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Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Redskins,
8-19-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#417 Green Bay
Packers
#418 Washington
Redskins

Saturday, August 19, 2017 at 7:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Green Bay Packers vs Washington Redskins

When: 7:35 PM EDT, Saturday, August 19, 2017

Where: FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland.

Lines: Washington -3

Total: 40.5

Saturday evening on the NFL gridiron and the Green Bay Packers will grapple with the Washington Redskins at FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland. Both teams will be playing their 2nd preseason game of the year. The Packers beat the Eagles at home by a score of 24-9 in their opener, while the Redskins fell 23-3 to the Ravens on the road.

The Defense Looked Good Against The Eagles

We all know that the Green Packers have a heck of an offense that has been led by Aaron Rodgers and one of the best set of WRs in the league, but if they look to get back into the Super Bowl, then they will have to shore up their defense, which was 22nd in the league in total yards allowed and 21st in points allowed, giving up 24.3 ppg. The biggest area of concern was a pass defense as they were 31st in the league against the pass and they did address their need for help in the secondary by drafting  CB Kevin King with their first pick and then taking safety Josh Jones with their 2nd pick. Both played in the opener and both had four tackles, but the Packers did allow the Eagles to throw for 275 yards in the game, which is right around the 278 ypg they allowed last year. Still, the defense bent, but did not break and they did pick off a couple of passes, which really aided the Packers. The run defense was solid as the Eagles were able to run for just 47 yards in the game. Overall, it looks as if the Packers have come up with the right pieces to upgrade their defense.

The Offense did not look great in the game, but remember that Aaron Rodgers did not play at all and Randall Cobb played very little. The offense will be fine once the season starts. The backup QB job is up for grabs and it is between three players in Nick Hundley, Taysom Hill and Joe Callahan, who had a solid outing against the Eagles as he threw for 1-03 three yards on 10 of 16 passing. Hundley was 8/15 for 90 yards and a TD, while Hill was 4 / 5 for 69 yards and a TD. This competition is really close right now. The running game was an issue last year and they cut ties with Eddie Lacy, but things did not improve for them as they were able to rush for just 47 yards against the Eagles. The Packers will score plenty with their passing game, but they still would like more balance on offense with a better running game.

The Offense Was A Complete No-Show In Game One

The Washington Redskins were 3rd in the league in total offense last year and 2nd in passing offense, but in their preseason game against the Ravens, they hardly resembled the team that they were last year on offense. In the game against the Raven, they lost by a score of 23-3 and had just 138 yards of total offense. Yikes.  Last year they averaged 404 yards overall, including 298 through the air, but that offense was nowhere to be found against the Ravens. Granted, Kirk Cousins had just one series, but he three for just five yards on the series and the backups of Nate Sudfeld and Colt McCoy combined to hit 11 of 25 passes for 108 yards. The Skins better hope that Cousins does not get injured or they will be in big trouble. The Skins did add Terrelle Pryor and Brian Quick, but they are a bit weaker than Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson, who they are replacing. The OL is still a strength of the team and they were 4th in the league in sacks allowed with just 23 and they were 7th in the league in yards per gain rushing at 4.5, but they allowed three sacks against the Ravens and ran for just 39 yards on 19 carries.

Look for the Skins to really work on their offense in this game as the Defense was solid in their opener against the Ravens as they allowed just 267 yards in the game. Last year they were 28th in the league in yards allowed, giving up 378 ypg, so they did show some big improvements against the Ravens. This will be a better test for them as the Packers have a solid offense, even when Rodgers is out of there. The Redskins did use their first three picks on defense and brought in six players on that side of the ball through free agency in hopes of helping out this defense. They were 25th in the league against the pass last year and allowed just 135 yards passing against the Ravens, but they also allowed 132 yards on the ground, so they will look to fix their run defense this week.

Trends

Green Bay is:

  • Road team is 1-3-1 the last four in this series

Washington is:

  • 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall
  • 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass

The Packers had a very good showing in their opener, while the Redskins did not as they scored just three points in falling 23-3 to the Ravens. I will look for a much better effort from the Redskins in this one, especially on offense and they could have a good showing against a Packer’s team that still has a leaky pass defense. Cousins should get at least a couple of series to work with his new toys on offense and that could allow the skins to get a nice early lead. The Washington defense did look good in the opener and will be tested more in this one as the Packers offense is better than that of the Ravens, but still I feel that Washington will make the plays needed on defense to walk away with the win. Look for a six point Washington win in this one.

Pick: Washington -3

Both of these teams have high-powered offenses, but neither of those offenses showed up in game one and yet the OU Line is at 40.5. Vegas seems to be thinking the same thing I am and that is the fact that both offenses should really wake up in this one. Both teams can throw the ball all over the field and both will be facing defenses that really struggled against the pass last year. The Redskins didn’t have great success last week in their passing game, but with another week of practice, they should turn that around, while Green Bay will put on a show against a Redskin defense that still looked far better last week than it really is. This is the game where both offenses really show up.

Pick: Over 40.5

Confidence: 4

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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