Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#273 Jacksonville Jaguars 45 vs.
#274 Houston Texans -7
Sunday, September 15, 2019 at 1:00pm EDT
NRG Stadium, Houston
Written by Ricky Dimon



#273 Jacksonville
#274 Houston


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Both the Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars will be trying to bounce back from Week 1 losses when they square off at NRG Stadium in Houston on Sunday afternoon.

Insult to injury

These two AFC South rivals are undoubtedly heading into Week 2 at different confidence levels despite both coming off losses. Jacksonville not only got blown out at home by Kansas City but also saw new quarterback Nick Foles go down with a broken collarbone. Foles was replaced in the first half of his team’s 40-26 loss to the Chiefs by Gardner Minshew.

Foles will be out at least two months and is targeting a Week 11 return and was placed on the IR. That means he must miss at least eight games. It also means Minshew is the starting quarterback for the moment.

Minshew threw for 275 yards with two touchdowns and one interception after hitting on his first 13 attempts.

“Fearless … fearless,” wide receiver DJ Chark told the Florida Times-Union. “He went in and did his thing. We were upset Nick was out but there was never a point when we said, ‘dang … now we have to go with Gardner.’ We knew we had to elevate our play and make him feel comfortable and he made us feel comfortable.”

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“It’s not the way you want to start your time here,” said Foles, who signed a four-year, $88 million contract in March. “Sometimes things don’t happen like we expect them to, but we just have to have faith that it’s for a reason.”

Linebacker Myles Jack was ejected in the second quarter after taking a swing at Chiefs receiver Demarcus Robinson. Jack had to be restrained by team officials and was essentially dragged off the field. It started when Jack and receiver Sammy Watkins got into a shoving match after a fumble, and then Robinson came in and shoved Jack in the back. That did not help the Jaguars’ chances of slowing down Patrick Mahomes and company, and they did nothing of the sort. Kansas City cooked up 491 yards of total offense in its victory.

Last-second heartbreak

The Texans went into New Orleans on Monday night and battled the Saints until time expired. Deshaun Watson threw a touchdown pass in the final minute to give Houston a 28-27 lead only to see Saints kicker Will Lutz boot a 58-yard field goal as time expired. Thus it will be a long week (figuratively) but also a short week (literally) as the Texans now prepare to bounce back and face division rival Jacksonville.

”That’s on us,” star defensive end J.J. Watt said, pinning the loss on the defense. ”There’s a lot of things that are on us. To hold them to three points in the first half and then give up 27 in the second, that’s just terrible. And for our offense to give us the lead with 40 seconds left, or whatever it was, and not win the game, we’ll take 100 percent of that blame–as we should.”

It certainly was not on Watson, who completed 20 of 30 passes for 268 yards and three touchdowns to go along with one interception. The former Clemson standout also kept it four times for 40 yards and another score.

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“Coulda, shoulda, woulda” does not mean much, but Houston really should have defeated New Orleans in Week 1–which would have been an especially impressive road win to begin the season. Any kind of similar production from Watson and DeAndre Hopkins (eight catches, 111 yards, two touchdowns) will be more than enough to beat Jacksonville without much trouble. After all, a similarly dangerous offense in that of Kansas City just ran circles around the Jags. The Jaguars are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five against opponents with losing records, 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 following a loss, 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 against the AFC, and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Week 2 games. Houston is 5-2-1 ATS in its last eight on field turf and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 in Week 2.

Prediction: Houston Texans

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Don’t think for a second that Watt is going to let his unit struggle two weeks in a row. And to be fair, limiting New Orleans to 30 points at home–and three in one entire half–really is not that bad of an effort. And Jacksonville, of course, is already down to its second-string quarterback. The under is 5-2 in the Jaguars’ last seven against the AFC South and 11-5 in their last 16 following a loss. It is also 4-0 in the Texans’ last four at home, 4-1 in their last five against the AFC, and 4-1 in their last five against the AFC South. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Prediction: Under

Written By Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is based in Atlanta, Georgia. Prior to joining the Winners & Whiners Staff, he worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.