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Arizona Cardinals vs. Indianapolis Colts,
9-17-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#269 Arizona
Cardinals
#270 Indianapolis
Colts

Sunday, September 17, 2017 at 1:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

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Arizona Cardinals (0-1; 0-1 ATS; 1-0 O/U) vs. Indianapolis Colts (0-1; 0-1 ATS: 1-0 O/U) 

NFL: Sunday, September 17, 2017 at 1:00pm EST

Line: Arizona -7.5

Total: 44.5

The Indianapolis Colts will host the Arizona Cardinals in week two action Sunday afternoon from the Lucas Oil Stadium. The Cardinals were handed a 35-23 road loss to the Lions in their season opener, and the Colts are coming off a rough 46-9 road loss to the Rams. These teams last met in 2014 with the Cardinals coming away with a 40-11 win.

Palmer Throws Three Interceptions in Week One Loss

The Arizona Cardinals took a quick 10-0 lead but it was all downhill the rest of the way in a 35-23 road loss to the Lions in their season opener. Carson Palmer was not sharp, completing 27 of 48 passes for 269 yards with one TD and three interceptions. The 37-year old quarterback still brings a lot to the table but is not getting any younger. He should have a much easier time this week against the Colts weak pass defense. David Johnson was quiet on the ground, rushing for only 23 yards on 11 carries, but he did record 68 rushing yards. The 25-year old star ranked seventh in the NFL with 1239 rushing yards last season. Johnson went down with a wrist injury in the loss and will be out this week, and he could miss an extended period of time. Larry Fitzgerald made his presence felt, making six grabs for 74 yards and was targeted 13 times by Palmer. The 34-year old wide receiver tallied 1023 yards last season and is still a huge threat. He should have a big game against the Colts this week.

The Cardinals defense had no answer for Matt Stafford last week, conceding 292 passing yards and four passing touchdowns. The Lions were able to go 3 for 3 in the red zone and Arizona only made one sack. They will have a much easier task this week against the Colts.

Tolzien Struggles in Lopsided Loss

The Indianapolis Colts were awful on both sides of the ball in their 46-9 blow loss to the L.A. Rams in their season opener. Scott Tolzien struggled, completing only 9 of his 18 passes for 128 yards with two touchdowns. The Colts inserted Jacoby Brissett into the game in the fourth quarter and he tallied 51 passing yards and lead the Colts to a touchdown drive. The Colts are in trouble as Andrew Luck will be out for at least a few more weeks. There is a good chance the Colts will give Jacoby Brissett the starting nod in this one. Frank Gore was able to tally 42 rushing yards on his 10 carries in the loss. The veteran running back is not quite as effective as he was in his prime but is still a decent option on the ground. T.Y. Hilton led all receivers with 57 receiving yards on three catches. Unfortunately, the talented receiver will likely not put up big numbers until Luck returns to action. The Colts will be without starting center Ryan Kelly again in this one.

The Colts defense was terrible last week, conceding 310 passing yards to Jared Goff, and only made one sack and no interceptions. They did hold Todd Gurley to only 40 rushing yards. The Colts will again be without cornerback Vontae Davis which will hurt them against Larry Fitzgerald. 

Trends:

The Arizona Cardinals are:

  • 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in week two.
  • 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games against a team with a losing home record.
  • 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 250 passing yards in their previous game.

The Indianapolis Colts are:

  • 1-6 ATS in their last 7 September games.
  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

I am going with the Cardinals in this contest. The Colts are again without Andrew Luck and I don’t expect Scott Tolzien or Jacoby Brissett to do a whole lot. The Cardinals have a strong rush defense so it will not be easy for Frank Gore to move the ball on the ground either. The Colts are also without top cornerback Vontae Davis so I expect Larry Fitzgerald to get open down field and have a big game. The Colts surrendered 373 total yards to the Rams last week and are facing a much stronger offense this week.

Pick: Arizona Cardinals -7.5

The Cardinals should have a strong afternoon offensively however the Colts could have a tough time finding the end zone. The Colts offense was abysmal last week and I can’t see them scoring many points, and the under is 5-0 in their last five home games. While I do expect Arizona to produce points, this total is high enough for me to go with the under considering Luck is out for the Colts,  and the under is 5-1 in the Cardinals last six games in week two.

Pick: Under 44.5

5

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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