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In-Depth Prediction, Preview, and Odds

Steelers vs. Cardinals Prediction

Sunday, December 8, 2019 at 4:25pm EST
University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale

This article covers a past game!

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In-depth Coverage

This is an in-depth analysis of this game, covering every possible detail and angle. Use the table of contents to navigate between each section, or just jump on in!

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Table of Contents

Last Updated: Sunday, December 8, 2019 at 11:02am EST

Introduction

It’s an interconference matchup down in the desert between a pair of teams with different hopes for the final month of the season. The Pittsburgh Steelers are on the road as they travel to face the Arizona Cardinals Sunday afternoon. Pittsburgh knocked off Cleveland 20-13 at home last Sunday in their previous game. Arizona was drubbed 34-7 at home by the Rams in their previous contest last Sunday. The Steelers lead the all-time regular season series 33-23-3 and have won the last two regular season contests, including a 25-13 home win in the most recent matchup on October 18, 2015.

Pittsburgh Steelers Review

Pittsburgh started the year about as poorly as one can only to turn things around since that point in time. The Steelers were 0-3 after losses to New England (33-3) and San Francisco (24-21) on the road sandwiching a 28-26 home loss to Seattle. Pittsburgh lost star QB Ben Roethlisberger for the season in week 2 with an elbow injury, turning the offense over to Mason Rudolph. The Steelers rolled over the winless Bengals 27-3 for their first win of the season in week 4 before falling 26-23 in overtime to the Ravens to drop to 1-4. Pittsburgh lost Rudolph in that game with a concussion, leaving third-string Devlin Hodges to lead the team to Los Angeles to face the Chargers. The Steelers turned back Los Angeles 24-17 and that sparked the team. Pittsburgh came out of their bye with a 27-14 win on a Monday night at home against Miami followed by wins over the Colts (26-24) and the Rams (17-12) at home before losing to Cleveland (21-7) on a Thursday night. The Steelers bounced back with a 16-10 win at Cincinnati though that game came with a quarterback change, leading to the rematch with Cleveland.

Despite a slow start, and missing both James Conner and JuJu Smith-Schuster, the Steelers did enough to come up with a win and maintain their hold on the final playoff spot in the AFC. Pittsburgh trailed 10-0 in the second quarter before rallying to tie the game in the final three minutes of the first half. The Steelers took the lead for good on Benny Snell Jr.’s one-yard scoring run on the opening drive of the third quarter. Pittsburgh limited the Browns to a field goal in the second half: the defense forced a punt after the offense turned the ball over at their own 30-yard line, and then killed Cleveland’s last drive with an interception. That allowed the offense to run out the clock. Pittsburgh held a 323-278 edge in total offense despite losing the first down battle 19-18 and the time of possession by a 32:06 to 27:54 margin. The Steelers forced two turnovers while committing only one in the contest.

Arizona Cardinals Review

Arizona started the season slowly, as you might expect with a rookie coach (Kliff Kingsbury) and a rookie quarterback (top overall pick Kyler Murray) manning key positions. The Cardinals used a fourth quarter rally to open the season with a 27-27 tie at home against Detroit. Arizona then dropped three straight games as they fell to Baltimore (23-17) on the road followed by home losses to Carolina (38-20) and Seattle (27-10) before getting things going. The Cardinals bounced back with three straight wins as they edged Cincinnati 26-23 on the road on the final play of the game. Arizona then edged Atlanta 34-33 at home thanks to a missed extra point by Matt Bryant and held off the Giants 27-21 on the road to get back to the .500 mark. Since then, it’s been downhill as the Cardinals were drubbed (31-9) on the road by New Orleans and beaten (28-25) at home by the 49ers. Arizona followed that up with losses at Tampa Bay (30-27) and San Francisco (36-26) heading into their bye.

Coming out of the bye, the Cardinals were sliced and diced by a Rams’ offense coming off a 45-6 demolition at the hands of the Ravens six days earlier. Arizona was unable to get anything going offensively for the majority of the contest and saw Murray suffer his worst loss in his career in the process. The Cardinals trailed 3-0 after the opening quarter, 20-0 at the half and 34-0 after three quarters: they finally got on the board with 8:35 to play in the game. Arizona was clobbered 549-198 in total offense, allowed 27 first downs while picking up 13 and lost the time of possession battle 34:37 to 25:23 in the game. The Cardinals committed the lone turnover in the game and, as was fitting for the contest, it led directly to seven points for the Rams on a pick-six.

 

The Running Game

Pittsburgh Steelers Running Offense
vs. Arizona Cardinals Running Defense

Pittsburgh Steelers Running Offense

Pittsburgh, despite having moved on from the whole Le’Veon Bell fiasco that plagued them all of last season, was unable to do much when it came to moving the sticks on the ground. The Steelers have been held under 85 yards in seven of their 12 games this season. Pittsburgh has only four 100-yard games this season. Two of those games have come in the last two weeks. Pittsburgh ran the ball 38 times for a season-high 159 yards against the Bengals in week 12 and followed that with 32 carries for 124 yards against the Browns.

James Conner has been bottled up all season long despite leading the team in rushing yards. He has run the ball 102 times for 390 yards and four scores on the season but has been battling a shoulder injury in recent weeks: he hopes to return here. Jaylen Samuels has 54 carries for 143 yards plus a score but missed a couple of weeks after knee surgery. Benny Snell Jr. (65 carries, 279 yards, TD) and Trey Edmunds (22 carries, 92 yards) have seen their share of action with the injury issues. Pittsburgh has eight running plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season: Snell Jr. leads the team with three while Conner has two: Devlin Hodges (13 carries, 31 yards), Kerrith Whyte (nine carries, 53 yards) along with Edmunds have one apiece. The Steelers have picked up 57 first downs via the ground game this season.

Arizona Cardinals Run Defense

Arizona has had serious deficiencies when it comes to stopping the run this season. The Cardinals have given up at least 100 yards in 11 of their 12 games this season and they’ve held just three teams under four yards per carry thus far. It’s been a rough year for Vance Joseph’s defense as the team continues to get gouged regardless of the opposition. After stifling San Francisco on the road in week 12 with their best showing against the run all year, the Cardinals regressed in week 13. Arizona allowed the Rams to run the ball 30 times for 132 yards.

Linebacker Jordan Hicks leads the Cardinals with 115 tackles (68 solo) along with two forced fumbles this season. Budda Baker (110 tackles, forced fumble, fumble recovery), Haason Reddick (68 tackles, fumble recovery) along with corners Byron Murphy Jr. (62 tackles) and Tramaine Brock Sr. (37 tackles) are making plays on the defensive side of the ball as well. Terrell Suggs (34 tackles, four forced fumbles) is second on the team with 12 tackles for loss while Chandler Jones (35 tackles, five forced fumbles, three fumble recoveries) contributes a team-high 13.5 and Hicks has 10 on the year. The Cardinals have amassed 82 tackles for loss, forced 13 fumbles and recovered six as a team this season.

Stats

PIT

  • 11th in run play percentage (42.09 percent)
  • 17th in rushing attempts per game (24.8)
  • 26th in rushing yards per game (90.8)
  • 26th in yards per carry (3.7)
  • Tied for 22nd in rushing TD (six)
  • Tied for 17th in longest rush (45 yards)

ARI

  • 14th in percentage of run plays against (39.95 percent)
  • 25th in run plays per game against (27.3)
  • 24th in rushing yards allowed per game (118.8)
  • 17th in opposing yards per carry (4.3)
  • Tied for 6th in rushing TD allowed (seven)
  • 28th in longest rush allowed (76 yards)

Who has the Edge?

This one is going to be interesting since Pittsburgh really hasn't run the ball all that successfully this season. The last couple of weeks have seen the Steelers more committed to the ground game but it's been the deviation from the norm. Arizona has given up their fair share of yards on the ground but most teams slice them up through the air. That makes the run game a little less at the forefront against them. The Cardinals have a decent front seven that can test things. With Pittsburgh having issues on the ground, this one is a bit of a wash.

Advantage: Push

Arizona Cardinals Running Offense
vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Running Defense

Arizona Cardinals Running Offense

Arizona has been pretty effective moving the ball on the ground when they’ve been able to commit to it this season. The Cardinals have run for at least 100 yards in eight of their 12 games this season. Arizona has gone for more than 150 yards three times on the year, highlighted by a 266-yard showing against the Bengals in their week five victory. Eight times this season, the Cardinals have averaged better than four yards per carry. The team made a deal out of necessity right before the trade deadline, acquiring Kenyan Drake from Miami due to injury woes. Last week against the Rams, the Cardinals were held to 21 carries for 74 yards on the ground.

David Johnson is second on the Cardinals with 86 carries for 317 yards and two scores this season. He missed time with ankle and back issues and hasn’t been a factor of late. Chase Edmonds (58 carries, 295 yards, four TD) has been solid but has missed time with a hamstring injury. Kyler Murray has run the ball 71 times for a team-high 446 yards and four scores this season from his quarterback spot. Drake has contributed 54 carries for 243 yards and a score in his four games with the team. As a team, the Cardinals have 11 run plays of at least 20 yards this season. Murray leads the team with six, Edmonds adds four and Drake has one. Arizona has moved the chains 73 times via the ground game this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers Run Defense

Pittsburgh has had their struggles stopping the ground game by the opposition as they have allowed more than 125 yards four times this season. Three of those contests came in a four-week span from weeks two through five in games against Seattle, San Francisco and Baltimore. In the last month, the Steelers have been tougher against the ground game as they have held two of their last four opponents under 100 yards. The Steelers gave up 24 carries for 106 yards to the Browns in their rematch last week.

Linebacker Devin Bush has made a major impact defensively as the 10th overall pick leads the team with 86 tackles (54 solo) with one forced fumble and four fumble recoveries, including one for a score, this season. Terrell Edmunds (76 tackles), Mark Barron (62 tackles, fumble recovery), Joe Haden (54 tackles, forced fumble) and Cameron Heyward (61 tackles, forced fumble) are among the team leaders in tackles this season. T.J. Watt (39 tackles, five forced fumbles, three fumble recoveries) leads the team with 18 tackles for loss. Bud Dupree (50 tackles, four forced fumbles, two fumble recoveries) has 14 while Heyward adds 12 on the season. As a team, the Steelers have recorded 90 tackles for loss, forced 18 fumbles and recovered 15 with two fumble returns for scores this season.

Stats

ARI

  • 25th in run play percentage (37.45 percent)
  • 23rd in rushing attempts per game (23.5)
  • 14th in rushing yards per game (114.1)
  • 3rd in yards per carry (4.9)
  • Tied for 12th in rushing TD (11)
  • Tied for 20th in longest rush (37 yards)

PIT

  • 19th in percentage of run plays against (41.74 percent)
  • 23rd in run plays per game against (27.2)
  • 12th in rushing yards allowed per game (103.7)
  • 5th in opposing yards per carry (3.8)
  • Tied for 3rd in rushing TD allowed (five)
  • 7th in longest rush allowed (37 yards)

Who has the Edge?

Pittsburgh has been up and down against the run this season. You have to think that the Cardinals will try to run the ball in order to take pressure off Murray and try to keep and the Steelers' pass rush honest. Drake has been solid since coming over from Miami at the trade deadline and has seemingly supplanted Johnson along with the returning Edmonds in the running back pecking order. The Cardinals can move the ball on the ground and Murray has the ability to do damage with his legs. Arizona gets a slight edge here.

Advantage: Arizona Cardinals

The Passing Game

Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Offense
vs. Arizona Cardinals Passing Defense

Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Offense

Pittsburgh has tried to move the ball through the air but having injuries to their quarterback group and inconsistent production from their receivers have hampered them this season. The Steelers have to try to get healthy and find a way to develop some chemistry in a hurry if they hope to stay in the mix for a playoff berth. Pittsburgh threw for 276 yards in the opener against the Patriots but things have sputtered a bit since then. That was the high-water mark offensively through the air for them this season. In the last month, Pittsburgh’s best showing was 242 yards against the Rams. Last week against Cleveland, the team finished with 212 yards through the air.

Ben Roethlisberger was 35 of 62 for 351 yards with no touchdowns and an interception before suffering an elbow injury that ended his season. Mason Rudolph is 162 of 263 for 1,636 yards with 12 touchdowns and nine picks: he missed the game against the Chargers after suffering a concussion against Baltimore. Devlin Hodges is 41 of 61 for 530 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. He is going to make his third career start here. Samuels is four of five for 35 yards with an interception running out of the Wildcat formation. JuJu Smith-Schuster is second on the team with 38 receptions for 524 yards plus three scores. He’s missed the last couple of weeks with a knee injury and likely won’t suit up here. Conner (30 receptions, 242 yards, two TD), Diontae Johnson (36 catches, 432 yards, three TD), Samuels (39 receptions, 234 yards, TD) and Vance McDonald (32 grabs, 242 yards, three TD) are solid secondary options in the passing game. The Steelers have 30 pass plays that have covered at least 20 yards this season. James Washington (30 catches, 578 yards, three TD) leads the team with 11. Smith-Schuster adds seven while Conner and Johnson both have four.

Arizona Cardinals Passing Defense

Arizona has been inconsistent in pass defense this season, though a fair amount of that can be attributed to the fact that Patrick Peterson missed the first six games after violating the league’s substance-abuse policy. The Cardinals have given up more than 300 yards five times this season. Arizona has been pretty effective getting after the quarterback, recording at least one sack in 11 of their 12 games. The Cardinals have been terrible in coverage of late though as they have given up more than 300 yards through the air in five straight games after allowing only two of their first seven opponents to reach that mark. Arizona has given up back to back 400-yard games as San Francisco went for 424 in week 12 before the Rams went off for 427 yards last week.

Jones (two pass defenses) leads the team with 13 sacks on the season while Suggs has 5.5 of his own. Corey Peters (27 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss) adds 2.5 sacks while Rodney Gunter (30 tackles, 7.5 tackles for loss) adds two. Murphy Jr. leads the team with eight pass defenses this season. Baker, Reddick and Hicks are next in line as each has six. Hicks leads the team with three picks on the year. Patrick Peterson (31 tackles, sack, two tackles for loss, forced fumble, two pass defenses) and Murphy Jr. each have recorded an interception on the season. Arizona has picked up 30 sacks as a team this season while recording 39 pass defenses and six interceptions.

Stats

PIT

  • 22nd in pass play percentage (57.91 percent)
  • 22nd in completion percentage (61.9)
  • 29th in passing yards per game (200.5)
  • Tied for 21st in TD passes (15)
  • Tied for 18th in INT thrown (13)
  • 22nd in net yards per pass attempt (6.2)
  • 6th in longest pass play (79 yards)
  • 22nd in passer rating (79.7)

ARI

  • 19th in pass play percentage faced (60.05 percent)
  • 32nd in passing yards per game allowed (307.5)
  • 32nd in completion percentage allowed (71.3)
  • 32nd in TD passes allowed (31)
  • Tied for 29th in INT (six)
  • Tied for 9th in sacks (30)
  • 30th in passer rating allowed (116)
  • 30th in net yards per pass attempt (eight)

Who has the Edge?

Pittsburgh is down to their third-string quarterback and they are likely to be missing Smith-Schuster again for this one. Still, the Cardinals have been a sieve in the passing game, ranking dead last in touchdown passes allowed, completion percentage allowed and yards per game through the air. One guy to watch in this one will be Vance McDonald as the Cardinals have given up big plays to tight ends all season long. Since Arizona can't stop a Pop Warner QB from having a big game, this edge goes to the Steelers.

Advantage: Pittsburgh Steelers

Arizona Cardinals Passing Offense
vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Defense

Arizona Cardinals Passing Offense

Arizona has had to go to the air more than they would like to with a rookie quarterback this season. The Cardinals have thrown at least 32 passes in seven of their eight games this season. Arizona has managed to taper down slightly as they threw at least 40 passes in each of their first three games but have only hit that mark once in the last nine games. The Cardinals have four 300-yard games through the air this season, including a season-high 350 yards against the Buccaneers back in week 11. Last week against the Rams, the Cardinals finished with 163 yards through the air.

Kyler Murray is 273 of 427 passing on the season for 2,866 yards with 14 touchdowns and six interceptions on the season. He has been sacked 41 times for a loss of 276 yards this season. Brett Hundley misfired on his lone pass attempt, though he has been sacked once for a loss of four yards. Punter Andy Lee completed his lone pass attempt for 26 yards. Larry Fitzgerald leads the team with 61 receptions for 643 yards and two scores this season. Christian Kirk contributes 49 receptions for 531 yards and three scores while Johnson (33 catches, 332 yards, three TD), Damiere Byrd (17 grabs, 178 yards) and KeeSean Johnson (21 receptions, 187 yards, TD) are making plays in the passing game. The Cardinals have 37 pass plays that have covered at least 20 yards on the season. Fitzgerald is leading the way with eight and David Johnson has six while Kirk adds five.

Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Defense

Pittsburgh had their problems containing the passing game in the first three games of the season before getting things into shape in the last couple of games. The addition of Minkah Fitzpatrick to the secondary after acquiring him from Miami has paid huge dividends. Four of the Steelers’ last six opponents have thrown for less than 200 yards. After recording six sacks in their first three games combined, the Blitzburgh defense is back: they have at least four sacks in seven of their last nine contests, making life difficult for opposing quarterbacks.

Watt leads the team with 12.5 sacks on the year. Dupree contributes 8.5 sacks while Heyward is right behind with seven sacks on the season. Haden leads the team with 13 pass defenses while Mike Hilton (46 tackles, sack, four tackles for loss, forced fumble) adds 10 while Minkah Fitzpatrick (45 tackles, forced fumble, two fumble recoveries, TD) contributes nine. Fitzpatrick has picked off five passes (TD) in his 10 games with the team to lead the way. Bush and Haden each have two while Watt, Hilton, Trey Edmunds (five tackles, pass defense), Barron, Cameron Sutton (13 tackles, tackle for loss, five pass defenses) and Kameron Kelly (19 tackles, pass defense) each have one. As a team, Pittsburgh has recorded 43 sacks, 68 pass defenses and 15 interceptions, including one pick-six, this season.

Stats

ARI

  • 8th in pass play percentage (62.55 percent)
  • 15th in completion percentage (63.9)
  • 22nd in passing yards per game (217.7)
  • Tied for 27th in TD passes (14)
  • Tied for 7th in INT thrown (six)
  • 24th in net yards per pass attempt (6.1)
  • 20th in longest pass play (88 yards)
  • 21st in passer rating (88.4)

PIT

  • 14th in pass play percentage against (58.26 percent)
  • 7th in passing yards per game allowed (213.5)
  • 6th in completion percentage allowed (61.7)
  • Tied for 17th in TD passes allowed (19)
  • Tied for 2nd in INT (15)
  • 3rd in sacks (43)
  • 6th in passer rating allowed (82.8)
  • 7th in net yards per pass attempt (6.2)

Who has the Edge?

The Cardinals have had their struggles this season moving the ball through the air. Murray seems more intent on working the ball to the younger guys like Kirk, Andy Isabella and Johnson. That's all well and good but you have a first-ballot Hall of Famer in Fitzgerald out there. Pittsburgh has an aggressive pass rush and a ballhawk in the secondary in Fitzpatrick who can make plays. The Cardinals have a leaky offensive line and could have Murray running for his life. In this one, the Steelers get the upper hand as they do their damage.

Advantage: Pittsburgh Steelers

Intangibles

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh is 24th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 19.7 points per game on the season. The Steelers are 28th in the league in total offense with 291.3 yards per game and stand 27th in yards per play with 4.9 yards per snap. Pittsburgh is 6th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 18.8 points per contest. The Steelers are 5th in total defense as they allow 317.2 yards per game and stand 5th as they give up 4.9 yards per play. Pittsburgh is 2nd in the takeaway/giveaway department as they are a +11 on the season.

The Steelers are a dismal 32nd in red zone success as they have cashed in 35.48 percent of their drives that got inside the opposition’s 20-yard line into touchdowns. Pittsburgh is 11th in red-zone defense as they limit opposing teams to a 52.78 percent success rate as far as scoring touchdowns go. Pittsburgh is 25th in the league in third-down conversions as they have converted 34.48 percent of their situations this season. The Steelers are near the top of the pack in regard to getting off the field as opposing teams have converted 35.95 percent of their third downs, which is 9th in the league. Pittsburgh is 21st in the league in time of possession as they hold the ball 48.48 percent of the time.

Chris Boswell has hit all 23 extra point attempts and 23 of 25 field goal attempts with a long of 51 this season. Jordan Berry has averaged 46.1 yards per punt (41.3-yard net average) on 55 punts with a long of 62 this season. He has dropped 18 punts inside the 20-yard line with three touchbacks on the year. Ryan Switzer has averaged 18.4 yards on nine kick returns with a long of 26 while he’s averaged 3.6 yards on eight punt returns this season. Johnny Holton averages 18.3 yards on three kick returns with a long of 21 while Diontae Johnson has a 7.1-yard return on his 11 punt returns this season. Cameron Heyward blocked an extra point against the Colts in week nine.

Arizona Cardinals

Arizona enters week 14 20th in the league in scoring offense as they put up 21.2 points per game this season. The Cardinals are 23rd in the league in total offense with 331.8 yards per contest and stand 20th in yards per play with an average of 5.3 yards a snap. Arizona is 31st in scoring defense as they allow 29.2 points per game. On the season, the team is 32nd in total defense by allowing 426.3 yards per game and 31st in yards per play allowed as they give up 6.2 yards per play on average. Arizona is tied for 8th in the league in giveaway/takeaway with a +2 margin this season.

The Cardinals are 29th in the league in scoring touchdowns in the red zone as they cash in a measly 38.46 percent of their chances. Defensively, Arizona is average as they are 18th in red zone defense by allowing 58 percent of drives to reach the red zone to end in touchdowns. The Cardinals are below average in third down conversions, ranking 22nd by converting 34.64 percent of their third-down situations. Arizona’s defense is struggling, ranking 31st in those situations as they hold the opposition to a 47.17 percent success on their third downs. The Cardinals are 32nd in the league in time of possession by holding the ball 44.76 percent of the time this season.

Zane Gonzalez has hit 21 of 22 extra point attempts and 26 of 29 field goal tries this season with a long of 54. Andy Lee has punted the ball 47 times for a 48.1-yard average (42.5-yard net average) this season. He has dropped 16 punts inside the opponent’s 20-yard line with four touchbacks: he has had one punt blocked. Ryan Winslow averaged 48.5 yards (44.5 net) on six punts filling in for Lee while Gonzalez had a 42-yard average on two punts. Pharoh Cooper averages 23.2 yards on 12 kick returns with a long of 39 while Andy Isabella averages 21 yards on five returns with a long of 32. Cooper has averaged 6.2 yards on 10 punt returns with a long of 17 while Kirk averages 5.6 yards on seven returns with a long of 20 this season.

Who has the Edge?

This one is going to be an interesting matchup. Both teams have struggled offensively this season with the difference being the way they play defensively. Pittsburgh is near the top of the league in scoring defense while the Cardinals are second to last in the league in that department. The red zone has been a house of horrors for both teams as they've had to settle for field goals far too often this season. Arizona's inability to come up with plays on the defensive side of the ball is going to be an issue. Mike Tomlin has his Super Bowl ring and that gives him a leg up on Kingsbury. Give the Steelers the upper hand here as the Cardinals are unable to come up with enough plays to make things work.

Advantage: Pittsburgh Steelers

Final Outlook

Arizona has been a sieve defensively this season and it's going to be interesting to see if they can slow down a beaten-up Pittsburgh offensive attack. The Steelers are trying to stay in the playoff picture in the AFC and that means taking down teams you should beat. Pittsburgh knows that this game is important with contests against Buffalo and Baltimore looming in the final three weeks of the season. The Cardinals are going to have their work cut out for them here given their defensive issues. Arizona is going to have to play flawless football and come up with some big plays on defense. That hasn't been their style this season.

According to Covers.com, the Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on grass and 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Arizona has gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. You have to give the Steelers the upper hand in this contest.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5

Second Opinion on this pick from StatSalt.com

Additional Insiders' Best Bets

Full-game Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Pittsburgh has been up and down offensively this season as they have shuffled players in and out at the skill positions. The Steelers haven't scored more than 27 points in a game all season though they have scored at least 24 points five times this season. With that said, Pittsburgh hasn't scored more than 20 points in any of their last four games. Arizona has scored at least 25 points in seven of their games but their defense has been a sieve. The Cardinals have allowed at least 27 points eight times this season. Will Arizona's defense take advantage of a struggling Pittsburgh offense?

The under is 4-0 in the Steelers' last 4 games overall, 5-0 in their last 5 games following an ATS win, 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass and 22-5 in their last 27 as a road favorite. Arizona has seen the under go 10-2 in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game, 5-1 in their last six in week 14 and 8-2 in their last 10 after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. Given the way that the Steelers are struggling to put points up, this one likely falls short of the number.

Prediction: Under 43.5
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.