 Cleveland Cavaliers 220
#558 Charlotte Hornets -12
7:05pm
View Pick
#559 Phoenix Suns 220
#560 Boston Celtics -12
7:35pm
View Pick
#561 Indiana Pacers
#562 Toronto Raptors
7:35pm
View Pick
#563 Detroit Pistons 220
#564 Minnesota Timberwolves -5
8:05pm
View Pick
#565 Washington Wizards 224.5
#566 Houston Rockets -11
8:05pm
View Pick
#567 Brooklyn Nets -2
#568 Chicago Bulls 215.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#571 Golden State Warriors -3
#572 Utah Jazz 218
9:05pm
View Pick
#573 Memphis Grizzlies
#574 Portland Trailblazers
10:05pm
View Pick
#575 Oklahoma City Thunder -4
#576 Sacramento Kings 236.5
10:05pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#701 Auburn 157
#702 NC State -2
7:00pm
View Pick
#703 Western Michigan 139.5
#704 Dayton -13
7:00pm
View Pick
#705 UNCW 159
#706 Georgia State -12
7:00pm
View Pick
#707 Penn State -6.5
#708 Duquesne 137
7:00pm
View Pick
#709 Virginia -9
#710 South Carolina 134
7:00pm
View Pick
#711 Cal Irvine -4
#712 Eastern Michigan 130
7:00pm
View Pick
#713 Cornell
#714 Toledo
7:00pm
View Pick
#715 ODU -6.5
#716 Richmond 130
7:00pm
View Pick
#717 Arkansas - Little Rock
#718 Memphis
8:00pm
View Pick
#719 Southern Miss
#720 Kansas State
8:00pm
View Pick
#721 Valaparaiso 143
#722 Texas A&M -10.5
8:30pm
View Pick
#723 Georgia Tech 145
#724 Arkansas -8.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#725 UCLA 135
#726 Cincinnati -8
9:00pm
View Pick
#727 California 143.5
#728 Fresno State -10.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#729 Boise State 126
#730 Loyola Marymount -5
10:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#83 Pittsburgh 7
#84 Washington -140
8:05pm
View Pick
#85 Montreal 6
#86 Colorado -155
8:35pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 20
NCAAF
#215 Marshall -3
#216 USF 54.5
8:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 21
NCAAF
#217 FIU 66.5
#218 Toledo -6
12:30pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 22
NCAAF
#221 Wake Forest 73
#222 Memphis -3
12:00pm
View Pick
#223 Houston 67.5
#224 Army -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#225 Buffalo -2.5
#226 Troy 53.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#227 Louisiana Tech 58.5
#228 Hawaii -1
10:30pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Dec 26
NCAAF
#229 Boston College 55
#230 Boise State -2.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#231 Minnesota 61
#232 Georgia Tech -4.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#233 TCU 41
#234 California -1
9:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 27
NCAAF
#235 Duke 56.5
#236 Temple -4
1:30pm
View Pick
#237 Miami - FL -3.5
#238 Wisconsin 47
5:15pm
View Pick
#239 Vanderbilt -4.5
#240 Baylor 55
9:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 28
NCAAF
#241 Auburn -3.5
#242 Purdue 54.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#243 Syracuse 74
#244 West Virginia -1.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#247 Iowa State 54.5
#248 Washington State -3.5
9:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 29
NCAAF
#249 Florida 50.5
#250 Michigan -7.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#251 South Carolina -5.5
#252 Virginia 55
12:00pm
View Pick
#245 Arkansas State -2
#246 Nevada 58.5
1:15pm
View Pick
#255 Notre Dame 56
#256 Clemson -13.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#253 Oklahoma 79
#254 Alabama -14
8:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 31
NCAAF
#257 Virginia Tech 53.5
#258 Cincinnati -5.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#259 Pittsburgh 52
#260 Stanford -6
2:00pm
View Pick
#261 Michigan State 48
#262 Oregon -3
3:00pm
View Pick
#263 Missouri -7.5
#264 Oklahoma State 71
3:45pm
View Pick
#265 Northwestern 45
#266 Utah -7
7:00pm
View Pick
#267 NC State 58.5
#268 Texas A&M -6.5
7:30pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Jan 1
NCAAF
#269 Iowa 44.5
#270 Mississippi St -7
12:00pm
View Pick
#273 LSU -7.5
#274 UCF 54.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#271 Kentucky 48
#272 Penn State -7
1:00pm
View Pick
#275 Washington 58.5
#276 Ohio State -6.5
5:00pm
View Pick
#277 Texas 58
#278 Georgia -13.5
8:45pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 24
NFL
#131 Denver Broncos -2.5
#132 Oakland Raiders 45
8:15pm
View Pick