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In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds

Vikings vs. Seahawks Prediction

Monday, December 2, 2019 at 8:15pm EST
CenturyLink Field, Seattle

This article covers a past game!

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In-depth Coverage

This is an in-depth analysis of this game, covering every possible detail and angle. Use the table of contents to navigate between each section, or just jump on in!

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Table of Contents

Last Updated: Monday, December 2, 2019 at 1:38pm EST

Introduction

Monday Night Football and we will see the NFC North grapple with the NFC West as the Minnesota Vikings pay a visit to CenturyLink Field in Seattle Washington, to rumble with the Seattle Seahawks. These teams last met in regulation last year and the Seahawks won that game at home by a score of 21-7.

Minnesota Vikings Review

The Minnesota Vikings have been playing very well of late and they just had their bye week, so they should be fresh for the final run. Minnesota enters this game having won their last two games in a row and six of their last seven to move to 8-3 on the year and into a first-place tie with the Green Bay Packers in the NFC North. If the playoffs ended today then the Packers would have the tiebreaker thanks to a win over the Vikes back in weak two. Minnesota still has a home game against the Packers in week 16 so the division is far from being decided at this point.

In their last game, the Vikings took out Denver by a score of 27-23 at home. The defense had been strong for much of the year but the Vikings have allowed 23 points or more in each of their last three games after doing so just once in their first eight games. The Vikings are hoping the defense got the rest they needed but now they have to face a very good quarterback in Russell Wilson. Can the Vikings contain the Seattle QB enough to pull out a huge road win on Monday night?

Seattle Seahawks Review

The Seattle Seahawks continue to have a solid season as they are at 9-2 on the year overall and one game behind the San Francisco 49ers for first place in the NFC West. The Seahawks do have a road win over the Niners and the teams will meet in Seattle in week 17. That game could be for the top seed in the NFC or ar the very least it should be for all the Marbles in the NFC West. The Seahawks have had their issues on defense this year as they are 24th in total yards allowed while ranking 21st in points allowed, giving up 23.9 ppg. On offense, they have been very good, ranking 5th in yards and 6th in scoring, putting up 26.5 ppg.

While the Vikings took last week off, the Seahawks were playing in Philadelphia. They won that game by a score of 17-9 and it was their 4th win in a row. The defense played well in that game, but the offense scored just 17 points. It was only the 2nd time in their last ten games that the Seahawks failed to score more than 27 points in a game. They will take on a struggling Minnesota defense in this one. Can the Seahawks get their offense back on track and grab a huge home win over one of the best teams in the NFC. You'll have to check back to find out.

The Running Game

Minnesota Vikings Running Offense
vs. Seattle Seahawks Running Defense

Minnesota Vikings Running Offense

The Minnesota Vikings threw the ball all over the planet last year and it led to their offense being very inconsistent. Part of the reason for that was the loss of RB Dalvin Cook for five games through the middle of the season.  This year, he is healthy and has been tearing up the turf. Cook enters this game at 3rd in the league in rushing with 1017 yards after posting a total of 969 yards through his first two years. He has 11 TDs on the year which is 5th in the league. 

Cook has led the Vikings to the 4th ranked ground attack in the league and he will be facing a Seattle defense that comes in ranked 10th against the run. It will not be an easy task for him in this one. Alexander Mattison has made some big plays for the Vikings this year and he is 2nd on the team with 394 yards whileKirk Cousins is 3rd with 50.     

Seattle Seahawks Run Defense

The Seattle run defense has been solid this year as they enter the game at 10th in the league. Seattle did a nice job last year in holding Cook to just 55 yards while holding the Vikings a team to just 77 yards rushing. It will not be that easy this year as Cook has been having a great year and the Minnesota offensive line has been better than the one they had a year ago. 

The Seahawks have allowed just 100.4 ypg on the ground at home but the Vikings have averaged a solid 144 ypg on the ground on the road. It has been a different story in the last three games overall for both teams as Minny has averaged just 95.3 ypg on the ground over that stretch while the Seahawks have allowed 97.3 ypg in those games. It should be interesting to see if those numbers hold up. 

Stats

Minnesota’s Rushing Stats

  • 4th in rushing attempts per game (31.3)
  • 4th in rushing yards per game (142.5)
  • 10th in yards per attempt (4.6)
  • 4th in rushing first downs per game (7.5)

Seattle’s Run Defense Stats

  • 4th in run plays per game against (22.4)
  • 10th in rushing yards allowed per game (101.5)
  • 22nd in opposing yards per attempt (4.5)
  • 8th in rushing first downs per game against (5.0)

Who has the Edge?

The Vikings have struggled to run the ball in their last three games but still, I give them the edge in this game. The Vikings have Dalvin Cook, who is 3rd in the league in rushing and they have averaged 144 ypg on the ground on the road. The Seahawks have been solid against the run and they shut down Cook last year but he was far from healthy in that game. I will look for Cook and Mattison to have a solid game on the ground in this one.

Advantage: Minnesota Vikings

Seattle Seahawks Running Offense
vs. Minnesota Vikings Running Defense

Seattle Seahawks Running Offense

The Seahawks have run the ball very well and as the Vikings, it has helped their passing game. Seattle enters this game ranked 6th in the nation in rushing at 136.9 ypg and they do run the ball a lot. Their ground game will be tested in this one as the Vikings have been very solid against the run this year. Chris Carson has led the team in rushing this year with 879 yards and four TDs. Carson did have his worst game of the season last week against the Eagles as he had just 26 yards rushing in the 17-9 win. He will be looking to get back on track in this one. 

Rashaad Penny comes in at 2nd on the team with 296, while Russell Wilson is 3rd with 271. Wilson has three TDs as well. The Seahawks have Seattle has averaged 119.6 ypg on the ground at home but the Vikes have allowed just 93.0 ypg on the road. Can the Seahawks get their ground game going against this tough Minnesota run defense? We shall see.    

Minnesota Vikings Run Defense

The Vikings have been tough against the run this year as they come in ranked 6th in the league in that category this year. The Viking will need to clamp down on the run here as their pass defense has been nothing special. The Run defense has been a bit weaker of late as the Vikings have allowed 107 ypg over their last three games and that is not good news as the Seahawks have averaged 155.3 ypg on the ground over their last three games. 

In last year’s game, the Seahawks ran for 214 yards on this defense and the Vikings cannot let that happen again or it will be a long night for them. The Vikings do have a very good defensive line, but the Seahawks have built a pretty good offensive line and why wouldn’t they as Seattle needs to protect their franchise QB, who I will get to in a moment.   

Stats

Seattle’s Rushing Stats

  • 5th in rushing attempts per game (30.3)
  • 6th in rushing yards per game (136.9)
  • 12th in yards per attempt (4.5)
  • 7th in rushing first downs per game (7.1)

  Minnesota’s Run Defense Stats

  • 8th in run plays per game against (23.1)
  • 6th in rushing yards allowed per game (94.2)
  • 11th in opposing yards per attempt (4.1)
  • 1st in rushing first downs per game against (3.5)

Who has the Edge?

I give Seattle the edge here. The Seahawks have been on a tear on the ground of late as they have averaged 155 ypg rushing over their last three games and the Vikings have struggled a bit against the run lately. The Seahawks do run the ball a lot and they will pound away at the Vikings all game long, which will eventually help to open up the throwing lanes for Russell Wilson and company to hit some big plays down the field. I like the way the Seahawks are running the ball right now and while it is not a huge edge, I do favor their running game in this section. 

Advantage: Seattle Seahawks

The Passing Game

Minnesota Vikings Passing Offense
vs. Seattle Seahawks Passing Defense

Minnesota Vikings Passing Offense

The Passing game for the Vikings is in the middle of the pack in the NFC but it has been aided greatly by their strong running game. The Vikes have looked for a bit more balance than they had last year and they are getting it. Kirk Cousins has had a solid season so far, throwing for 2756 yards with 21 TDs and just three INTs. He has completed an astonishing 70.6% of his pass and his passer rating of 114.8 is tops in the league. If it wasn’t for a couple of guys named Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson, you could be looking at the league MVP. 

Cousins has some solid weapons in Stefon Diggs, who leads the team with 880 yards receiving and Adam Thielen, who is 3rd with 391 yards. Thielen has missed three games this year and is listed as questionable for this one. 2nd on the team is Dalvin Cook, who had 455 yards receiving on 45 catches. He is a great weapon out of the backfield.   

Seattle Seahawks Passing Defense

The Seattle pass defense is not good at all and it could be under fire a lot of the Vikings get their ground game going. They are 29th in the league against the pass and teams know this as the Seahawks are 31st in the league in pass attempts against. Part of that could be that teams have had to throw a lot to catch up. Still, this is not the same Legion of Boom secondary that Seattle had a few years ago. 

Can they slow down Kirk Cousins, who has the best passer rating in the league and who may have Adam Thielen back for this one? We shall see. The Seahawks have allowed 285.4 ypg through the air here at home and 257.3 ypg in their last three games overall. Three players have two INTs on the year while Shaquill Griffin leads the team in passes defended with 10. No one has more than three sacks and Seattle has had its issues at getting pressure on the QB.  

Stats

Minnesota’s Passing Stats

  • 30th in pass attempts per game (29.1)
  • 15th in passing yards per game (236.2)
  • 2nd in completion percentage (70.62)
  • 2nd in yards per pass attempt (8.1)
  • 7th in yards per pass completion (11.5)
  • 1st in passer rating (114.8)

Seattle’s Pass Defense Stats

  • 31st in pass attempts against per game (39.7)
  • 29th in passing yards per game allowed (268.7)
  • 19th in completion percentage allowed (64.30)
  • 18th in yards per pass attempt (6.8)
  • 19th in yards per pass completion (10.5)
  • 28th in sacks per game (2.1)
  • 7th in passer rating allowed (85.7)

Who has the Edge?

I have to go with the Vikings in this one. They are just 15th in the league in passing, but they also are 30th in the league in pass attempts per game. When they do pass, they make the most of it. The Vikes are 2nd in the league in yards per pass attempt at 8.1, while the Seahawks are 18th in yards per pass attempt allowed. Kirk Cousins has had a solid season and he should be getting Adam Thielen back for this one and he will have a big game if the ground game gets churning. We also note that the Seahawks have had their issues getting pressure on the QB and that will allow Cousins to pick apart this weak secondary. Give the edge to the Vikings in this one.  

(update: 12/2): Thielen is now out for the third straight game due to a hamstring injury. He did not travel with the team to Seattle. According to ESPN.com, Thielen did practice on Tuesday, but may have had a setback that forced him to sit out Wednesday.

"[I've] just been trying to give it as much rest as possible, taking advantage of the time off we had, and then now I have to show that I can do it and that I can do it over and over and over and it can hold up," Thielen said on ESPN.com. "That's kind of where we're at. This has kind of been the plan the whole time since I hurt it last time. Everything's gone according to plan, and we're going to continue to see what happens."

Advantage: Minnesota Vikings

Seattle Seahawks Passing Offense
vs. Minnesota Vikings Passing Defense

Seattle Seahawks Passing Offense

The Seattle passing game has been very solid this year as it comes in ranked 11th in the league. The success of their passing game has been due to their success from the ground game. Seattle will look to get the ground game going in this one and that will then enable them to take aim at a Minnesota pass defense that has struggled at times this year. Russell Wilson has had a great year and he is in the running for league MVP. Wilson has thrown for 2937 yards with 24 TDs and just three INTs. he has completed 67.3% of his passes and his passer rating of 112.1 is 2nd in the league. 

That’s right, the QBs with the top two passer ratings will square off in this game. Tyler Lockett has had a solid season as he leads the team in receiving with 831 yards and six TDs while rookie DK Metcalf is 2nd with 630 yards and five TDs. Will Dissly has played in six games and is 3rd with 262 yards and four TDs. There are a lot of weapons as five players have at least 205 yards receiving this year.   

Minnesota Vikings Passing Defense

The Vikings have a very good defense overall but they have struggled against the pass and that could be a problem against a solid passing game of the Seahawks in this one. Teams do pass a lot against the Vikings but that is because it’s so hard to run on them, plus teams are playing catchup against Minnesota a lot as well. The Vikings have allowed 251.7 ypg through the air on the road while the Seahawks have averaged 283.2 ypg passing here at home.     

Minnesota could be in trouble in this one if they do not stop the Seattle passing game. The Vikings have gotten decent pressure on the QB this year but sacking Wilson is no easy task as he is so hard to bring down. Danielle Hunter leads the team in sacks with 8.5 while Everson Griffen is 2nd with seven. Anthony Harris leads them in INTs with three while Eric Hendricks leads the team in passes defended with 12. 

Stats

Seattle’s Passing Stats

  • 23rd in pass attempts per game (32.0)
  • 11th in passing yards per game (248.5)
  • 8th in completion percentage (67.33)
  • 4th in yards per pass attempt (7.8)
  • 5th in yards per pass completion (11.5)
  • 2nd in passer rating (112.1)

Minnesota’s Pass Defense Stats

  • 28th in pass attempts against (37.6)
  • 20th in passing yards per game allowed (244.5)
  • 21st in completion percentage allowed (64.98)
  • 12th in yards per pass attempt (6.5)
  • 7th in yards per pass completion (10.0)
  • 10th in sacks per game (2.8)
  • 17th in passer rating allowed (90.9)

Who has the Edge?

I will give a solid edge to the Seahawks in this one. They have thrown for nearly 300 yards per game at home and they have a solid ground game that should help them out. Russell Wilson has the 2nd best passer rating in the league and will be facing a Minnesota team that ranks 20th against the pass.  Teams will pass on the Vikings a lot and I see that as a problem here. Minnesota has allowed 251.7 ypg through the air on the road and they have allowed a whopping 297.7 ypg through the air over their last three games. Give the edge to the Seahawks in this category.

Advantage: Seattle Seahawks

Intangibles

Final Outlook

I am a Vikings fan but I will have to go with the Seahawks in this one. Seattle has been playing very well of late and they have an offense that can move the ball on this defense. The Seahawks have won their last four games in a row and they have averaged 26.8 ppg at home for the year. The Vikings have allowed just 21.2 ppg on the road but their defense has shown cracks of late as the Vikings have allowed 23 points or more in each of their last three games. This is after allowing more than 23 points just once through their first eight games. 

The Minnesota offense has been strong this year and they can run the ball which will help open up the throwing lanes for Cousins to hit some big plays down the field. The Vikings should also have Thielen back for this one. Still, I do not think they will score enough to win the game, especially since they have averaged just 23.8 ppg on the road for the year. The Seahawks have too many weapons on offense, including a hot QB and they will take down the Vikings in this one. 

Trends Are Courtesy Of Covers.com

  • The Vikings are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • The Vikings are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week
  • The Vikings are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Monday games

  • The Seahawks are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 13.
  • The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win.
  • The Seahawks are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 Monday games

Latest Updates, Injury Reports, and Line Movements

The Seahawks have stayed at -3 all week, despite grabbing 71% o0f the bets. The Sharps are on the side of the Vikings.

Minnesota's Injury Report

Questionable: DT Shamar Stephen, DB Harrison Smith, DT Linval Joseph, and DB Anthony Harris 

Out: LB Ben Gedeon and  WR Adam Thielen

Seattle’s Injury Report

Questionable: DT Jarran Reed, LB Mychal Kendricks, DE Jadeveon Clowney, DT Al Woods, and TE Luke Willson 

Doubtful: DB Neiko Thorpe

Prediction: Seattle -3

Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com

Additional Insiders' Best Bets

Full-game Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I will take the Over in this game. The Vikings have not been as good on offense on the road as they have been at home but we note that the Seahawks have allowed 29.2 ppg here at home for the year. Their defense has not been great this year and you can bet the Vikings will take advantage of that. The Minnesota defense has had its struggles of late as they have allowed 23 points or more in each of their last three games and the Seahawks have averaged 28.0 ppg in their last three games overall and 26.8 ppg at home.

Both teams stop the run very well but both have struggled against the pass and we will see plenty of ball in the air in this one, especially late in the game. Seattle’s last three home games have averaged 59.7 ppg while Minnesota’s last three road games have averaged 57.7 ppg. This one should be a fun one.  The Clincher is the fact that the Over is 5-1 the last six meetings between these teams here in Seattle. 

Trends Are Courtesy Of Covers.com

  • The Over is 5-1 in Minnesota’s last 6 games overall
  • The Over is 4-1 in Minnesota’s last 5 games following a straight-up win.
  • The Over is 4-1 in Minnesota’s last 5 games on fieldturf

  • The Over is 7-1 in Seattle’s last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • The Over is 6-1 in Seattle’s last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • The Over is 5-1 in Seattle’s last 6 games in December

Prediction: Over 49.5

Full-game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

This is an interesting prop and I like it. I expect the game to be a shootout and that means very few puts. Both teams rely on ball control and that means they keep moving the chains. Minnesota is 9th in 3rd down percentage while the Seahawks are 14th. Both teams should avoid putting on more occasions than not.

Prediction: Under 8.5 Punts

Half-time Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I like the Seahawks to win and cover the game overall and they should have them with at least a three-point lead at the break. Both teams are playing well but I see the Seahawks getting off to the better start in this one as they are at home and the game is on National TV.

Prediction: Seattle -2

Half-time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

This may be the best prop of them all. The Seahawks have averaged 12.2 ppg and they have allowed 16.8 ppg in the first half of their home games this year. The Vikings have averaged 12.7 ppg and they have allowed 13.8 ppg in the first half on the road so far. These are two of the better offenses in the league and they will put on a show in this one, starting with a first-half that sees at least 30 points being scored. 17-13 Seattle at the break.

Prediction: Over 23.5
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.