Philadelphia Eagles (7-9; 8-8 ATS; 9-7 O/U) vs. Green Bay Packers (10-6; 9-6-1 ATS; 10-6 O/U)
NFL Preseason Week One; Thursday, August 10, 2017 at 8:00pm EST
Line: Green Bay -2
The Green Bay Packers will open their preseason schedule when they host the Philadelphia Eagles Thursday night from Lambeau Field. The Eagles went a perfect 4-0 in last year’s preseason schedule, and the Packers posted a 3-1 record in their 2016 preseason action. The Packers defeated the Eagles by a 27-13 score in November of last season.
Wentz Ready to Build Off Promising Rookie Season
The Philadelphia Eagles head into the 2017 season with renewed optimism after showing signs of great potential in the 2016 season. Carson Wentz had a very encouraging rookie season as he set an NFL record for pass completions as a rookie with 379. The 6-foot-5 quarterback out of North Dakota State recorded 3782 passing yards with a 16:14 TD to INT ratio. Wentz is expected to continue to blossom into an elite quarterback this season. The Eagles added a new weapon for their young quarterback by signing Alshon Jeffrey. The 27-year old wide receiver accrued 821 receiving yards in 12 games with the Bears last year, and will no doubt improve the Eagles offensive attack. The Eagles signed Nick Foles who could be one of the better backup quarterbacks in the entire NFL, and they also feature Matt McGloin who will likely serve as the third string quarterback. LeGarrette Blount will take over as starting running back as the Eagles are expected to release Ryan Mathews who had neck surgery. Watch for the nifty Darren Sproles to see some carries in this contest as well.
Last season, the Eagles scored an average of 22.9 points per game, ranking them 16th overall. The Philadelphia defense had a solid season in 2016, allowing an average of 20.7 points per game, placing them 12th in the NFL.
Rodgers and Receiving Core Poised for Another Big Year
The Green Bay Packers are once again a very strong club led by Aaron Rodgers along with a very potent receiving core. Aaron Rodgers came through with the best season of his illustrious career in 2016, accumulating 4428 passing yards with a phenomenal 41:7 TD to INT ratio. Rodgers will again have his weapons in Davante Adams, Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson. Adams had a breakout 2016 season as the 24-year old wide receiver totaled 997 receiving yards along with 12 touchdowns. The Packers lost Eddie Lacy to free agency and will be going with former wide receiver Ty Montgomery as the starting back for now. Montgomery rushed for 457 yards and averaged a terrific 5.9 yards per carry in 15 games last season. Former BYU star Jamaal Williams will see some reps in this one at running back. Williams rushed for 1375 yards with BYU last season and will be a solid number two behind Ty Montgomery, and will see action this season. Packers backup QB Brett Hundley and third stringer Joe Callahan will see action in this contest. Callahan played well in preseason action last year.
The Packers strong offense averaged 27 points per game last year, good for fourth in the NFL. Green Bay’s defense had numerous injuries in 2016, and conceded an average of 24.2 points per game, placing them 21st overall.
The Philadelphia Eagles are:
- 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
- road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Eagles and Packers.
- 4-0 ATS in their last 4 preseason games.
The Green Bay Packers are:
- No Key Trends
I am siding with the Eagles in this contest. The Eagles have the edge at running back in this matchup with Blount and Sproles running the ball, and the Packers are already dealing with a few injuries on defense. Ty Montgomery won’t see many carries for the Packers, and Jamaal Williams will be seeing his first NFL action, and the Packers are going with two other rookies at running back. Also, I believe Nick Foles is a great option at backup quarterback for the Eagles compared to Brett Hundley. Foles has NFL experience and owns a career 56:27 TD to INT ratio.
Pick: Philadelphia Eagles +2
Both teams played to some very low scoring games in last year’s preseason. The Eagles conceded nine or fewer points in three of their four preseason games last year, and the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games at Lambeau Field. I can’t see the Packers scoring many points with their young running backs, and Rodgers will see very little action, plus the under hit in all four of their preseason games last year.