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New York Giants vs. New England Patriots,
8-31-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#115 New York
Giants
#116 New England
Patriots

Thursday, August 31, 2017 at 7:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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New York Giants (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS, 1-2 O/U) vs. New England Patriots (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, 3-0 O/U)

NFL: Thursday, August 31, 2017, Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts, 7:30 pm ET

Spread: New England -3; Over/Under: 38

It’s an inter-conference matchup between a pair of teams hoping to avoid injuries in week 4 of the preseason in the National Football League. The New York Giants travel to the northeast as they close the preseason with a tilt against the New England Patriots Thursday night. New York managed to get in the win column as they edged the Jets 32-31 in preseason action Saturday. New England jumped out early and held on for a 30-28 win at Detroit for their first preseason win Friday. The Patriots have a 6-4 advantage in the all-time regular season series, including a 27-26 win in the most recent meeting, which came on the road on November 15, 2015.

New York Giants Try to Maintain Health

New York managed to knock off the lowly Jets to get their first preseason win in the books but the reserves were awful, especially defensively. The Giants jumped to a 19-0 lead after one quarter and was up 29-3 at the half. New York had to white knuckle it late, only prevailing when they stopped a two point conversion attempt by the Jets with 1:26 to play. The Giants lost the total yardage battle 470-331 and the first down battle 23-19. New York’s starting defense came up big as they contributed a safety plus a pair of defensive touchdowns on interception returns by Landon Collins and Donte Deayon.

Eli Manning completed 7 of 14 passes for 121 yards and an interception. Josh Johnson was 4 of 6 for 67 yards, Geno Smith hit 5 of 10 for 51 yards while Davis Webb completed two of four passes for 20 yards in the contest. Rookie Wayne Gallman led the Giants with 12 carries for 43 yards in the contest while Paul Perkins chipped in 33 yards on six attempts. Orleans Darkwa had seven carries for 21 yards and New York’s lone offensive touchdown. Travis Rudolph caught a team high three passes for 81 yards in the contest. Mike Nugent hit his lone extra point and both field goal attempts, connecting from 50 and 54 yards. Aldrick Rosas booted two extra points and his lone field goal attempt from 24 yards in the game.

New England Patriots Seek to Reload

New England jumped to a big 24-0 lead after the opening quarter against Detroit but had to hang on to win by just two. In fact, the Patriots trailed 28-24 in the fourth quarter before getting a pair of field goals in the final four minutes: Stephen Gostkowski booted a 45 yard attempt with two seconds to play for the game winner. New England was outgained 417-393 and lost the first down battle 24-21. More importantly, they lost their ace receiver Julian Edelman, who tore his ACL in the first quarter. He is done for the year, taking the team’s most reliable target out of the equation.

Tom Brady completed 12 of 15 passes for 174 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Jimmy Garoppolo came on and hit 7 of 12 throws for 83 yards. D.J. Foster led the Patriots in the ground game with 14 carries for 51 yards while Mike Gillislee added eight carries for 38 yards and a score. Chris Hogan had a team leading four catches for 70 yards while Edelman had three for 53 yards before going down. Undrafted rookie Austin Carr contributed three receptions for 30 yards in the contest. Gostkowski hit all three of his field goal attempts, connecting from 46, 25 and 45 yards in the win.

Trends:

New York

  • No Key Trends

New England

  • Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf
  • Patriots are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games

After seeing Edelman go down, the Patriots are likely to be even more cautious with their starters in this meaningless finale. You’ll see a lot of guys trying to get something positive on tape in case they get cut and have to land somewhere else. New York is hoping that Odell Beckham Jr. will be healthy enough to go in week 1. It’s a safe bet you won’t see him in this contest either. The Patriots have some good weapons on the offensive side of the ball: that should be enough to deliver the win in this contest.

Pick: New England Patriots -3

This one is going to be more of a war of apathy as opposed to a war of attrition. Both teams have a star receiver that won’t be on the field here with Beckham Jr. likely to sit for the Giants while Edelman is done for the year. New England is also dealing with the uncertainty of Malcolm Mitchell, who is in and out of practice with a knee injury. That means the team will be more reliant on Danny Amendola, who has to stay healthy as well. New England has solid backup quarterbacks in Garoppolo and Jacoby Brissett while the Giants don’t have a proven #2 QB in the system.

The over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 Thursday games. New England has seen the over go 4-0 in their last four overall, 5-2 in their last seven at home and 60-28 in their last 88 games on fieldturf. With as poorly as the Giants’ defenders looked against the scuffling Jets, this one has the potential to go over the total in this contest.

Over 38

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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